
英镑(1.4120, -0.0018, -0.13%)多头持续发力,明日关注这一数据 花旗持续看好,英镑还有上涨空间
FX168财经报社(北美)讯 周二(5月11日),英镑/美元上涨了0.25%,为周一的强劲上涨进一步增加了上行空间,这主要是因为人们对苏格兰选举结果感到宽慰,且经济预测有所改善,以及英国采取了更宽松的封锁措施。英镑/美元已经从1.4103的低点升至1.4167的高点,目前在1.4154处交易。
苏格兰大选的结果是,苏格兰民族党(Scottish National Party)没有获得绝对多数席位,这让英镑多头们松了口气。上周末,支持独立的政党在苏格兰议会中获得多数席位,苏格兰首席部长斯特金(苏格兰民族党党魁)称,这给予她授权寻求举行第二次独立公投。但苏格兰要再次举行独立公投需获得英国政府批准,而首相约翰逊已经排除这个可能。
与此同时,英国央行近来一直是英镑在市场表现稳健的一个因素。
明天的英国国内生产总值(gdp)数据将受到密切关注,因为英国央行预计,今年剩余时间英国经济增长将恢复到一切爆发前的水平。需要关注的经济数据不仅包括英国第一季度GDP和3月工业生产的发布,还应该注意的是,英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利将发表演讲。此外,英国首相约翰逊在下次解除一切相关限制时将公布的措施将是一个重点,在英国疫苗接种取得进展的好消息中,预计消费者信心将会很高。
花旗也讨论了英镑前景,认为未来几周英镑有进一步上涨的空间。该行认为,苏格兰举行第二次独立公投的可能性很小。即使英国政府允许,该行认为的基本情况将是,这条道路只会在英国疫情结束后很久才开始,日期约为2024年。现货交易员认为,对于多头来说,这已经足够了,因为该行认为近期内第二次公投的风险非常低,焦点和价格走势可能会受到英国通货再膨胀/重新开业/新冠肺炎局势的主导。目前已经看到很多企业正在快速购买英镑。

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