多重利好支持下 黄金年内剩余时间有望再攀新高

2021年06月01日 112563点热度 0人点赞 31,788条评论

5月31日,投资机构Fat prophet的经济学家David Lennox表示,金价今年可能再次创下新高。但他同时认为,金价未来还会出现“相当大的波动”。

多重利好支持下 黄金年内剩余时间有望再攀新高

美国通胀上升利好黄金

今年以来,黄金价格一直涨跌互现。自2021年初以来,现货黄金已上涨约0.66%,收复了3月份跌势后的部分涨幅。3月份,金价一度跌至每盎司1700美元以下,目前金价约为每盎司1915美元。

由于美联储一直在向金融体系注入大量现金,美国的通货膨胀问题仍备受关注。自去年以来,美联储一直将利率维持在低位,并购买美国国债,以刺激受新冠疫情冲击的经济,并维持金融市场的稳定。

这位资源分析师在接受采访时表示,近期美国通胀数据显示物价上涨,因周五公布的4月核心个人消费支出指数快于预期。该指标被央行官员认为是衡量通胀的最佳标准。

Lennox称,通胀数据上升将对实物资产黄金“有利”。他指出:“通货膨胀卷土重来,是因为我们看到美国货币供应量大幅增加。过去,无论我们什么时候看到通胀飙升,可能在5个月或6个月之后,就会出现更高的通胀。”

Lennox认为,根据投资者的投资时间范围,有两种方式可以参与金价未来的涨势。他表示:“现阶段,我们建议,如果金价确实出现了强劲上涨,那么你可以选择一只黄金ETF,在那里你可以获得一对一的价格变动——当然,要减去任何管理费。”

不过,Lennox表示,对于长线投资者,他们应该考虑投资金矿商。矿商有能力在未来增加他们的产量,他们也有红利,所以投资者也能得到一点回报。

美元预计走软,从而推动金价上涨

与此同时,美元预计也将走弱,并可能成为黄金的另一个潜在推动力——在市场不确定时期,黄金被视为一种安全的投资资产。

Lennox表示,美国的债务在增加,且实体货币在增加。这两个因素本身就表明,未来市场将看到美元走软。此外,他说,在某些情况下,兑美元交易的主要货币的经济表现要好于美国,但他没有详细进行说明。

Lennox表示:“我们认为美元还会进一步走软,这对金价和贵金属将是非常大的利好。”

多重利好支持下 黄金年内剩余时间有望再攀新高

现货黄金

日线图)

北京时间6月1日14:38,

现货黄金

报1915.23美元/盎司。

    Kratos

    保持饥渴的专注,追求最佳的品质

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