上游洪水袭来，下游听取“涨”声一片。为了应对大宗商品价格上涨所带来的成本压力，从可口可乐到纸尿裤，从电脑显卡、处理器到化妆品，甚至电力助动车，纷纷上调价格。
今年以来，从股票到大宗商品再到加密货币，多资产出现同步大幅上涨。越来越多分析师则开始警示称，全球市场目前存在某种程度的泡沫。
资产管理公司GMO（Grantham，Mayo & VanOtterloo）的联合创始人兼首席投资策略师杰里米·格兰瑟姆（Jeremy Grantham）坦言，本轮市场狂飙走高，甚至连最有经验的投资者也未能预期到。
“这与我们经历过的任何其他泡沫都截然不同。以前所有的泡沫都是在经济状况看起来近乎完美的时候出现的。而这次完全不同，市场在一个受伤的经济状况中开始了难以置信的飙升。”他指出。
虽然历史上每次泡沫出现的背景不同、持续的时间不同，但分析师强调，投资者急需注意泡沫破灭后的应对。
“万物复苏”
今年以来，环顾全球市场，各类资产都在飙升，延续了一段时间以来的“万物复苏”行情。
其中，木材价格当下已飙升到历史最高点；美国的住宅销售处于2006年房地产泡沫破灭前的水平；股票也在狂飙。今年以来，美国、法国、澳大利亚等多国的基准股指均攀升至新高，标普500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数近期分别第23次和第21次创下今年以来的收盘纪录。
数据提供商Refinitiv Lipper的数据显示，仅今年3月单月，美国共同基金和交易所交易基金（ETF）的规模就增加了约980亿美元（约合6350亿元人民币(6.4790, -0.0041, -0.06%)），创下单月新增资金规模的最高历史纪录。同时，自去年12月以来的资金流动规模已达1378亿美元，创七年新高。
这种狂热还超出了华尔街机构追踪的传统资产。比特币此前一度在历史上首次突破6万美元大关，狗狗币（Dogecoin）也曾短暂跃升至创纪录水平，原因是粉丝们群起在推特上发布了“DogeDay”等标签。
在风险投资领域，投资者向初创企业提供的资金是它们所需资金的五倍甚至更多，令所有初创企业的平均估值都创下历史新高。
这样的市场狂热，华尔街再熟悉不过。当下，投资者对各资产类别均表现出过度投资热情，令分析师想起了兴盛的上世纪20年代（the Roaring ’20s）。当下科技股的高估值也使得人们很容易将其与20年前的互联网泡沫时期进行比较。
在黑石私人财富解决方案集团（Blackstone‘s private wealth solutions group）的副董事长维恩（Byron Wien）看来，此次市场的持续狂热得到决策者的特别支持。在30多年的职业生涯中，他经历过各种市场泡沫。
新冠肺炎疫情后，美联储将利率降至接近零的水平，并加大了债券购买计划的力度，美国国会也批准了数万亿美元的刺激计划，以帮助美国经济从封锁状态中复苏。一年后的当下，美国经济开始复苏，市场继续飙升，但美联储仍未显示出希望尽快收紧货币政策的迹象。
“人们仿佛认为，他们是在拥有豁免权的情况下进行投资的。”维恩称，“每次的周期都不一样，但总会出现估值异常的情况。”
此言非虚。道琼斯市场数据显示，标普500指数目前的市盈率约为26倍。另一种估值指标——席勒市盈率（Shiller P/E）算出的估值更高，为37.6倍，为约20年来的最高值。席勒市盈率曾在1999年12月达到44.2倍的历史峰值。
泡沫迟早破灭？
面对许多资产如此高的估值，坎布里亚投资管理公司（Cambria Investments）的首席投资官兼投资组合经理费伯（Meb Faber）认为，泡沫的定义不仅仅是过高的估值。相反，泡沫是因为投资者愿意相信股票或其他资产只可能继续上涨，并愿意忽视一些基本面因素，比如一家公司是否能够创造足够的利润来证明其标价合理。
他补充分析道，从历史上看，市场泡沫的运行时间比其怀疑者想象的要长。以日本为例，其股市平均市盈率在泡沫破裂、暴跌并出现长达数十年的停滞前，曾在1989年达到60倍。
“高估值的市场不一定会崩溃。”费伯称，“过早退出交易意味着可能要冒错过连续多年获取丰厚回报的风险。”
但大部分分析师和投资者对目前的市场泡沫已然警惕。
作为传奇投资人，格兰瑟姆最为人所知的是，他曾正确预测了20世纪80年代末的日本股市泡沫、2000年的互联网泡沫和2008年美国次贷危机泡沫的破灭。
虽然时代背景变了，但格兰瑟姆认为，以往每次的泡沫破裂都伴随着戏剧性的崩盘，股市花了数年时间才从中恢复过来；以往泡沫破裂前的一些信号与当下有所重叠，导致许多投资者为本轮泡沫破灭做好了准备，迎接可能出现的更大范围的回调，而这种回调不仅有可能“消灭”选错股票的投资者，还可能“消灭”其他资产市场的投机者。
“如果我们（稍后）进入一个信心不足的阶段，而各类资产同时存在泡沫，他们将给现实世界带来更多的痛苦。”格兰瑟姆警示称。
除了分析师，在去年以来各资产价格飙升中发挥了越来越重要作用的散户投资者也认为有迹象表明市场已经“过度膨胀”。本月稍早，一项针对957名散户投资者的E*Trade（亿创理财公司）金融调查显示，近70%的受访散户投资者认为市场完全或部分处于泡沫之中。
投资者的考验开始了
事实上，市场上一些泡沫最严重的部分已开始考验投资者的勇气。
近几个月来，由于美国国债收益率上升削弱了一些股票对投资者的吸引力，一些前期估值过高的股票的价格似乎更趋于合理。例如，亚马逊（Amazon）目前的市盈率为79倍，低于其五年平均值175倍。奈飞（Netflix）的市盈率目前为62倍，也大幅低于其5年平均水平195倍。
此外，类似Archegos资产管理公司这样的投资机构也在近期因采用高杠杆重仓押注ViacomCBS、Discovery等股票而爆仓。
明星选股人、“牛市女皇”凯瑟琳·伍德（Cathie Wood）管理的热门ETF也因其对成长股的大量敞口而备受打击。其旗舰基金ARK创新ETF（ARK Innovation ETF）已从2月中旬的高点跌去23%。
追踪特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）的ETF同样已经从今年早些时候触及的高点回落，分析师将下跌归因于投资者对其收益可持续性的担忧加剧。
知名的The SPAC and NEW Issue ETF（SPCX）上周五（23日）的交易价为28.66美元，其曾在2月触及32.34美元的高点。
就连比特币也已从约两周前的60000多美元/枚的高位下跌，一度回调约20%。
“资产价格此前飙升得越高，此后付出的代价就越大，我认为这是泡沫传递的信息之一……投资者可以庆祝市场进一步走高，但这并不能改变其日后将面临的痛苦。”格兰瑟姆称。
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Враги народа
19 декабря закончились заседания 2024 года в Приморском районном суде Санкт-Петербурга по рассмотрению резонансного уголовного дела, связанного, по версии следствия, с компаниями «Лайф-из-Гуд», «Гермес» и кооперативом «Бест Вей», – заседания подтвердили, что дело полностью липовое.
