鲍威尔一句话,美股三大指数集体跳水!美联储继续放“鸽”,政策转向或在下半年

2021年04月29日 8235点热度 0人点赞 1,576条评论

地时间4月28日,美联储公布最新利率决议,将基准利率维持在0%-0.25%区间不变,并保持每月1200亿美元的资产购买速度不变。在随后举行的新闻发布会上,美联储主席鲍威尔称,通胀的暂时上升不符合加息的标准,同时表示股市的某些东西的确体现出市场泡沫。

值得注意的是,在美联储公布利率决议后,美股三大指数集体拉升,但在鲍威尔谈及美国股市泡沫时,三大指数集体跳水,收盘时齐跌。

美联储继续放“鸽”

当地时间4月28日,美联储继续放“鸽”。

据最新利率决议,美联储将基准利率维持在0%-0.25%区间不变,将超额准备金率(IOER)维持在0.1%不变,将贴现利率维持在0.25%不变,并保持每月1200亿美元的资产购买速度不变。

鲍威尔在随后的新闻发布会上强调,通胀临时性上扬不意味着美联储将加息,现在还不是开始谈论缩减购债规模的时候。在实现目标之前,接近零的利率政策是适宜的。时机适宜时将放缓对抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)的购买速度,但不是现在。

美联储嘹亮的“鸽”声降低了市场对其加息的押注。

据CME“美联储观察”,截至北京时间4月29日6:00,美联储6月维持利率在0%-0.25%区间的概率为92.0%,加息25个基点的概率为8.0%;而在一日前,上述两个概率分别为88.9%、10.8%。

鲍威尔一句话,美股三大指数集体跳水!美联储继续放“鸽”,政策转向或在下半年

在谈及市场时,鲍威尔表示,股市的某些东西的确体现出市场泡沫,金融稳定性整体上良莠不齐,但仍然是可控的。

值得注意的是,在美联储公布利率决议后,美股三大指数集体拉升,标普500指数盘中站上4200点,创盘中历史新高。但在鲍威尔谈及股市泡沫时,三大指数集体跳水,收盘时齐跌。据Wind数据,道琼斯工业指数、纳斯达克指数、标普500指数收盘分别跌0.48%、0.28%、0.08%。

鲍威尔一句话,美股三大指数集体跳水!美联储继续放“鸽”,政策转向或在下半年

下半年或释放政策转向信号

分析人士称,美联储正站在走向收紧还是继续宽松的十字路口:种种迹象表明美国经济复苏正在进入快车道,美联储可能要考虑政策调整,然而美联储此前发布的点阵图表明,决策者计划在未来三年保持相同的货币宽松政策。美联储货币政策转向信号何时出现?

开源证券首席经济学家赵伟分析称,相比通胀,美联储更关注就业。以史为鉴,美联储开启加息周期的触发因素,都是美国就业大幅改善。对于目前美国就业情况,赵伟认为疫情和财政“发钱”拖慢了修复进度。从最新公布的非农就业报告来看,2020年5月以来,美国非农就业人数累计增加1417万人,占前期受疫情冲击而萎缩的就业规模(2153万)的62%左右。

赵伟判断,综合美国就业的修复进程及2013年的政策退出经验来看,美联储可能在下半年释放退出QE的信号,并在2022年下半年前后正式退出QE。

中金公司对于美联储政策转向时间点的判断则更为具体。中金公司表示,美联储可能要到7月再讨论削减宽松,并于12月开启削减宽松进程。任何提前讨论削减QE的暗示都或是超预期的。

美国银行预计,美联储将在2022年初开始缩减购债规模,并提前6个月发出信号即今年下半年,并在2023年下半年开始加息。

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    American psychologist B.F Skinner was posthumously awarded the peace prize for his work attempting to use pigeons to guide the flight path of missiles, while a European-wide research team was awarded the probability prize for conducting 350,757 experiments to demonstrate that a coin tends to land on the same side it started when it is flipped.

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    The non-binding framework agreement was signed by Hyundai Motor Executive Chair Euisun Chung and GM Chair and CEO Mary Barra.

