重磅考验在即美元先跌为敬、90大关恐将难保?美元、欧元(1.2164, 0.0014, 0.12%)、英镑(1.4174, 0.0038, 0.27%)、日元、澳元(0.7788, 0.0021, 0.27%)最新操作建议
FX168财经报社(香港)讯 周一(5月17日),美元小幅走低,因通胀忧虑加剧,且美国地区制造业调查显示物价创下纪录高位,令风险较高的货币受益,美元受损。
但美国10年期国债收益率基本持平,因市场人士在寻找美联储对中短期通膨容忍度的线索。
纽约Bannockburn Forex首席市场策略师Marc Chandler表示:“鉴于美元自上周遭遇抛售以来一直未能大幅反弹,这告诉我,推动美元升值的不是外汇市场,而是利率市场。如果不提高利率,很难看到美元有多大的吸引力。”
美联储将于周三公布4月货币政策会议纪要,市场人士将从中寻找有关美联储对当前通胀飙升看法的线索。
“美联储仍在说,他们将非常有耐心,”Chandler补充道。“如果美国不提供更高的利率,美元将承担负担,这就是我们现在的处境。”
纽约联储的报告显示,纽约州制造商支付的价格创下纪录高位,因原材料生产商难以满足蓬勃发展的需求。
FXDailyReport撰文就美元、欧元、英镑、日元、澳元走势进行了分析预测并给出了操作策略:
美元指数(90.1048, -0.1122, -0.12%)
上周,美元遭遇了看跌拒绝。美元指数料将继续走软,重新测试90.00支撑位。如果该支撑位失守,那么交易员将准备继续看跌至89.60和88.80。
欧元/美元
欧元/美元从1.2070支撑位反弹,目标瞄准1.2200这一阻力位。交易员将关注该货币对在1.2200附近的反应。在没有重大看跌反应的情况下,最好至少保持多头头寸,直到该货币对跌至1.2070下方。
支撑:1.2070、1.2000、1.1820、1.1710
阻力:1.2200、1.2300
英镑/美元
英镑/美元下跌并测试了1.4000支撑位。该货币对成功从该水平反弹并恢复了其看涨走势。只要该货币对保持在1.3835-1.4000区域上方,那么它将继续看涨趋势,目标为1.4325。
支撑:1.4000、1.3835、1.3600
阻力:1.4325
美元/日元
美元/日元再次突破109.00,目前正在缓慢向下移动。我们可能会看到该货币对在109.00上产生看涨反应。如果该货币对能从该水平反弹,那么它将瞄准110.00这一目标阻力位。
支撑:109.00、108.00、106.70
阻力:110.00、111.00
澳元/美元
上周澳元/美元未能维持在0.7800上方,随后有所回落。幸运的是,该货币对可能会从区域底部反弹,本周略有上涨。交易员将观察盘整走势,并根据下一个突破方向进行交易。
支撑:0.7750、0.7700
阻力:0.7800、0.8000
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