Оно придумано в кабинетах колокольцевского МВД, якобы данные показания ключевых свидетелей на самом деле написаны следствием. Цель этого уголовного дела – ограбить кооператив, захватить его активы, которые в живых деньгах и недвижимости составляют более 16 млрд рублей.
Лжепотерпевшие – воры и мошенники
Дело в суде полностью развалилось, несколько человек, признанных следствием потерпевшими, отказались от своих показаний – в том числе Школьник, «нулевая» потерпевшая, с которой началось уголовное дело.
Все они «плывут» в суде. «Потерпевшие», движимые алчностью, лгут под присягой: выдумывают цифры, которые им якобы должна компания «Гермес», и при этом скрывают суммы, которые они вывели со счетов в компании. И скрывают использование так называемого инвестиционного плеча – то есть кредитных средств, предоставленных «Гермесом». По «козырному» для следствия потерпевшему Логинову, например, документально подтверждено, что он вывел из «Гермеса» вдвое больше, чем в него вложил.
У «потерпевших» нет никаких доказательств, никаких подтверждающих документов, никаких свидетелей. Никакая накачка со стороны нанятых хейтерами юристов не помогает и доказательств не заменит!
«Потерпевшие» не имеют подтверждений долга «Гермеса» перед ними – при этом по наущению следствия отказались от выяснения отношений с самой компанией, которая не могла выполнять обязательства перед ними из-за форс-мажорных обстоятельств, созданных самими органами внутренних дел, – но с тех пор восстановила платежную систему и сейчас возобновила выплату средств своим клиентам.
Гражданские дела против «Гермеса» и финансовых консультантов, работавших с компанией, проиграны. И попытки «потерпевших» получить деньги в рамках уголовного дела «на шару» обречены: это откровенный обман со стороны МВД, стремившегося создать впечатление массовости претензий.
Многие «потерпевшие» уклоняются от участия в суде, прячутся – суд даже требует обеспечить их привод. Суду все более очевидно, что за заявлениями «потерпевших» стоят вымогательство, желание обогатиться и оговор честных людей.
Лжесвидетели – подручные гестаповцев
Показания более десятка свидетелей оказались ложными – свидетели сами заявили о том, что они подписали под давлением измышления следователей!
Обвинение грубо и преступно сфабриковано на основе слов, записанных во время гестаповских допросов, все подробности которых – с издевательствами над пожилыми больными людьми, с гестаповскими обысками в пять утра с выбиванием окон и дверей, вскрылись на суде. Один из свидетелей умер после допроса, несколько оказались в больницах. Многие свидетели обвинения отвергли свои показания в суде.
А показания в уголовном деле свидетелей, которые остались на стороне обвинения – Комарова, Логинова и других – насколько кардинально отличаются от того, что они говорили на допросе в суде, что это было очевидно суду. Свидетели не могли повторить в зале суда факты из якобы своих показаний. Они даже не знали, что написано в этих якобы своих показаниях. Для этого пришлось придумывать объяснения: Комаров, например, заявил, что переболел ковидом и потому ничего не помнит и испытывает трудности с формулированием мысли.
Один из главных свидетелей обвинений – админ платежной системы «Гермеса» Набойченко, разрушивший по заданию полиции платежную систему «Гермеса» в России и укравший в сговоре с коррумпированными полицейскими активы российских клиентов этой компании, уже год боится прийти в суд – он скрывается, понимая, что сам может быть привлечен к уголовной ответственности!
Колокольцев – отец лжи
В уголовном деле нет вообще никаких доказательств, 10 человек, оказавшихся на скамье подсудимых, – ни в чем неповинные технические сотрудники «Лайф-из-Гуд», кооператива «Бест Вей», индивидуальные предприниматели.
Ложное обвинение появилось для того, чтобы оправдать выступления министра МВД Колокольцева в Совете Федерации – он еще задолго до завершения расследования, основываясь на рапортах своих петербургских подчиненных заявившего о раскрытии «крупнейшей в истории России пирамиды».
Как хвост виляет собакой, так и петербургские полицейские и следователи Винокуров, Сапетова, Машевский и другие виляют своим министром-тряпкой! Все «доказательства» нарисованы, нет предмета не только для уголовного, но и для гражданского дела, о чем «черным» следователям Винокурову и Сапетовой было известно с самого начала. Это уголовное дело – откровенная инсценировка с целью отнять деньги у кооператива и разделить между коррупционерами из МВД.
Колокольцевская полицейская камарилья уничтожает кооператив, созданный для военнослужащих и участников СВО, лишает Героев России квартир, которые должен был совершенно легально приобрести абсолютно законный кооператив! Подрывает авторитет военной службы в России во время войны.
