
周三,比特币一度狂泻30%,加密货币市场也集体暴跌。与此同时,黄金出现了大反弹,隔夜一度逼近1900美元/盎司,刷新1月11日以来的新高。
币圈崩,黄金涨。
周三,比特币一度狂泻30%,加密货币市场也集体暴跌。而在比特币价格触及3万美元关口后又迅速反弹,一度回升至42000美元之上,反弹超12000美元,反弹幅度达40%。与此同时,黄金出现了大反弹,隔夜一度逼近1900美元/盎司,刷新1月11日以来的新高。
超77万人比特币爆仓
比特币和黄金之争的话题,近期一直非常热门。由于价格一路攀升,比特币的总市值早已进入美股前十。“这十几年比特币的价格已经从几美分上最高冲至6万美元。即使暴跌,现在也在4万美元左右,早已经证明了自己的价值。它正在逐渐靠近全球主流资产,类似于黄金、房子、债券这样的投资标的。”某比特币研究人员称。
高盛首席执行官所罗门(David Solomon)更是预测,未来几年数字货币领域将发生“重大变革”。他表示:“这是一个不断发展的领域,我认为未来几年这一领域的发展将会有很大的变化。”对于加密货币领域面临的一些挑战,他补充说:“我们周围有重大的监管限制,我们围绕比特币等加密货币发挥着原则作用。”
与黄金相比,所罗门说:“我认为比特币的市值将不可避免地与黄金持平,然后最终高于黄金。因为人们对于比特币的接受和投入的速度比我预测的还要快。”
他仍然认为比特币属于一种资产,在采访中,他从未将比特币描述为一种支付机制。他认为,比特币“更像黄金而不是支付网络的数字资产,因此其价值将在未来几年继续上升。”
有着女版巴菲特之称的ARK基金创始人、女股神Cathie Wood一直力挺比特币,19日币圈“海啸”,她表示:“我仍然认为比特币价格会达到50万美元。比特币目前正经历踏空,但不一定处于底部。”
最近被称为比特币“叛变”的特斯拉CEO马斯克也在周三晚暴跌之际发声,他表示“特斯拉拥有钻石手(Diamond Hand)”,而钻石手代指那些坚定持仓者,这被认为是特斯拉将坚定持有手中的比特币,即使它们的价值目前已经缩水一半。
根据相关数据统计,最近24小时,共有约77.57万人成为爆仓受害者,最大单笔爆仓单发生在 Huobi-BTC,价值高达6700.01万美元。
黄金攀升至近四个月新高
黄金则是熠熠生辉,比特币爆仓之际,黄金一路从1851.6美元/盎司,拉升至1889.59美元/盎司,创下自1月11日以来的新高。不过午夜随着比特币反弹,黄金也出现调整回落,今日亚洲时段,黄金再度重拾升势,一路上涨,盘中涨幅已经逼近1%。
“金价从高位回落了不少,近期确实有部分抄底黄金的投资者,特别是五一期间。金价突破1800美元/盎司之后,我认为是短期的底部已经确立,未来上涨的可能性增加,短线的目标,我看到1900美元/盎司,期间可能会有所波动,但是整体会底部抬升。” 广东省黄金协会副会长兼首席黄金分析师朱志刚对21世纪经济报道记者表示。
世界黄金协会最新发布的数据显示,4月份全球黄金ETF(交易所买卖基金)持仓继续下跌,但速度明显放缓,其中欧洲的黄金ETF基金规模更是自1月以来首次上升。
统计显示,月内黄金ETF总持仓减少18.3吨(约合11亿美元,资产管理规模减少0.5%,下同),是过去半年来第五次出现净流出的月份。北美基金(尤其是美国的基金)仍然主导全球黄金ETF的净流出,持仓减少28.4吨(16亿美元,-1.6%)。相反,在法国、瑞士和英国等国基金的贡献之下,欧洲的黄金ETF实现了10.6吨(5.14亿美元,+0.6%)的净流入。
亚洲上市基金则一反今年一季度的强劲势头,录得0.5吨(1300万美元)的小幅流出,其中,中国黄金(17.290, -0.16, -0.92%)ETF基金持仓减少了2吨(1.11亿美元,-2.8%)。印度基金持仓则继续增长,4月新增1.3吨(8400万美元,+4.4%)。
报告指出,全球黄金ETF资产管理规模自2020年11月达到峰值以来,至今已下跌近14%,其中8%源于黄金ETF流出,6%是由因抛售导致的美元金价下跌所致。
世界黄金协会表示,近期黄金的强势可归因于美元疲软、金价正在“再通胀”周期中追赶其他大宗商品的强劲表现,以及财政刺激措施的增加以及央行持续的宽松立场。
华泰期货分析师陈思捷表示,美联储将于北京时间周四(5月20日)2:00公布最近一次政策会议纪要,预计美联储将证实,决策层仍认为它们距离加息仍有一段时间。美联储决策层已经反复强调,近期通胀飙升只是暂时的,并重申预计利率将维持在较低水平。美联储决心通过低利率和购买债券来刺激经济,直到生产和就业缺口完全弥合,并准备在一定程度上容忍物价涨幅高于目标。不过19日就商品整体波动较大,原油价格出现大幅下挫,从而致使工业品整体走弱。而这在一定程度上或许会对于通胀预期产生负面影响,叠加美元指数从低位反弹,使得贵金属价格也呈现出了冲高回落的情况。不过就当下操作而言,由于美联储会议纪要中仍是以相对鸽派的态度为主,因此在这样的情况下,美元的反弹或仍难以持久,故此对于贵金属而言,目前仍以逢低做多的思路为主。
开源证券赵伟团队开宗明义表示,比特币暂时还无法取代黄金,成为避险之王。赵伟团队表示,比特币目前并不具备避险属性,价格走势与主流央行政策宽松力度密切相关。2020年9月以来,比特币持续领涨全球资本市场;部分市场观点认为,比特币将取代黄金、成为全球新的避险资产之王。
黄金、美债等能成为优质避险资产,缘于能够对冲风险偏好回落,并具备低波动率、高流动性、大市值等特征。 与黄金等避险资产相比,比特币波动率高、流动性差、市值非常小;回溯历史数据,风险资产剧烈调整阶段,比特币常常同步大跌。历史数据显示,比特币与黄金走势频频背离,与衡量风险偏好的VIX指数也无稳健相关关系。2018年以来,美股标普500指数先后经历了3次剧烈调整,跌幅分别达到8.5%、19.1%、33.7%;同期,比特币分别大幅下跌21.6%、37.5%、32.4%,表现远不如黄金等避险资产。
比特币尚不具备避险属性;但是,由于能行使部分一般等价物职能及数量相对稀缺,比特币的价格实际上隐含了成为全球性“保值货币”的预期,在主流央行“大放水”阶段往往大涨。中短期来看,伴随全球经济在疫苗支持下修复加快、主流央行政策退出预期抬升,比特币价格波动或将加大。长期而言,比特币能否真正成为全球性“保值货币”,与数字货币发展、监管政策变化等密切相关。

