鲍威尔指出,目前尚不清楚德尔塔毒株的蔓延是否会对美国经济产生显著影响,不认为金融业会给经济带来风险。虽然美联储拥有强大的政策工具,但它能做的是有限的。相比之下,美国政府的财政政策更有力,也更有针对性。鲍威尔还谈到了央行数字货币,他表示,数字货币正变得越来越重要。
美国公布7月零售销售月率为-1.1%,低于市场预期值的-0.2%,前值为0.60%。分析指出,美国7月零售销售降幅大于预期,因供应短缺打压了汽车和其他商品的购买,但服务业支出可能令经济在第三季保持强劲增长。
据纽约时报,美国将建议在接种疫苗8个月后注射疫苗加强剂。白宫新闻秘书珍·普萨基指出,新冠疫情小组将于当地时间周三举行关于新冠疫苗加强针的简报,拜登也会就加新冠疫苗加强针进行讲话。
尽管美国零售销售数据不及预期,但受避险买盘推动,美元指数周二仍大幅反弹,重回93关口,最终收涨0.55%,报93.12。
今日盘面走势的预判是有难度的,因为市场完全可以走高,也完全可以走跌,面对这种情况,我们只能做好两手准备,一边预防美元指数突破上涨,一方面提防美元指数突然转向下跌,造成无谓损失。所以要看懂市场后再做布局,才能适应当前这种复杂多变的局势,才有可能做出正确交易
周二,金银整体呈现先涨后跌走势,欧盘前现货黄金一度站上1790美元/盎司,截至收盘,现货黄金收跌0.08%,报1785.6美元/盎司
在美元继续走强的大背景下,金价或迎来转折。技术面同样暗示新的变局,周二黄金收十字星,后市走势涨跌难以预料。日内出炉的美联储会议纪要可能偏向鹰派,对金价有一定的打击。建议保守者观望,激进者可尝试逢高做空。
油市方面,因美元走强、美国经济数据低迷引发了全球各地的增长恐慌,国际油价美盘初下跌,回吐日内所有涨幅。最终WTI原油收跌1.26%,报66.54美元/桶;布伦特原油收跌0.69%,报69.08美元/桶。油价已连跌4日,创下今年3月以来时间最长的连续下跌。
美国API原油库存显示油市需求仍然强劲,但疫情令油市多头退却,另外石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友认为市场不需要更多原油,也支撑了油价。技术面来看,油价四连跌走势相当疲软,空头占据盘面主动,但有超卖风险,近期可能有修正行情,建议投资者谨慎做空。
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