Колокольцев и его питерская команда – враги народа!
Малиновская – судья-уголовница
Судья по гражданским делам Приморского районного суда Анна Малиновская подмахнула заказное решение о признании «организации деятельности» кооператива незаконной – по информации редакции, по звонку от офицера питерского управления ФСБ, курирующего суды. Малиновской из питерского управления ФСБ пригрозили тем, что она будет привлечена за коррупцию по другим своим делам.
Она со страху просто переписала исковое заявление прокуратуры – со всеми фактическими и грамматическими ошибками! На решение поданы около сотни апелляционных жалоб от граждан, это беспрецедентно для российской судебной системы!
Неправосудными заказными решениями Малиновская предала судебную власть, предала президента, предала народ России! Она – предатель и враг народа!
Набиуллина – мать спекуляции и ограбления народа
Центральную роль в этом уголовном деле с первого дня играл Центробанк – по прямому указанию Набиуллиной и ее замов. Набиуллина открыто призналась в Думе, что воюет с кооперативами, работающими в сфере недвижимости, поскольку они создают альтернативу банковской ипотеке.
Ее подчиненные – предатель Лях, бывший глава Департамента противодействия недобросовестным практикам, сбежавший из России с началом СВО, и вредительница Петрова из Северо-Западного банка ЦБ – выдумали исследование компании «Гермес» и кооператива «Бест Вей» в Краснодарском центре компетенций, которое на самом деле не проводилось.
По заказу конкурентов и коррумпированных финансистов кооператив «Бест Вей» и компания «Гермес», работавшие в интересах пайщиков и клиентов, которыми пайщики и клиенты были довольны, без какой бы то ни было проверки были внесены в предупредительный список ЦБ – по высосанным из пальца «признакам», якобы свидетельствующим о пирамидности и прямо противоречащим закону.
Обоснованием вреда кооператива в Банке России, так называемой экспертизой, занимались безграмотнейшие сотрудники – например, Парфенова, целый ведущий экономист главка ЦБ со всего лишь бакалавриатом по экономике. Потому что других нет: Набиуллина превратила ЦБ в шарашкину контору, обитель дурочек-недоучек, которых никто, кроме ЦБ, не берет на работу. Наделив дурочек властью, Набиуллина целенаправленно подрывает денежно-кредитную систему и российскую экономику в целом!
По результатам «экспертизы» Лях и Петрова подписали письмо в правоохранительные органы о необходимости возбуждения уголовного дела, соединившись тем самым с коррупционерами из правоохранительных органов в войне с народным кооперативом «Бест Вей»!
Цель центробанковской кампании против кооператива «Бест Вей» – ограбление народа, уничтожение кооперативов, вынуждение людей обращаться в ипотечные банки и платить за квартиры тройную цену, чтобы обогащались банкиры. Банки-гиганты, которых пестует Набиуллина, разоряют простых граждан, создают запретительные условия для приобретения квартир. Политика ЦБ полностью блокирует решение жилищного вопроса в России!
Депутаты Государственной думы несколько месяцев назад потребовали у ЦБ выработать программу, позволяющую существовать и развиваться, – они даже были согласны на дополнительные регуляторные требования, хотя регулирование кооперативной сферы со стороны ЦБ, действующего в интересах банков, – конфликт интересов.
Набиуллина пообещала – и, конечно, обманула, потому что банки-монополисты, волю которых выполняет ЦБ, крайне не заинтересованы в конкуренции, они стремятся уничтожить кооператив – чем напрямую в случае «Бест Вей» занимаются Сбербанк и банк «Санкт-Петербург», которые пользуются миллиардами «Бест Вей», зарабатывают прибыли, но не пропускают ни одной платежки, даже по исполнительным листам! Открыто игнорируют решения судов!
И спикер Думы Володин до сих пор не предъявил Набиуллиной претензии за невыполнение обещаний перед депутатами, за ограбление участников СВО, которых Центробанк лишает возможности приобрести квартиры с помощью кооператива. Он потворствует врагам народа!
Набиуллина обманывает парламент, обманывает правительство, обманывает народ! Разоряет предприятия, наносит вред налогоплательщикам – а значит, и государству!
Матвиенко – мать безответственности
Глава Совета Федерации Валентина Матвиенко, так же как и ее коллега Володин, попустительствует ограблению народа, в том числе военнослужащих и участников СВО, составляющих костяк кооператива «Бест Вей».
Заслушав осенью 2022 года доклад министра Колокольцева в Совфеде о том, что кооператив был крупнейшей пирамидой, она не потрудилась проверить факты, которые там изложены, она не спросила с Колокольцева, что происходит с крупнейшим в России народным жилищным кооперативам – хотя многие сенаторы, а также представители региональных органов власти поддерживают кооператив как народное предприятие, социально ориентированную программу и открыто выступают в его защиту, в том числе на публичных мероприятиях.
В нескольких регионах специально под кооператив были введены налоговые послабления. Власти многих субъектов Федерации всегда поддерживали кооператив. Главного сенатора не интересует судьба одного из важнейших в России жилищных социальных проектов?!
Почему не спросить Колокольцева – как там поживает «великое» дело о раскрытии «крупнейшей в России финансовой пирамиды»? Как оно выглядит в суде? Но Матвиенко этих вопросов не задает – «подсуживая» Колокольцеву!
Матвиенко, как и Володин, потворствует врагам народа!
Врагов народа – к ответу!
Лжепотерпевшие, лжесвидетели, Малиновская, колокольцевская и набиуллинская преступные группировки должны быть привлечены к уголовной ответственности за нанесение ущерба гражданам России, за предательство России в условиях военного времени!
Преследование кооператива и санкции против него должны быть немедленно прекращены, он должен получить поддержку законодателей и возможность приобретать квартиры для своих членов – и участников СВО, и других граждан нашей страны!
