
一直以来,美国应对经济危机的最佳方法,就是美国财政部发债筹资,美联储印钞购债,双方完美配合下,大量新美元就这样流入市场。凭借着美元是世界货币的属性,美国即使是大量印钞,该国通胀始终控制在2%的温和范围内。但任何事情都有一个度,如今美国也要为自己疯狂印钞的行动买单了。
美联储资产负债表突破50万亿,美国通胀创13年新高!
北京时间6月10日晚8点,美国劳动部公布的最新数据显示,美国5月整体CPI同比大涨5%,超预期的4.7%,继续维持上涨势头,增速创2008年8月以来最高水平;核心CPI同比增长3.8%,超市场预期3.5%,增速创1992年以来新高;商品价格同比上涨6.5%,创1982年以来最高增速,服务价格也在大幅增长。
尽管美国通胀数据持续上行,但美联储依旧淡定,认为目前美国通胀加剧是暂时性因素造成的,随着时间的推移这些因素会逐渐减弱。或者更加直白地讲,美联储此番表态也暗示暂时不会让其印钞机熄火。
自从2020年3月美联储宣布购债计划以来,其资产负债表规模从当时的4万亿美元(约25万亿元人民币)开始飙涨,到目前为止刚好扩张“翻倍”,突破8万亿美元(约50万亿元人民币)大关。同时,截至今年5月,美国财政部2021财年前八个月的预算赤字已经达到2.06万亿美元,上年同期为1.88万亿元美元。
然而,拜登上台之后提出的各项经济刺激计划总额都达到6万亿美元,但美国财政部家底掏空,加税也似乎行不通,那么唯有继续发债筹资、让美联储印钞购债这条路可以走。这也意味着美国的印钞机将继续马达轰鸣,该国通胀压力有上升的风险。
美国印钞为何不管用?因为中国货是刚需,人民币持续升值!
奇怪的是,以往美国靠印钞转移经济危机的招数打遍天下无敌手,为何这次却没有效果呢?具体来看,为了避免被美元收割,此前美国印钞,全球主要经济体也跟着印钞,要通胀就一起通胀。
但是在全球“大放水”的背景下,中国并没有搞“大水漫灌”,所以美元贬值,人民币就升值。截至今年5月底,人民币兑美元汇率在过去一年升值约12.5%;而人民币升值就相当于用涨价的人民币去买国外涨价的商品,这中间的通胀压力就被对冲掉了,美国印钞导致的输入型通胀也被阻挡在外了。6月10日,中国人民银行行长易纲还预计,今年中国消费物价指数(CPI)平均涨幅在2%以下。
按照惯例,以前人民币升值不利于出口,会削弱中国商品的竞争力,但现在不同了,由于疫情冲击,中国是目前唯一可以保障开工率的制造强国,中国货是刚需,就算人民币升值,中国商品涨价,美国也只能买。今年前五个月,美国就狂买了1.34万亿元人民币的中国商品。
业绩声音指出,目前有三个办法可以解决美国的通胀问题,一是停止印钞,但现在美国做不到;二是豁免中国商品的额外费用,美国却不愿做;三是找到另一个世界工厂,可惜印度太不靠谱,扶不上墙。这三招都不用或者失效,美国也只能“自食苦果”。

文章评论
Hello! This is my first visit to your blog! We are a team of
volunteers and starting a new project in a community in the same niche.
Your blog provided us beneficial information to work on. You have done a extraordinary job!
Don’t comb your hair after it dries to stop frizz.
I loved as much as you'll receive carried out right
here. The sketch is attractive, your authored subject matter stylish.
nonetheless, you command get got an nervousness over
that you wish be delivering the following. unwell unquestionably come more formerly again since exactly the
same nearly a lot often inside case you shield this hike.
This wing has been much altered, having been given a new window association within the 17th century, when the south wing was built.
The contemporary country style components of England, Scandinavia, and France combine to make this kitchen trendy, warm, and inviting.
constantly i used to read smaller articles or reviews
that as well clear their motive, and that is also happening with this paragraph which I am reading at this time.
I'm never gonna say, 'I do not think I can.' I can and I will.
John Davidson, Honorary British Vice-Consul, Guaymas, State of Sonora, Mexico.
He simply tracks their location before attacking his tea lady.
Piece of writing writing is also a fun, if you be acquainted with afterward you can write or else it
is complicated to write.
Тут можно преобрести оружейные шкафы <a href=https://sejfy-dlya-oruzhiya.ru/>шкафы оружейные и сейфы</a>
Hey there! This is kind of off topic but I need
some help from an established blog. Is it very difficult to set up your own blog?
I'm not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty quick.
I'm thinking about creating my own but I'm not sure where to begin. Do
you have any ideas or suggestions? Cheers
https://w10.datalengkap.net/
Тут можно преобрести огнестойкие сейфы цена <a href=https://ognestojkij-sejf.ru/>огнестойкий сейф купить</a>
If some one desires expert view on the topic of blogging afterward i
propose him/her to pay a quick visit this webpage,
Keep up the nice work.
кто проводит соут <a href=https://sout095.ru/>кто должен проводить соут</a>
What i do not realize is actually how you're now not actually
much more smartly-favored than you may be right now.
You are very intelligent. You recognize thus considerably on the subject of this topic,
produced me individually imagine it from numerous various angles.
Its like men and women are not interested until it is something to accomplish with Woman gaga!
Your individual stuffs great. All the time care
for it up!
Greetings from Florida! I'm bored at work so I decided to browse your website on my iphone during lunch break.