    “Our goal is to unlock the scale and creativity of both companies to deliver even more competitive vehicles to customers faster and more efficiently,” Barra said in the statement.

    Including its affiliate Kia, Hyundai Motor is the world’s third-largest automaker by sales, according to Reuters, while GM is currently America’s largest carmaker, having retaken that title from Toyota (TM) in 2022.

    “This partnership will enable Hyundai Motor and GM to evaluate opportunities to enhance competitiveness in key markets and vehicle segments, as well as drive cost efficiencies and provide stronger customer value,” Chung said in the statement.

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    In a two-hour ceremony as quirky as the scientific achievements it was celebrating, audience members were welcomed to their seats by accordion music, before a safety briefing warned them not to “sit on anyone, unless you are a child,” not to “feed, chase or eat ducks” and to throw their paper airplane safely. There were two “paper airplane deluges” during the ceremony in which the audience attempted to throw their creations – safely – at a target in the middle of the stage.
    Among those collecting their prizes was a Japanese research team led by Ryo Okabe and Takanori Takebe who discovered that mammals can breathe through their anuses. They say in their paper that this potentially offers an alternative way of getting oxygen into critically ill patients if ventilator and artificial lung supplies run low, like they did during the Covid-19 pandemic.

    American psychologist B.F Skinner was posthumously awarded the peace prize for his work attempting to use pigeons to guide the flight path of missiles, while a European-wide research team was awarded the probability prize for conducting 350,757 experiments to demonstrate that a coin tends to land on the same side it started when it is flipped.

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    Even though 200,000 vaccines, donated by the European Commission, were flown into the capital, Kinshasa, last week, they are yet to be transported across this vast country - and it could be several weeks before they reach South Kivu.
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    The lack of infrastructure and bad roads mean that helicopters could possibly be used to drop some of the vaccines, which will further drive up costs in a country that is already struggling financially.
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    Today, the lush, green valley surrounding the Tollense River in northeast Germany appears to be a serene place to appreciate nature.

    But to archaeologists, the Tollense Valley is considered Europe’s oldest battlefield.

    An amateur archaeologist first spotted a bone sticking out of the riverbank in 1996.

    A series of ongoing site excavations since 2008 has shown that the thousands of bones and hundreds of weapons preserved by the valley’s undisturbed environment were part of a large-scale battle 3,250 years ago.

    The biggest mysteries that researchers aim to uncover are why the battle occurred and who fought in it. These are questions that they are now one step closer to answering.
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    On Monday, Kendall Jenner stepped out onto the L’Oreal Paris womenswear runway in a scarlet red Mugler gown that might have looked familiar to anyone with a sharp memory of 1999.

    The front of the dress was slashed open across Jenner’s right shoulder, exposing a matching denier bra. The peekaboo moment conjured up memories of another example of fashionable flashing: Lil’ Kim’s purple embellished jumpsuit at the VMAs 26 years earlier. On the red carpet, Kim’s left breast was almost entirely revealed by an asymmetrical cut — a mirror image of Jenner’s neckline — save for a matching purple nipple pasty.
    Jenner’s Mugler moment was just the latest example of a resurging tendency for underwear as outerwear. At the Nensi Dojaka runway show in London earlier this month, boxy blazers were shrugged over strappy bras while paneled bustiers in sheer fabric were paired with capri trousers and reimagined as going out tops. Brasseries were even left exposed to the elements at Erdem — a departure for a house beloved by both British acting royalty (Kristen Scott Thomas) and actual royalty (the Duchess of Cambridge). Dolce & Gabbana got the memo, too, showing satin corsets, garter belts and Madonna-esque cone bras at Milan Fashion Week on Saturday. Florence Pugh even wore one of the label’s risque designs in her first British Vogue cover last week — the circle neckline of her puff-shouldered black dress scooping just above the belly button, acting as a full-frontal frame for her bra.
    But the trend extends beyond just the runways. During the first performance of her “Short n’ Sweet” tour on Monday, singer Sabrina Carpenter took to the stage in a custom Victoria’s Secret bodysuit and stockings. Hand-adorned with over 150,000 crystals, the strapless pink lace-trimmed leotard took over 140 hours to make. On Monday,YouTube star and singer Jojo Siwa inverted the fad by donning a codpiece for a headline-grabbing cover shoot with LadyGunn magazine. The 15th century undergarment was bedazzled with flesh-colored gemstones.