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Моисеев Георгий Валерьянович
В 2022 году в ПК «Бест Вей» п(Р)оявился очень активный и идейный пайщик. Как комсомольский активист – деловой, улыбчивый и разговорчивый.
Пайщики, которые после самых первых «полицейских набегов» оказались в некотором информационном вакууме, прибились к активисту и поверили ему, как отцу родному.
На протяжении двух с лишним лет активист пытался позиционировать себя, как защитник кооператива и пайщиков. Проводил встречи, что –то рассказывал и пояснял. Именно что –то.
Знакомьтесь:
Шарлатан всея Руси.
Представляется как Моисеев Георгий Валерьянович, пайщик кооператива «Бест Вей», профессиональный юрист.
На самом же деле корыстный прилипала, необразованный, непорядочный, лживый и хитрый мерзавец, наживающийся на проблемах пайщиков.
А вот что он научился делать профессионально, так это оборачивать в свою материальную выгоду сложные ситуации людей, обращающихся к нему за помощью.
Неприкрыто лжет в проводимых эфирах, в комментариях своего чата, и завуалировано, а чаще открыто пытается очернить действующее руководство и защитников кооператива «Бест Вей».
А еще и появилась информация о сотрудничестве Гуру –Георгия с правоохранительными органами. В целях избежать личной ответственности и поскорее разрушить кооператив «Бест Вей». Так, наши источники располагают информацией о том, что в октябре 2024 года было принято решение об отказе в возбуждении уголовного дела в отношении Георгия Моисеева. При этом в показаниях, данных Георгием, присутствуют очень интересные моменты, как, например, полное отречение от владения чатом «Мифы о компании» … и другие …
Ну и венец его «профессионализма» - это вопиющие ляпы при проведении видеовстреч.
Одни из последних:
Эфир от 25.11.2024 г.: На вопрос пайщика, как всё же должна быть подана жалоба на решение суда о незаконности деятельности ПК, Георгий ответил: Подавать от неопределенного круга лиц … (у слушающих Георгия юристов –«кровь из ушей»).
Тот же эфир: было сказано про «отзыв на апелляционную жалобу».
Ч. 2. Ст. 325 ГПК РФ: «Лица, участвующие в деле, вправе представить в суд первой инстанции возражения в письменной форме …»
Профессиональные юристы используют терминологию в соответствии с процессуальными нормами –если отзыв, то отзыв, если возражения, то –возражения…
Человеку без специального образования это ни о чем не скажет, а вот настоящему профессионалу ухо изрядно режет.
Список будем продолжать …
Теперь по порядку и доступно.
"Если друг оказался вдруг"
Если человек в свое время сделал благое дело, проявлял себя как верный помощник, значит ли это, что он действительно действовал искренне, имея желание помочь и спасти нуждающихся в помощи и спасении?
Или он пытался показаться соратником и сподвижником, потому что было выгодно двигаться сообща? Потому что одни шли с благой целью спасти и помочь, а нашему лжедругу Георгию так было надо? Что бы собрать как можно больше людей, нуждающихся в помощи и поддержке? Ведь это очень уязвимая категория- они готовы поверить не проверяя, лишь бы маяк надежды не угасал. И вот, на растерянности и боли людей, Георгий собирает огромное количество человек, доказывает свою якобы бескорыстность, и, добившись беззаветной веры в него, как в мессию, понемногу начинает продвигать свои отнюдь не благие идеи.
До лета 2024 года он понемногу обирал людей – на заключении договоров цессии, на установлении права собственности на объект недвижимости, на правовых консультациях и, наверное, на хлеб хватало …
Но в октябре 2024 года перед нашим шарлатаном замаячило уголовное преследование… Задумаемся: мог вызов, допрос или другие следственные действия так повлиять на кардинальный разворот мыслей человека? За какие ниточки подергали наши недруги, чем припугнули: карьера, репутация, семья, свобода? Мы уже видели шантаж, запугивания, угрозы реальным заключением. И не каждому удалось выдержать давление. Кто-то выбрал путь наименьшего сопротивления и стал играть сам за себя. А кто-то стал играть против своих, ради спасения или ради выгоды.
И тут Георгия от страха п(р)онесло …
Несколько мыслей для рассуждения
Кардинальная смена позиции
Буквально недавно мы слышали лозунги и призывы наказать, взыскать, посадить недругов. И вдруг мы слышим: "Они все правильно делают, мы сами виноваты" Дальше что? "Давайте придем с повинной головой, согласимся со всеми обвинениями, передадим все НАШЕ имущество, объявим благодарность следственной группе и всем-всем за то, что проявили о нас заботу. А мы, неразумные, никак не хотели понять, что нас защищают. От наших денег, квартир, планов, прав и свобод. Поклонимся в пол. И, возможно, эти заботливые люди простят нас недалёких."
К этому мы шли все эти годы борьбы?
Доверенность под прикрытием
Несколько фактов:
руководство кооператива не сдается, отстаивает права пайщиков
не отдает на растерзание имущество, за каждую квартиру бьётся и в собственность пайщикам передает ОН
добилось-таки снятия ареста со всех квартир, чтоб люди могли в собственность без лишних проблем переводить ОН
в судах поддерживает пайщиков, требования по возврату паевых признает
за деньги на счетах вцепилось мертвой хваткой. Сотни ходатайств и обжалований ради снятия ареста со счетов
на каждое заседание приезжает председатель и адвокаты
нашли способ и документы восстанавливать, и налоги оплачивать. Все отчёты в срок сдают.
НЕЗАВИСИМО ОТ ВСЕХ ПОЛИЦЕЙСКИХ НАБЕГОВ, ПК ВЫЖИЛ, ВСЕ РАБОТАЮТ И ПРОДОЛЖАЮТ БОРОТЬСЯ.
БЕСПРЕЦЕНДЕТНОЕ ОБСТОЯТЕЛЬСТВО.
Ну что за несговорчивое руководство...С такими "каши не сваришь"
Значит надо сменить руководство. Но как, если оно законно избранное? Только переизбрать!
