英镑/美元守住涨幅，英国央行（Bank of England）将做出货币政策决定，而最终民调显示，苏格兰大选势均力敌，难分胜负。目前英镑/美元小幅上涨0.12%至1.39。
预计英国央行周四将维持利率在0.10%不变，并维持月度债券购买规模不变。
大和资本（Daiwa Capital）表示：“由于只有一位成员（即将离任的首席经济学家霍尔丹（Haldane））可能被视为鹰派，货币政策委员会很可能还没有看到有必要从目前每周42亿英镑的购买规模缩减购债规模。”该行补充称，英国央行的决定还将伴随着最新的经济预测，这可能反映出经济数据“在很大程度上强于货币政策委员会在2月份发布的最新预测”。
花旗则认为英国央行很有可能发出技术性缩减量化宽松的信号，该行认为，外汇市场只会在意4月会议上有关“是否缩减购债规模”的辩论的性质是否与货币政策的总体方向有很大关系，尤其是在提前加息的风险方面。
除了货币政策行动之外，苏格兰大选也可能对英镑的市场走向产生影响。苏格兰各地的选民将前往投票站投票，这次选举被视为苏格兰从英国独立的公投，也被称为“苏格兰脱欧”。如果苏格兰民族党（SNP）在选举中赢得绝对多数，苏格兰首席部长尼古拉·斯特金（Nicola Sturgeon）已承诺要求就独立进行第二次公投。
投票之前，最终的民意调查显示，结果势均力敌。益普索一莫里调查说：“苏格兰民族党将在周四的选举中处于非常有利的地位。”“然而，不可能基于这些结果自信地预测苏格兰民族党是否一定会赢得绝对多数席位。”
而花旗认为，对英国再次举行独立公投的担忧可能会在公投中或之后对英镑造成压力，但由于政治不确定性导致的风险降低，英镑的弱势应该会消退。第二季度英镑基本面依然强劲。
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