美联储褐皮书显示,10月和11月初,大多数联储辖区的经济活动以温和的速度增长。一些地区指出,尽管需求强劲,但增长受到供应链中断和劳动力短缺的限制。价格以温和到强劲的速度上涨,经济各部门普遍涨价。
美联储梅斯特表示,对以更快的速度缩减购债保持开放态度,更快的缩减购债为美联储在必须加息时提供了一个(灵活的)选择。如果需要的话,应该可以在2022年内加息数次。
欧佩克+:预计2022年1月石油过剩将增加至200万桶/日
文件显示,欧佩克+预计2022年1月石油过剩将增加至200万桶/日,2月为340万桶/日,3月为380万桶/日。
欧佩克+代表透露,欧佩克目前没有在闭门会议上讨论产量政策的改变。欧佩克尚未就增产政策做出决定,等待周四的欧佩克+会议。据伊拉克国家通讯社,伊拉克石油部长预计欧佩克将同意在短期内延长目前的增产政策。
截至11月26日当周,美国EIA原油库存变化值录得减少90.9万桶,预期值为减少123.7万桶,不及市场预期,前值为增加101.7万桶。汽油库存增幅录得2021年6月4日当周以来最大,结束此前连续7周的下降趋势。
市场行情整理:
美元指数横盘震荡,日内多次测试96关口,最终收涨0.13%,报96.02。美国10年期国债收益率延续跌势,最终收报1.405%。美国30年期国债收益率跌至1.75%下方,创1月6日以来新低。
虽然目前盘面看似有推高的动作,但校立认为不会持久,当这股动能释放完毕,就是我们逢高沽空欧美的机会,故今日给予逢高沽空建议,酌情参考操作,轻仓。
市场行情整理:
周三现货黄金震荡上行,午后一度拉升14美元,随后涨幅有所收窄,最终收涨0.42%,报1781.41元/盎司;现货白银走势依旧低迷,盘中触及23关口后回落,最终收跌2.20%,报22.30美元/盎司。
因政策调整或者通胀下行引发的短期走弱不改变整体走势,亦不建议趋势做空,建议企稳逢低做多。
市场行情整理:
国际油价方面,两油先涨后跌。WTI原油日内一度涨逾3美元,随后回吐日内所有涨幅,最终收跌1.90%,报65.68美元/桶;布伦特原油收跌1.70%,报68.94美元/桶。
此时建议空头暂且退场,激进者仍可继续逢低做多,在通胀预期持续高涨的背景下,预计金价仍有上行机会。
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