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The wrecks of explosives-laden Nazi ships sunk in the Danube River during World War II have emerged near Serbia’s river port town of Prahovo, after a drought in July and August that saw the river’s water level drop.
Four vessels dating from before 1950 have also come to light in Hungary’s Danube-Drava National Park near Mohacs, where the Danube’s water level stood at only 1.5 meters (4.9 feet) on Tuesday, the lingering effect of severe heat waves and persistent drought in July and August.
The vessels revealed in Prahovo were among hundreds scuttled along the Danube by Nazi Germany’s Black Sea fleet in 1944 as they retreated from advancing Soviet forces, destroying the ships themselves. The wrecks can hamper river traffic during low water levels.
Strewn across the riverbed, some of the ships still have turrets, command bridges, broken masts and twisted hulls, while others lie mostly submerged under sandbanks.
Endre Sztellik, a guard at the Danube-Drava national park, said of one of the ships, “we still don’t know what this is exactly. What is visible and an unfortunate fact is that the wreck is diminishing as people are interested in it and parts of it are going missing.”
The Danube stood at 1.17 meters (3.8 feet) in Budapest on Tuesday, which compares with an all-time record low of around 0.4 meters (1.3 feet) registered in October 2018. During floods, the Danube rises well above 6 meters (19.7 feet).
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Remember when Lady Gaga ‘bled’ onstage during her shocking performance at the 2009 VMAs?
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Singing about the perils of fame, being dragged out from beneath a fallen chandelier then bleeding to death in front of a roomful of celebrities: Lady Gaga was not shy about making her debut at the MTV Video Music Awards.
The year was 2009 — many will remember it as the year rapper Ye (formerly Kanye West) stage-crashed 19-year-old Taylor Swift and suggested her award for Best Female Video should have gone to Beyonce instead. But never one to be overshadowed, Lady Gaga, then 23, made some pop culture history of her own that night.
Her rendition of “Paparazzi” — lamenting both unrequited love and the sinister effects of hounding tabloids — has gone down in the mists of Gaga legend; not least because a lack of high-quality footage means fans must resort to watching grainy screen-recorded versions circulated on social media.
Over the limited number of pixels, Gaga can be seen at the start of the performance in an all-white ensemble: a bejeweled, asymmetric lace bodysuit and matching cape, thigh-high boots, a feathered Keko Hainswheeler headpiece and strings of glinting pearls. As she staggered back from her piano at the song’s crescendo, however, an audible gasp swept the room as thick blood suddenly appeared to be pouring from her abdomen.
