因预期全球经济前景向好，且通胀升高风险迫近，美国国债这几日遭受重创。美联储主席鲍威尔本周向投资者保证，美联储不急于撤回刺激措施，这鼓励了投资者进一步推高收益率曲线。
Oanda高级市场分析师Edward Moya，全球国债收益率升得越快，黄金跌幅越大。预计国债收益率如此飙升之后，极有可能无法保持这种升速，因此黄金市场可能开始稳定下来，但如果国债继续遭到抛售并导致黄金期货价格跌破重要的1750美元支撑位，那么从技术角度来说，黄金价格可能再跌5%以上。
今天周五时段，现货黄金小幅下跌，交投于1769附近。债收益率飙升以及好于预期的经济数据削弱了对黄金的需求，在美债收益率大幅提高的背景下，投资者不得不重新审视其他资产的相对价值。
另外良好的初请失业数据进一步拖累了黄金价格的下跌，黄金ETF持仓12连跌也似乎预示着黄金后市的坎坷命运。
作为2020年支撑黄金价格大涨创历史记录的重要因素，黄金ETF的持仓目前已经连续12连跌，这标志着金价可能仍将继续下行。
拜登的1.9万亿美元刺激措施，以及美联储的鸽派姿态，以及美金走软等因素，限制了黄金价格下行。在失业率下降、货币环境超常宽松、消费者需求可能进一步增强的背景下，1.9万亿美元刺激计划规模是美国经济预期产出缺口的三倍。
技术面来看，短线黄金价格或将延续周四的跌势，下方关键支撑关注1760一线。若跌破1760关键支撑，可能加速黄金价格的下跌。
现在黄金更受美金、美债收益率影响，今晚有美国的GDP和初请失业金数据，预料将会对美金、美债收益率产生较大影响，尤其是美金到达了关键位置90一线，如果经济数据不佳令美元破位90，那么黄金可能会往日线下降通道压力线反弹，但预料较难上破压力线。
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