    2024年10月1日
  • SamuelLag

    Automatic takeoffs are coming for passenger jets and they’re going to redraw the map of the sky
    <a href=https://krmp8.cc>kra10.cc</a>

    In late 1965, at what’s now London Heathrow airport, a commercial flight coming from Paris made history by being the first to land automatically.

    The plane – A Trident 1C operated by BEA, which would later become British Airways – was equipped with a newly developed extension of the autopilot (a system to help guide the plane’s path without manual control) known as “autoland.”

    Today, automatic landing systems are installed on most commercial aircraft and improve the safety of landings in difficult weather or poor visibility.

    Now, nearly 60 years later, the world’s third largest aircraft manufacturer, Brazil’s Embraer, is introducing a similar technology, but for takeoffs.

    Called “E2 Enhanced Take Off System,” after the family of aircraft it’s designed for, the technology would not only improve safety by reducing pilot workload, but it would also improve range and takeoff weight, allowing the planes that use it to travel farther, according to Embraer.

    “The system is better than the pilots,” says Patrice London, principal performance engineer at Embraer, who has worked on the project for over a decade. ”That’s because it performs in the same way all the time. If you do 1,000 takeoffs, you will get 1,000 of exactly the same takeoff.”

    Embraer, London adds, has already started flight testing, with the aim to get it approved by aviation authorities in 2025, before introducing it from select airports.

    2024年10月2日
  • Keithfroks

    7 simple secrets to eating the Mediterranean way
    <a href=https://kr08.cc>kraken сайт</a>
    What if “diet” wasn’t a dirty word?

    During Suzy Karadsheh’s childhood in Port Said, Egypt, diet culture was nonexistent.

    “My parents emphasized joy at the table, rather than anything else,” Karadsheh said. “I grew up with Mediterranean lifestyle principles that celebrate eating with the seasons, eating mostly whole foods and above all else, sharing.”

    But when Karadsheh moved to the United States at age 16, she witnessed people doing detoxes or restricting certain food groups or ingredients. Surrounded by that narrative and an abundance of new foods in her college dining hall, she says she “gained the freshman 31 instead of the freshman 15.” When she returned home to Egypt that summer, “I eased back into eating the Mediterranean food that I grew up with. During the span of about two months, I shed all of that weight without thinking I was ever on a diet.”
    To help invite joy back to the table for others — and to keep her family’s culinary heritage alive for her two daughters (now 14 and 22) — Atlanta-based Karadsheh launched The Mediterranean Dish food blog 10 years ago. Quickly, her table started getting filled with more than just her friends and family.

    “I started receiving emails from folks whose doctors had prescribed the Mediterranean diet and were seeking approachable recipes,” Karadsheh said. The plant-based eating lifestyle, often rated the world’s best diet, can reduce the risk for diabetes, high cholesterol, dementia, memory loss and depression, according to research. What’s more, the meal plan has been linked to stronger bones, a healthier heart and longer life.

    Preparing meals the Mediterranean way, according to Karadsheh, can help you “eat well and live joyfully. To us, ‘diet’ doesn’t mean a list of ‘eat this’ and ‘don’t eat that.’” Instead of omission, Karadsheh focuses on abundance, asking herself, “what can I add to my life through this way of living? More whole foods, vegetables, grains, legumes? Naturally, when you add these good-for-you ingredients, you eat less of what’s not as health-promoting,” she told CNN.

    2024年10月2日
  • PatrickKat

    Automatic takeoffs are coming for passenger jets and they’re going to redraw the map of the sky
    <a href=https://krmp8.cc>kra9 cc</a>

    In late 1965, at what’s now London Heathrow airport, a commercial flight coming from Paris made history by being the first to land automatically.