Кто может убедить 20 тысяч человек переизбрать руководство, которое в таких обстоятельствах действует в интересах пайщиков? Но, если подумать, то можно сделать хитрее. Чтобы люди даже и не знали. Надо лишить их права голоса и передать кому-то другому. Можно же это сделать по доверенности.
Например, под благовидным предлогом запросить у людей доверенности на представление их интересов в суде, но включить пункт о праве голосовать и принимать финансовые решения за этих людей. И всё-дело в шляпе.
Осталось только найти того, кто может получить такие доверенности и посулить ему что-нибудь. Например, кресло председателя. Или шантажом и запугиванием.
Это одна из версий резкой смены Георгием политики ранее так горячо отстаиваемой (По нашей версии – это или внезапно состоявшееся сотрудничество с врагами ПК, или же еще вначале задуманный хитрый план. Скорее всего-первое. Потому что у него самого – кишка тонка… Хотя может недооцениваем )
И тут небольшой экскурс. Доверенности, с таким ажиотажем запрашиваемые у доверчивых пайщиков, в суде первой инстанции почему- то не пригодились. Георгий просидел на скамейке в углу тихонечко, никому не мешая. Ходатайства об участии пайщиков так и не заявил … Активного желания участвовать не проявил. А вот когда доверенности собирал, заявлял так: «имея такое количество доверенностей, я смогу дверь с ноги открыть в суд» (запись имеется). Не открыл. Зачем обещал?
Стоять! Госпошлина!
Ещё один повод задуматься об озвученных противоречиях. Нужна доверенность на представление интересов в первой инстанции, в апелляции, но подавать жалобы не надо, так как госпошлина есть. А деньги пайщиков нужно беречь.
То есть 7000 ? за юридическую консультацию у него - это необходимые траты. А 3000? госпошлина на защиту своих интересов в суде, по подготовленному проекту жалобы и подробной инструкцией - это неразумно
Вы правда так думаете, что судебный документ, который обезопасит и квартиру, и деньги пайщика - это лишний шаг и неразумные траты?
А доверенность разве освобождает от оплаты госпошлины? Получаются двойные расходы. Доверенность плюс госпошлина. Так для чего нужна доверенность на самом деле? Может это абзац в доверенности о представлении в судах лишь прикрытие? А ещё можно "случайно" пропустить срок подачи апелляционной жалобы. Если люди доверили ее подачу другому "нужному человеку". А если не обжаловали, значит согласны с решением.
Платите на счет
Продолжается настойчивая рекомендация все платежи вносить на счета кооператива. С пояснением, что ареста на счетах нет. И налоги можно оплатить со счета.
Но мы уже неоднократно убеждались, что воспользоваться счетами не дадут, пока не пройдет апелляция.
К тому же, у банков свой начальник - Центробанк. Банки могут отказаться обслуживать "незаконную" организацию. А неоплаченный налог влечет арест счетов и квартир.
При том, что есть отработанный механизм оплаты через гос.услуги. Стоит ли рисковать? Кому выгодно, чтобы заблокированных денег на счетах ПК становилось больше?
"Адвокаты не ведают, что творят. Только я могу все исправить"
В эфирах Моисеева начала транслироваться идея о том, что адвокаты ни на шаг не продвинулись. Никакого толка от них нет. Все суды проигрывают. Некоторые факты о достижениях адвокатов:
отказ в иске ФНС о признании кооператива банкротом;
снятие ареста со всех квартир ПК;
снятие ареста со вновь поступающих средств;
изменение меры пресечения на домашний арест для троих наших девочек.
Список будем продолжать …
И рассмотрим, какие достижения у нашего "спасателя":
помогал пайщикам оформлять право собственности на квартиру после полной выплаты пая. Упустим вопрос о том, сколько стоили эти услуги помощника в комплексе с цессией. Лишь обратим внимание на то что: образец искового заявления предоставлял кооператив. Отзыв для суда готовил кооператив. Положительную судебную практику прикладывал кооператив. Разъяснения, комментарии, инструкции, персональная помощь в заполнении - все это делалось силами кооператива. И все это бесплатно. А потом ещё кооператив добился от Росреестра, чтобы аресты с квартир сняли на основании полученного адвокатами кооператива Постановления.
Ай яй яй … Кажется, кто-то потерял весомую часть заработка И, кажется, кому-то было бы на руку новое наложение ареста на квартиры. Например, из-за невозможности оплатить налоги.
иски об административном правонарушении - ни одного выигранного.
порядка 60 выигранных дел "о неосновательном обогащении" в разных инстанциях.
Этим он действительно очень помог многим людям. И сложилась устойчивая судебная практика по этому вопросу. Это бесспорная помощь людям.
Только к кооперативу это не имеет никакого отношения!
И поймите, что это 60 одинаковых гражданских дел. Когда нашел путь, как выигрывать, потом остаётся только фамилии в отзывах менять. И действовать по шаблону. Тем более, что противоположная сторона подаёт такие же шаблонные иски.
И известны имена других юристов –честных и порядочных, занимающихся такими же делами, и не кричащих из каждого утюга, что они незаменимы и срочно нужно избрать их Председателями всея кооперативов.
Думайте. Может быть для Вас создали иллюзию всегда выигрывающего юриста? А на самом деле это только шаблонные дела совершенно другого профиля.
Так как же он может помочь адвокатам кооператива, если положительного опыта в этом ключе у него нет. Почему так настаивает на вхождении в процесс и так настойчиво требует сотрудничества?
Кому необходима эта помощь? Может быть это в интересах наших недругов?
Если с "нужным человеком" будут адвокаты ПК сотрудничать, делиться документами, наработками, идеями.. Кто от этого будет в плюсе? Недруги будут знать о каждом шаге адвокатов наперед. И смогут нейтрализовать старания. Ура. Занавес.