“I’m your biggest fan, I’ll follow you until you love me,” Gaga wailed desperately, her once-pristine outfit now daubed in scarlet. She ended the number suspended above the stage, ‘dead,’ as more blood dripped from her eyes.
“(It) gives me chills every time I watch it,” Olivia Rodrigo told MTV in 2021. “I think Lady Gaga is the best performer of our generation.” The “Drivers License” singer appeared to take notes. At this year’s Grammy Awards, she began to ‘bleed’ from clenched fists while performing her hit “vampire,” spreading fake blood across her arms and neck as the song progressed.
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The world’s best pizza for 2024 isn’t in Naples – or even in Italy. Here’s where it is …
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Many New Yorkers will gladly tell anyone who’ll listen – and even those who won’t – about how they have the best pizza. And now they’ve got some mouth-watering new back-up for their long-standing culinary claims.
This week, the Italy-based 50 Top Pizza Awards came out with its 2024 worldwide list, and a Lower East Side restaurant came out on top.
Una Pizza Napoletana, opened by pizza maestro Anthony Mangieri in March 2022, not only beat out US competitors but also global ones. That includes pizzerias in Naples, Italy, the holy land for pizza aficionados and foodies in general.
“It’s inspiring to be recognized for this 30 years into my career, especially in Naples where pizza originated,” Mangieri said in an email to CNN Travel on Thursday.
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Adding to their bragging rights, New Yorkers saw three other pizzerias make the 2024 list, which included 101 restaurants in total (despite the “50” in the name of the awards). The rankings for the other New York pizzerias were Ribalta at No. 19, Don Antonio at No. 30 and L’industrie Pizzeria at No. 80.
Italy still managed to dominate the overall list with 41 eateries while the United States got a total of 15 places recognized. And Naples managed to best New York with five entries on the list, including a tie for the No. 2 spot with Diego Vigtaliano Pizzeria.
Showing how truly global the awards are, nations not exactly known for their pizza scenes –South Korea, Bolivia and India, to name three – were represented on the list.
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Hyundai and General Motors (GM) have agreed to look for ways to work together on developing new vehicles, supply chains and technologies in an effort to cut costs and move more quickly.
Global carmakers are under intense pressure to come up with new electric vehicle (EV) and battery technology because they face vehicle emissions regulations around the world. Those research and development efforts could cost tens of billions of dollars.
They’re also facing an onslaught of potential competition from Chinese automakers, particularly EV producers, trying to export their lower-cost models overseas in order to escape a huge oversupply problem at home.
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South Korea’s Hyundai and America’s GM (GM) said on Thursday they would collaborate on joint product development, manufacturing and future clean energy technologies. They plan to work together on internal combustion, clean-energy, electric and hydrogen vehicles.
The non-binding framework agreement was signed by Hyundai Motor Executive Chair Euisun Chung and GM Chair and CEO Mary Barra.
“Our goal is to unlock the scale and creativity of both companies to deliver even more competitive vehicles to customers faster and more efficiently,” Barra said in the statement.
Including its affiliate Kia, Hyundai Motor is the world’s third-largest automaker by sales, according to Reuters, while GM is currently America’s largest carmaker, having retaken that title from Toyota (TM) in 2022.
“This partnership will enable Hyundai Motor and GM to evaluate opportunities to enhance competitiveness in key markets and vehicle segments, as well as drive cost efficiencies and provide stronger customer value,” Chung said in the statement.
Carmakers are increasingly sealing partnerships as a way of becoming more competitive in a cut-throat industry driven by price wars.
Last year, Nissan and Renault finalized the terms of their revamped alliance, which will focus on developing EVs. GM and Honda (HMC), along with Cruise — GM’s autonomous driving subsidiary — have agreed to create a driverless ride-hailing company in Japan.
Scientists who discovered mammals can breathe through their anuses receive Ig Nobel prize
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The world still holds many unanswered questions. But thanks to the efforts of the research teams awarded the IG Nobel Prize on Thursday, some of these questions – which you might not even have thought existed – now have answers.
We now know that many mammals can breathe through their anuses, that there isn’t an equal probability that a coin will land on head or tails, that some real plants somehow imitate the shapes of neighboring fake plastic plants, that fake medicine which causes painful side-effects can be more effective than fake medicine without side-effects, and that many of the people famous for reaching lofty old ages lived in places that had bad record-keeping.
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The awards – which have no affiliation to the Nobel Prizes – aim to “celebrate the unusual, honor the imaginative – and spur people’s interest in science, medicine, and technology” by making “people laugh, then think.”
In a two-hour ceremony as quirky as the scientific achievements it was celebrating, audience members were welcomed to their seats by accordion music, before a safety briefing warned them not to “sit on anyone, unless you are a child,” not to “feed, chase or eat ducks” and to throw their paper airplane safely. There were two “paper airplane deluges” during the ceremony in which the audience attempted to throw their creations – safely – at a target in the middle of the stage.