    The plane – A Trident 1C operated by BEA, which would later become British Airways – was equipped with a newly developed extension of the autopilot (a system to help guide the plane’s path without manual control) known as “autoland.”

    Today, automatic landing systems are installed on most commercial aircraft and improve the safety of landings in difficult weather or poor visibility.

    Now, nearly 60 years later, the world’s third largest aircraft manufacturer, Brazil’s Embraer, is introducing a similar technology, but for takeoffs.

    Called “E2 Enhanced Take Off System,” after the family of aircraft it’s designed for, the technology would not only improve safety by reducing pilot workload, but it would also improve range and takeoff weight, allowing the planes that use it to travel farther, according to Embraer.

    “The system is better than the pilots,” says Patrice London, principal performance engineer at Embraer, who has worked on the project for over a decade. ”That’s because it performs in the same way all the time. If you do 1,000 takeoffs, you will get 1,000 of exactly the same takeoff.”

    Embraer, London adds, has already started flight testing, with the aim to get it approved by aviation authorities in 2025, before introducing it from select airports.

    2024年10月2日
  • EugeneMup

    You can now order your Spirit Halloween costume on Uber Eats
    <a href=https://kr08.cc>кракен вход</a>
    Uber is cashing in on spooky season.

    The ridehailing company will now deliver costumes, makeup, and even decorations from Spirit Halloween, the largest Halloween retailer in North America, Uber announced in a press release Friday.

    Big-box retailers are getting into Halloween earlier and earlier, suggesting American consumers continue spending on the October holiday even as they pull back from other discretionary purchases.

    Customers in the US and Canada can buy their Chipotle burrito costume for the same price as in store, but without having to visit the seasonal Halloween store that pops up in abandoned storefronts every year, Uber said. Of course, there will still be the fees associated with Uber Eats delivery.

    Spirit Halloween has 1,525 locations.

    “The holiday season officially kicks off this time of year, and households across the country are looking to on-demand delivery to get what’s needed—now,” said Beryl Sanders, director of US grocery and retail partnerships at Uber, in a statement.

    Since the pandemic, different types of retailers have partnered with Uber to deliver their goods – such as Olive Garden for its breadsticks and pasta. Uber Eats has also partnered with Big Lots, Lowe’s, Michael’s and Party City for on-demand delivery.

    Uber and its competitors have also experimented with robot deliveries, though those have not fully taken off in the US market.

    2024年10月2日
  • Jeremyetels

    Sea robins are fish with ‘the wings of a bird and multiple legs like a crab’
    <a href=https://kr08.cc>kra10.cc</a>
    Some types of sea robins, a peculiar bottom-dwelling ocean fish, use taste bud-covered legs to sense and dig up prey along the seafloor, according to new research.

    Sea robins are so adept at rooting out prey as they walk along the ocean floor on their six leglike appendages that other fish follow them around in the hope of snagging some freshly uncovered prey themselves, said the authors of two new studies published Thursday in the journal Current Biology.

    David Kingsley, coauthor of both studies, first came across the fish in the summer of 2016 after giving a seminar at the Marine Biological Laboratory in Woods Hole, Massachusetts. Kingsley is the Rudy J. and Daphne Donohue Munzer Professor in the department of developmental biology at Stanford University’s School of Medicine.

    Before leaving to catch a flight, Kingsley stopped at a small public aquarium, where he spied sea robins and their delicate fins, which resemble the feathery wings of a bird, as well as leglike appendages.

    “The sea robins on display completely spun my head around because they had the body of a fish, the wings of a bird, and multiple legs like a crab,” Kingsley said in an email.
    “I’d never seen a fish that looked like it was made of body parts from many different types of animals.”
    Kingsley and his colleagues decided to study sea robins in a lab setting, uncovering a wealth of surprises, including the differences between sea robin species and the genetics responsible for their unusual traits, such as leglike fins that have evolved so that they largely function as sensory organs.

    The findings of the study team’s new research show how evolution leads to complex adaptations in specific environments, such as the ability of sea robins to be able to “taste” prey using their quickly scurrying and highly sensitive appendages.

    2024年10月2日