"Почта у них неофициальная"
Странно, что только сейчас электронная почта кооператива стала подвергаться сомнению и официальности. Совсем недавно, зарабатывая деньги на цессиях, Моисеев не стеснялся отправлять именно на эту почту запросы для пайщиков. За справками/договорами цессии/расчётами он сам обращался именно на эту электронную почту. А теперь она стала "левой". И эта мысль активно людям внушается в видеоэфирах.
Что же случилось с почтой именно сейчас? Кооператив не пошел слепо на поводу у чьих-то желаний?
Инициативная группа, выходи!
Уже дважды или трижды в видеоэфирах проскальзывала фраза о том, что наш товарищ-спасатель советуется с некой инициативной группой из госорганов. Это не волонтеры, которые действительно защищают свои регионы. Это какая-то другая группа лиц, никому не известная и вопросы о которой активно удаляются из чата, который Моисееву с его слов в полиции «не принадлежит».
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Japan’s scenic hot springs town restricting tourists amid fights over the best photo spots
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Ginzan Onsen, a popular Japanese hot spring town known for its scenic snowy views, has begun limiting entry to day trippers during winter peak season, becoming another destination to tackle overtourism amid the country’s record influx of travelers.
Located in the Yamagata region about 260 miles north of Tokyo, the onsen is one of the most famous in Japan, drawing around 330,000 visitors each year.
Travelers from around the world flock to the 300-year-old town during winter not only for a dip in the onsen but its picturesque scenery of traditional Edo-period buildings blanketed in snow – speculated to be the inspiration for Oscar-winning animator Hayao Miyazaki’s film Spirited Away.
But its popularity has also caused problems for residents in the otherwise tranquil town, with reports of altercations over photo spots and parking places.
“Many guests became angry (were shouting) over good spots for the purpose of taking pictures, leading to traffic rules being broken, cheating, and making people seek better places and easier ways than others,” the onsen said on its website, regretting that its “vague management” had caused issues.
Starting January 7, those wanting to enter the onsen town after 5pm will be required to purchase a ticket, according to Ginzan Onsen Information Center. Visitors without bookings at local hotels will be banned after 8pm.
Tickets, including the bus rides, cost 1150 yen, about $7.
Those driving themselves will be required to park at a nearby tourist center and use shuttle buses to get into the town.
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Dubai is set to add another towering figure to its skyline.
The Aeternitas Tower, officially unveiled at a launch event last week, will be the world’s tallest residential clock tower at a staggering 450 meters (1,476 feet) tall — more than four times the height of London’s Big Ben, and just 22 meters (72 feet) short of the world’s tallest residential building, the Central Park Tower in New York City.
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Set to become the world’s second-tallest clock tower (after the Makkah Clock Royal Tower in Mecca, Saudi Arabia), Aeternitas Tower is the result of a partnership between Dubai-based real estate developer London Gate and Swiss luxury watch manufacturer Franck Muller.
London Gate purchased the plot of land in Dubai Marina, which already had the beginnings of an unfinished 106-story structure — and knew that the tower’s monumental size needed a striking facade, said Tom Hill, media relations coordinator for the developer.
“We believe the clock will be seen from six kilometers away because of the sheer height of the building,” said Hill, adding that the clock face will be an enormous 40 meters (131 feet) tall and 30 meters (98 feet) wide.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
CNN
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
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The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.
But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.
The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.
That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.
Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.
Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November’s election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials — and many American ones — believe there is little time to waste.
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Trump has claimed he will be able to “settle” the war upon taking office and has suggested he’ll end US support for Kyiv’s war effort.
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Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday’s Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.
As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.
The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
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“Tomorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine’s military – but we know Ukraine’s future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it’s also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,” he said.
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“Our leader forever” was a slogan one often saw in Syria during the era of President Hafez al-Assad, father of today’s Syrian president.
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The prospect that the dour, stern Syrian leader would live forever was a source of dark humor for many of my Syrian friends when I lived and worked in Aleppo in the late 1980s and early 1990s.
Hafez al-Assad died in June 2000. He wasn’t immortal after all.
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His regime, however, lives on under the leadership of his son Bashar al-Assad.
There were moments when the Bashar regime’s survival looked in doubt. When the so-called Arab Spring rolled across the region in 2011, toppling autocrats in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya, and mass protests broke out in Yemen, Bahrain and Syria, some began to write epitaphs for the Assad dynasty.
But Syria’s allies – Iran, Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Russia – came to the rescue. For the past few years the struggle in Syria between a corrupt, brutal regime in Damascus and a divided, often extreme opposition seemed frozen in place.
Once shunned by his fellow Arab autocrats, Bashar al-Assad was gradually regaining the dubious respectability Arab regimes afford one another.
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Welcome to the New World Order of automakers. Soon, only the big survive
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Honda and Nissan are the latest automakers to discuss combining forces. They won’t be the last.
The two Japanese automakers announced last week that they plan to merge and create the world’s third largest automaker. Details aren’t yet finalized, but they expect to announce the combination within six months.
Mergers in the auto industry are nothing new. They have taken place since the acquisition of various brands formed General Motors (GM) in the first decade of the 20th century. But experts say the Honda-Nissan deal could help to spark a string of combinations that could soon reshape the industry
“I think the environment is there for additional mergers,” said Jeff Schuster, global vice president of automotive research for GlobalData. “I don’t think Honda-Nissan will cause more deals to take place, although it could accelerate them.”
The factors driving possible deals, from technological change and the industry’s huge appetite for R&D and capital spending to thin profit margins, are numerous and powerful. The push toward consolidation is only going to get greater in coming decade. And it could be that only the biggest survive.
“It gets more challenging to survive and not have economies of scale if everyone else does, especially as you move into new technology,” he said. “When you’re in a highly competitive market, it tends to create partners that might not have happened otherwise.”
The most exciting new trains coming in 2025
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Amazing adventures, extraordinary landscapes and fabulous cuisine — the world’s greatest railway journeys are an unforgettable experience that can immerse you in the culture of a new country.
Demand for luxury “land cruise” trains with five-star hotel-style accommodation is booming. 2025 will see several new trains take to the rails for the first time, offering new opportunities to explore Italy, France, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom.
