
基本面
黄金
欧盟委员会逐年下调欧元区通胀率
欧盟委员会将2021年欧元区GDP增长预测从4.3%上调至5.0%,预计2022年增长4.3%,2023年增长2.4%;预计2021年欧元区通胀率为2.4%,2022年为2.2%,2023年为1.4%。此前,欧洲央行经济公报显示,9月份欧元区通胀率升至3.4%,预计今年还会进一步上升。尽管目前阶段的高通胀将比最初预期持续更长时间,但预计明年通胀率将下降。
欧元区货币市场将欧洲央行加息的押注提前
周四,欧元区货币市场将欧洲央行加息押注提前到2022年9月,将加息10个基点,早于本周早些时候预期的2022年12月。货币市场定价也表明,投资者认为欧洲央行很有可能在明年年底前进行第二轮加息。
原油
欧佩克月报:维持2022年全球原油需求增速预测不变
11月11日,欧佩克公布月度原油市场报告,将2022年全球原油需求增速预测维持在420万桶/日不变,2022年全球对欧佩克的原油需求预期下调10万桶/日至2870万桶/日。欧佩克石油产量在10月份增加了22万桶/日,达到2745万桶/日。
伊拉克将坚持欧佩克+的减产政策,不寻求任何减产豁免
伊拉克石油部长表示,欧佩克+正在逐步增加产量,其目标不是高油价,而是保持全球石油供应稳定,预计欧佩克+将于12月的会议上保持其40万桶/日的逐步增产政策不变。此外,欧佩克+将在2022年审查其减产政策,伊拉克将坚持欧佩克+的减产政策,不考虑在今明年寻求任何减产豁免。
美国可能释放高达6000万桶的石油储备
据知情人士透露,原油出口禁令以及成品油出口禁令是白宫准备的补救措施之一,不过美国最有可能从战略石油储备中释放石油。花旗表示,美国可能通过提前使用明年授权,强制出售2000万桶石油,并从战略石油储备中释放4500万至6000万桶石油。
技术面
美元指数
市场行情整理:
美元指数震荡上行,自去年7月以来首次突破95关口,最终收涨0.32%,报95.145。
观点整理:
多注意美元指数震荡状态,毕竟市场方向又一次陷入迷茫,所以美元出现宽幅震荡的可能性很大,对此要有心理准备,而布局方面,建议今日逢高沽空美元指数,低多非美货币,相比较下来,这会是今日比较适合市场波动的操作思路
黄金
市场行情整理:
周四现货黄金持续上行,日内累涨12美元,于尾盘窄幅震荡,最终收涨0.7%,报1861.20美元/盎司。
观点整理:
金价六连涨,多头涨势如虹,此时建议空头暂且退场,激进者仍可继续逢低做多,在通胀预期持续高涨的背景下,预计金价仍有上行机会。
原油
市场行情整理:
国际原油方面,WTI原油日内两度挑战82关口,但并未站稳,最终收跌0.12%,报81.18美元/桶。布伦特原油宽幅震荡,方向较为纠结,最终收跌0.05%,报82.52美元/桶。
观点整理:
油价高位持续震荡,多空消息交织,市场情绪切换较快,周四油价收十字星,显示多空力量博弈难分胜负,投资者可以暂时观望,等待进一步的消息。

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