周四(5月13日),美国劳工部公布的另一项通胀数据也表现强劲:4月份生产者价格指数(PPI)上涨0.6%,3月份PPI上涨1.0%;数据强于预期,经济学家预测增长0.3%。
报告称,今年整体通胀率上升了6.2%,为“自2010年11月首次计算12个月数据以来的最大涨幅”。
剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心生产者价格指数上个月上涨0.7%,3月份上涨0.7%。核心通货膨胀数据也比预期的要热,市场此前一致预测会增长0.4%。
报告称,上月核心通胀率同比上升4.6%,为2014年8月首次计算12个月数据以来的最大涨幅。
4月份美国生产者的价格上涨超过预期,这进一步表明,通胀压力正在扩大,并波及到美国消费者。
与此同时,美国公布的另一项数据也表现靓丽:美国至5月8日当周初请失业金人数降至47.3万,创下去年3月14日当周以来最低值,预期49万,前值由49.8万修正为50.7万。
有机构评论指出,美国失业金申请人数上周降至新低,因商业信心增强,雇主寻求填补因限制措施而留下的空缺职位。随着越来越多的美国人接种疫苗和消费者需求增加,劳动力市场继续改善,有助于刺激经济活动。随着更多的企业和州取消限制措施,预计招聘将继续加速。
数据公布之后,美元指数(90.7469, 0.0290, 0.03%)短线下滑至90.61低点,但随后自低位反弹至平盘略下方,收报90.73,小幅下跌0.06%。
IG撰文称,欧元/美元和英镑/美元的涨势有所停滞,而美元/日元在昨日的反弹之后持稳。
IG还针对欧元、英镑、日元的走势进行了简要分析,内容如下:
欧元/美元:从近期高位回落
随着欧元/美元从上周末的高点回落,过去一个月的上涨最近已经被遏制住了。
该货币对继续维持从3月底开始的上升趋势线支撑,但尚未形成突破。进一步上涨的目标是1.22区域,该区域在今年迄今的大部分时间里一直是阻力位。目前,如跌至上升趋势线下方,将转而持有更悲观的观点。
英镑/美元:看涨观点继续占上风
英镑/美元在反弹至两个月高位后回落,但在清除了1.40附近的阻力区后,看涨观点继续占上风。
如进一步上涨,汇价将逼近2月底的高点1.425。如跌回1.40下方将意味着短期内将出现回撤,但较长期内仍处于上行趋势。
美元/日元:汇价大涨使得看涨观点恢复
美元/日元昨日飙升,从上升趋势线支撑反弹,也突破了自3月高点的趋势线阻力位。这让买家重新掌控了局面,而汇价在109.80上方的进一步上涨强化了看涨观点,为进一步涨向3月高点111.00开启了道路。
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