But the best railway journeys don’t have to be the most expensive. There’s an ever-evolving world of train trips out there. Here are some of the key developments in the coming year
Two of Europe’s great capitals are now linked by their first direct high-speed train connection. Germany’s Deutsche Bahn introduced a daytime InterCity Express (ICE) service between Paris and Berlin on December 16 and is planning to add a second route between the two capitals in 2026.
Taking advantage of its new fleet of 200 mph (322 kph) ICE3neo trains, the once-a-day service takes around eight hours in each direction, also serving Strasbourg, Karlsruhe and Frankfurt on its 546-mile (878-kilometer) journey.
Fares start from around $60, and each train has capacity for 444 passengers, of which 111 can enjoy the additional comfort of leather seats and at-seat refreshments in first class.
The new high-speed ICE service is the first direct daytime train between Paris and Berlin since the 1990s and complements the Nightjet sleeper service introduced in 2023.
It may not be as fast as flying — some of the journey has to use lower speed “classic” lines to bridge gaps in the European high-speed network — but it is undoubtedly a more sustainable and more stylish way to travel across Europe.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
CNN
—
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
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The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.
But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.
The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.
That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.
Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.
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Trump has claimed he will be able to “settle” the war upon taking office and has suggested he’ll end US support for Kyiv’s war effort.
“Those cities are gone, they’re gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn’t have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,” Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.
Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday’s Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.
As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.
The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
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“Tomorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine’s military – but we know Ukraine’s future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it’s also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,” he said.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
CNN
—
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
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The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.
But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.
The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.
That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.
Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.
Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November’s election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials — and many American ones — believe there is little time to waste.
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Trump has claimed he will be able to “settle” the war upon taking office and has suggested he’ll end US support for Kyiv’s war effort.
“Those cities are gone, they’re gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn’t have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,” Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.
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As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.
The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
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“Tomorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine’s military – but we know Ukraine’s future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it’s also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,” he said.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
CNN
—
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country’s war aims.
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The precise details of the “victory plan” Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.
But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader’s urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia’s invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.
The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky’s response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win — and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end — if enough assistance is rushed in.
That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he’s recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.
Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it’s unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.
Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November’s election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials — and many American ones — believe there is little time to waste.
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Trump has claimed he will be able to “settle” the war upon taking office and has suggested he’ll end US support for Kyiv’s war effort.
“Those cities are gone, they’re gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn’t have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,” Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.
Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday’s Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.
As part of Zelensky’s visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.
The president previewed Zelensky’s visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was “determined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.”
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“Tomorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine’s military – but we know Ukraine’s future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it’s also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,” he said.
Scientists have identified an estimated 10% of all species on Earth. Here’s what they found in 2024
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A toothy toadstool. A vegetarian piranha with a distinctive mark. And a pygmy pipehorse floating in the Indian Ocean shallows.
These wild wonders were among the hundreds of previously unknown species of animals, plants and fungi that scientists named and described for the first time in 2024, expanding our surprisingly limited knowledge of Earth’s diversity.
“Scientists estimate that we’ve identified only one-tenth of all species on Earth,” said Dr.
Shannon Bennett, chief of science at the California Academy of Sciences, in a statement.
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“While it is critical to place protections on known threatened species, we must also allocate resources towards identifying unknown species that may be just as important to the functioning of an ecosystem,” Bennett said.
Researchers connected to the institution described 138 new species in 2024, including 32 fish. One standout was a pygmy pipehorse named Cylix nkosi. The seahorse relative was originally found in 2021 in the cool temperate waters surrounding the North Island of New Zealand, but the species described this year was discovered in the subtropical waters off South Africa, expanding the known range of this group to the Indian Ocean
“South African reefs present notoriously difficult diving conditions with rough weather and intense, choppy waves — we knew we only had one dive to find it,” underwater photographer and marine biologist Richard Smith said in a statement.
“This species is also quite cryptic, about the size of a golf tee, but luckily we spotted a female camouflaged against some sponges about a mile offshore on the sandy ocean floor.”
The researchers involved in describing the new species chose nkosi as its name. A reference to the local Zulu word for “chief,” the name reflects the species’ crown-like head shape and acknowledges South Africa’s KwaZulu-Natal province where it was found.
The survivors of recent crashes were sitting at the back of the plane. What does that tell us about airplane safety?
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Look at the photos of the two fatal air crashes of the last two weeks, and amid the horror and the anguish, one thought might come to mind for frequent flyers.
The old frequent-flyer adage is that sitting at the back of the plane is a safer place to be than at the front — and the wreckage of both Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243 and Jeju Air flight 2216 seem to bear that out.
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The 29 survivors of the Azeri crash were all sitting at the back of the plane, which split into two, leaving the rear half largely intact. The sole survivors of the South Korean crash, meanwhile, were the two flight attendants in their jumpseats in the very tail of the plane.
So is that old adage — and the dark humor jokes about first and business class seats being good until there’s a problem with the plane — right after all?
In 2015, TIME Magazine reporters wrote that they had combed through the records of all US plane crashes with both fatalities and survivors from 1985 to 2000, and found in a meta-analysis that seats in the back third of the aircraft had a 32% fatality rate overall, compared with 38% in the front third and 39% in the middle third.
Even better, they found, were middle seats in that back third of the cabin, with a 28% fatality rate. The “worst” seats were aisles in the middle third of the aircraft, with a 44% fatality rate.
But does that still hold true in 2024?
According to aviation safety experts, it’s an old wives’ tale.
“There isn’t any data that shows a correlation of seating to survivability,” says Hassan Shahidi, president of the Flight Safety Foundation. “Every accident is different.”
“If we’re talking about a fatal crash, then there is almost no difference where one sits,” says Cheng-Lung Wu, associate professor at the School of Aviation of the University of New South Wales, Sydney.
Ed Galea, professor of fire safety engineering at London’s University of Greenwich, who has conducted landmark studies on plane crash evacuations, warns, “There is no magic safest seat.”
