美联储卡普兰:若德尔塔病毒持续或调整缩债观点
被视为美联储最鹰派的官员——达拉斯联储主席卡普兰上周五讲话时有所松口,提到如果德尔塔病毒持续,可能会调整对资产购买的看法。他预计失业率在年底前将降至4.5%,预计2021年GDP增速约6.5%。
中国央行连续16个月维持LPR不变
中国央行将一年期和五年期贷款市场报价利率(LPR)分别维持在3.85%和4.65%不变,均为连续第16个月维持不变。
会议指出,必须坚定不移推进资本市场制度型对外开放。创造条件推动中美审计监管合作,加强市场沟通。深化内地与香港市场互联互通,坚定支持香港资本市场稳定发展。另外要更加注重拟上市企业质量和结构,推动证券基金行业高质量发展。
最高人民法院与中国证监建立“总对总”在线诉调对接机制,全面推进证券期货纠纷多元化解工作。
股市方面,上周五美股三大指数集体收涨,纳指涨1.19%,本周累跌0.73%;道指涨0.64%,本周累跌1.11%;标普500指数涨0.81%,本周累跌0.59%。
美联储上次会议纪要显示,多数官员认为,从今年晚些时候开始,将减少每月的债券购买。市场预计美联储将于2023年第一季度开始加息。
A股三大指数今日集体收涨,其中沪指上涨1.45%,收报3477.13点;深证成指上涨1.98%,收报14535.88点;创业板指上涨3.16%,收报3293.77点。两市成交额达到1.32万亿元,行业板块呈现普涨态势,工业母机概念股掀起涨停潮,板块指数暴涨14%,仅银行、保险、券商、电信板块逆市下跌。北向资金今日净买入18.31亿元。
统计显示,沪深300每年至少一次15%以上行情,今年宏观背景类似2010年,股市后半场望更精彩。上市公司ROE望继续回升至22Q1,市场估值水平和情绪指标尚可,本轮牛市尚未走完。
恒指涨1.05%,恒生科技指数涨2.14%,哔哩哔哩等超跌科技股多数反弹,阿里巴巴跌近4%再创新低。医药板块领涨,药明生物升逾7%领涨蓝筹。赣锋锂业涨超7%。恒大系普跌,恒大汽车跌超26%,中国恒大跌超12%,恒大物业跌超9%。万洲国际反弹收涨超4%,公司今日回应万洪建指控称并无资金转移至境外,否认万隆2亿美元收入未缴税。
从技术层面来看,恒指日线级别K线短期站稳5日均线,KDJ随机指标现阶段继续往上发散,MACD红柱同步放大,技术层面短期呈现逐步走好趋势。从短期来看,投资者仍需多加留意盘面走势,择优参与为宜,同时也需设置好止盈止损,防范波动风险。从中长期来看,港股市场低估值优势依旧较为明显,具备中长期配置价值。
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