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American psychologist B.F Skinner was posthumously awarded the peace prize for his work attempting to use pigeons to guide the flight path of missiles, while a European-wide research team was awarded the probability prize for conducting 350,757 experiments to demonstrate that a coin tends to land on the same side it started when it is flipped.
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The awards – which have no affiliation to the Nobel Prizes – aim to “celebrate the unusual, honor the imaginative – and spur people’s interest in science, medicine, and technology” by making “people laugh, then think.”
In a two-hour ceremony as quirky as the scientific achievements it was celebrating, audience members were welcomed to their seats by accordion music, before a safety briefing warned them not to “sit on anyone, unless you are a child,” not to “feed, chase or eat ducks” and to throw their paper airplane safely. There were two “paper airplane deluges” during the ceremony in which the audience attempted to throw their creations – safely – at a target in the middle of the stage.
Among those collecting their prizes was a Japanese research team led by Ryo Okabe and Takanori Takebe who discovered that mammals can breathe through their anuses. They say in their paper that this potentially offers an alternative way of getting oxygen into critically ill patients if ventilator and artificial lung supplies run low, like they did during the Covid-19 pandemic.
American psychologist B.F Skinner was posthumously awarded the peace prize for his work attempting to use pigeons to guide the flight path of missiles, while a European-wide research team was awarded the probability prize for conducting 350,757 experiments to demonstrate that a coin tends to land on the same side it started when it is flipped.
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Scientists have solved the mystery of a 650-foot mega-tsunami that made the Earth vibrate for 9 days
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Some seismologists thought their instruments were broken when they started picking up vibrations through the ground back in September, said Stephen Hicks, a study co-author and a seismologist at University College London.
It wasn’t the rich orchestra of high pitches and rumbles you might expect with an earthquake, but more of a monotonous hum, he told CNN. Earthquake signals tend to last for minutes; this one lasted for nine days.
He was baffled, it was “completely unprecedented,” he said.
Seismologists traced the signal to eastern Greenland, but couldn’t pin down a specific location. So they contacted colleagues in Denmark, who had received reports of a landslide-triggered tsunami in a remote part of the region called Dickson Fjord.
The result was a nearly year-long collaboration between 68 scientists across 15 countries, who combed through seismic, satellite and on-the-ground data, as well as simulations of tsunami waves to solve the puzzle.
The world’s best pizza for 2024 isn’t in Naples – or even in Italy. Here’s where it is …
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Many New Yorkers will gladly tell anyone who’ll listen – and even those who won’t – about how they have the best pizza. And now they’ve got some mouth-watering new back-up for their long-standing culinary claims.
This week, the Italy-based 50 Top Pizza Awards came out with its 2024 worldwide list, and a Lower East Side restaurant came out on top.
Una Pizza Napoletana, opened by pizza maestro Anthony Mangieri in March 2022, not only beat out US competitors but also global ones. That includes pizzerias in Naples, Italy, the holy land for pizza aficionados and foodies in general.
“It’s inspiring to be recognized for this 30 years into my career, especially in Naples where pizza originated,” Mangieri said in an email to CNN Travel on Thursday.
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Adding to their bragging rights, New Yorkers saw three other pizzerias make the 2024 list, which included 101 restaurants in total (despite the “50” in the name of the awards). The rankings for the other New York pizzerias were Ribalta at No. 19, Don Antonio at No. 30 and L’industrie Pizzeria at No. 80.
Italy still managed to dominate the overall list with 41 eateries while the United States got a total of 15 places recognized. And Naples managed to best New York with five entries on the list, including a tie for the No. 2 spot with Diego Vigtaliano Pizzeria.
Showing how truly global the awards are, nations not exactly known for their pizza scenes –South Korea, Bolivia and India, to name three – were represented on the list.
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Mpox - formerly known as monkeypox - is a highly contagious disease and has killed at least 635 people in DR Congo this year.
Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
“We've learned from social media that the vaccine is already available,” Emmanuel Fikiri, a nurse working at the clinic that has been turned into a specialist centre to tackle the virus, told the BBC.
He said this was the first time he had treated patients with mpox and every day he feared catching it and passing it on to his own children - aged seven, five and one.
“You saw how I touched the patients because that's my job as a nurse. So, we're asking the government to help us by first giving us the vaccines.”
The reason it will take time to transport the vaccines is that they need to be stored at a precise temperature - below freezing - to maintain their potency, plus they need to be sent to rural areas of South Kivu, like Kamituga, Kavumu and Lwiro, where the outbreak is rife.
The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
At the community clinic, Dr Pacifique Karanzo appeared fatigued and downbeat having been rushed off his feet all morning.
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“You will even see that the patients are sleeping on the floor,” he told me, clearly exasperated.
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