I really like the information you provide here and can't wait to take a look when I get home.
I'm shocked at how quick your blog loaded on my phone .. I'm not even using WIFI, just 3G ..
Anyhow, amazing site!
Thanks for the marvelous posting! I genuinely enjoyed reading it,
you can be a great author. I will be sure to bookmark your blog and will often come back very soon. I
want to encourage continue your great writing, have
a nice holiday weekend!
estrace 1mg us - <a href="https://festrolp.com/">estradiol 2mg oral</a> anastrozole oral
If some one desires to be updated with hottest technologies therefore he must be pay a quick visit this web site and
be up to date daily.
Informative article, just what I was looking for.
Great post but I was wanting to know if you could write
a litte more on this subject? I'd be very thankful if you could elaborate a little
bit more. Thank you!
It's difficult to find educated people in this particular topic,
but you sound like you know what you're talking about!
Thanks
my webpage <a href="https://visual.ly/users/LorraineJMayer/portfolio">this site</a>
This design is spectacular! You certainly know how to keep a reader
entertained. Between your wit and your videos, I was almost moved to start
my own blog (well, almost...HaHa!) Fantastic job.
I really enjoyed what you had to say, and more than that, how you presented it.
Too cool!
I blog often and I really appreciate your content.
This great article has really peaked my interest. I will book mark your site and keep checking for new
information about once a week. I opted in for your RSS feed too.
It's appropriate time to make some plans for the longer term
and it's time to be happy. I have learn this publish and if I could I desire to counsel you few interesting
things or tips. Maybe you could write next articles
referring to this article. I desire to read more things about it!
Feel free to visit my page - <a href="https://photozou.jp/user/top/3337309">เช่าชุดแต่งงาน</a>
I do accept as true with all of the ideas you have introduced on your post.
They are very convincing and can definitely work.
Still, the posts are very brief for novices. Could you please lengthen them a little
from next time? Thanks for the post.
This is my first time visit at here and i am in fact pleassant
to read everthing at one place.
Admiring the commitment you put into your blog and in depth information you
provide. It's great to come across a blog every
once in a while that isn't the same outdated rehashed material.
Excellent read! I've bookmarked your site and I'm
adding your RSS feeds to my Google account.
Hello there! I just wish to give you a huge thumbs up for your excellent information you
have got right here on this post. I am returning to your blog
for more soon.
cabergoline for sale - <a href="https://adostilin.com/">cabergoline 0.25mg drug</a> alesse pill
I am in fact happy to read this web site posts which includes tons of helpful data,
thanks for providing these data.
If you desire to increase your knowledge just keep visiting this web page and be updated with the most
up-to-date gossip posted here.
Hey! I know this is kinda off topic but I was wondering if you knew where I could find a captcha
plugin for my comment form? I'm using the
same blog platform as yours and I'm having difficulty finding one?
Thanks a lot!
Hi there, You've done an incredible job. I'll certainly digg it
and personally recommend to my friends. I am sure they will
be benefited from this site.
naturally like your website however you need to take a look
at thee spelling on quite a few of your posts. Many of them are rife with spelling problems and I
to ffind it very botherrsome to tell the truth on thee other
hand I will certainly come back again. https://storage.googleapis.com/naklejkinasciane/naklejki-dzieciece-na-sciane/tapety-w-li-cie-i-drzewa.html
Сервисный центр предлагает ремонт bq 6645l element <a href=https://chelyabinsk.profi-teh-remont.ru/remont_telefonov/bq/6645l-element.htm>ремонт bq 6645l element в петербурге</a>
Тут можно преобрести купить сейф огнестойкий <a href=https://ognestojkij-sejf.ru/>несгораемые сейфы</a>
Тут можно преобрести несгораемый сейф купить <a href=https://ognestojkij-sejf.ru/>купить огнестойкий сейф в москве</a>
Hello there, just became alert to your blog through Google,
and found that it is really informative. I'm going to watch
out for brussels. I will be grateful if you continue
this in future. Many people will be benefited from your writing.
Cheers!
Тут можно преобрести огнестойкие сейфы цена <a href=https://ognestojkij-sejf.ru/>купить огнестойкий сейф</a>
Hey there! Quick question that's totally off topic.
Do you know how to make your site mobile friendly? My blog looks weird when viewing from my iphone4.
I'm trying to find a template or plugin that might be able to resolve this
problem. If you have any recommendations, please share.
Many thanks!
Тут можно преобрести сейф оружейный цена <a href=https://sejfy-dlya-oruzhiya.ru/>сейфы для оружия пистолетные</a>
Hi there would you mind letting me know which webhost you're using?
I've loaded your blog in 3 completely different browsers and I must say this blog loads a
lot faster then most. Can you recommend a good hosting provider at a honest price?
Cheers, I appreciate it!
Тут можно преобрести купить оружейные сейфы <a href=https://sejfy-dlya-oruzhiya.ru/>шкаф для оружия купить</a>
Тут можно преобрести сейфы пожаростойкие <a href=https://ognestojkij-sejf.ru/>несгораемый сейф</a>
Тут можно преобрести сейф охотничий купить <a href=https://sejfy-dlya-oruzhiya.ru/>сейф под ружье купить</a>
I could not refrain from commenting. Very well written!
Thanks for the marvelous posting! I truly enjoyed reading it,
you can be a great author. I will always bookmark your blog and definitely will
come back later in life. I want to encourage that you continue your great writing, have a nice day!
Call Girls can help make every occasion memorable - be it celebrating a birthday, anniversary, business trip or
romantic date - as they're open-minded