A year ago today, things went from bad to worse for Boeing
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At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn’t last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.
As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse — even a fatal crash.
Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.
The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year’s worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing’s fault.
And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.
Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.
It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.
Most plane crashes are ‘survivable’
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First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”
For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.
The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a “miracle” that anyone made it out alive.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.
And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.
Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.
Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.
His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”
What New Glenn will do
In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.
New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.
SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.
“I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.
The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.
Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.
Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.
What’s on board this flight
Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.
But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”
The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.
“Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
“It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”
If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.
New Glenn’s first flight
Blue Origin formally announced the development of New Glenn — which aims to outpower SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rockets and haul spacecraft up to 45 metric tons (99,200 pounds) to orbit — in 2016.
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The vehicle is long overdue, as the company previously targeted 2020 for its first launch.
Delays, however, are common in the aerospace industry. And the debut flight of a new vehicle is almost always significantly behind schedule.
Rocket companies also typically take a conservative approach to the first liftoff, launching dummy payloads such as hunks of metal or, as was the case with SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy debut in 2018, an old cherry red sports car.
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Blue Origin has also branded itself as a company that aims to take a slow, diligent approach to rocket development that doesn’t “cut any corners,” according to Bezos, who founded Blue Origin and funds the company.
The company’s mascot is a tortoise, paying homage to “The Tortoise and the Hare” fable that made the “slow and steady wins the race” mantra a childhood staple.
“We believe slow is smooth and smooth is fast,” Bezos said in 2016. Those comments could be seen as an attempt to position Blue Origin as the anti-SpaceX, which is known to embrace speed and trial-and-error over slow, meticulous development processes.
But SpaceX has certainly won the race to orbit. The company’s first orbital rocket, the Falcon 1, made a successful launch in September 2008. The company has deployed hundreds of missions to orbit since then.
And while SpaceX routinely destroys rockets during test flights as it begins developing a new rocket, the company has a solid track record for operational missions. SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket, for example, has experienced two in-flight failures and one launchpad explosion but no catastrophic events during human missions.
Most plane crashes are ‘survivable’
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First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”
For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.
The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a “miracle” that anyone made it out alive.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.
And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.
Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.
Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.
His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”
Scientists have identified an estimated 10% of all species on Earth. Here’s what they found in 2024
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A toothy toadstool. A vegetarian piranha with a distinctive mark. And a pygmy pipehorse floating in the Indian Ocean shallows.
These wild wonders were among the hundreds of previously unknown species of animals, plants and fungi that scientists named and described for the first time in 2024, expanding our surprisingly limited knowledge of Earth’s diversity.
“Scientists estimate that we’ve identified only one-tenth of all species on Earth,” said Dr.
Shannon Bennett, chief of science at the California Academy of Sciences, in a statement.
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“While it is critical to place protections on known threatened species, we must also allocate resources towards identifying unknown species that may be just as important to the functioning of an ecosystem,” Bennett said.
Researchers connected to the institution described 138 new species in 2024, including 32 fish. One standout was a pygmy pipehorse named Cylix nkosi. The seahorse relative was originally found in 2021 in the cool temperate waters surrounding the North Island of New Zealand, but the species described this year was discovered in the subtropical waters off South Africa, expanding the known range of this group to the Indian Ocean
“South African reefs present notoriously difficult diving conditions with rough weather and intense, choppy waves — we knew we only had one dive to find it,” underwater photographer and marine biologist Richard Smith said in a statement.
“This species is also quite cryptic, about the size of a golf tee, but luckily we spotted a female camouflaged against some sponges about a mile offshore on the sandy ocean floor.”
The researchers involved in describing the new species chose nkosi as its name. A reference to the local Zulu word for “chief,” the name reflects the species’ crown-like head shape and acknowledges South Africa’s KwaZulu-Natal province where it was found.
The survivors of recent crashes were sitting at the back of the plane. What does that tell us about airplane safety?
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Look at the photos of the two fatal air crashes of the last two weeks, and amid the horror and the anguish, one thought might come to mind for frequent flyers.
The old frequent-flyer adage is that sitting at the back of the plane is a safer place to be than at the front — and the wreckage of both Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243 and Jeju Air flight 2216 seem to bear that out.
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The 29 survivors of the Azeri crash were all sitting at the back of the plane, which split into two, leaving the rear half largely intact. The sole survivors of the South Korean crash, meanwhile, were the two flight attendants in their jumpseats in the very tail of the plane.
So is that old adage — and the dark humor jokes about first and business class seats being good until there’s a problem with the plane — right after all?
In 2015, TIME Magazine reporters wrote that they had combed through the records of all US plane crashes with both fatalities and survivors from 1985 to 2000, and found in a meta-analysis that seats in the back third of the aircraft had a 32% fatality rate overall, compared with 38% in the front third and 39% in the middle third.
Even better, they found, were middle seats in that back third of the cabin, with a 28% fatality rate. The “worst” seats were aisles in the middle third of the aircraft, with a 44% fatality rate.
But does that still hold true in 2024?
According to aviation safety experts, it’s an old wives’ tale.
“There isn’t any data that shows a correlation of seating to survivability,” says Hassan Shahidi, president of the Flight Safety Foundation. “Every accident is different.”
“If we’re talking about a fatal crash, then there is almost no difference where one sits,” says Cheng-Lung Wu, associate professor at the School of Aviation of the University of New South Wales, Sydney.
Ed Galea, professor of fire safety engineering at London’s University of Greenwich, who has conducted landmark studies on plane crash evacuations, warns, “There is no magic safest seat.”
A year ago today, things went from bad to worse for Boeing
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At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn’t last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.
As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse — even a fatal crash.
Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.
The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year’s worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing’s fault.
And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.
Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.
It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.
On a long-dormant pad in Florida, a rocket that could challenge SpaceX’s dominance is poised to launch
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On a Florida launchpad that has been dormant for almost two decades, a new, roughly 320-foot (98-meter) rocket — developed by Jeff Bezos’ company Blue Origin — is poised for its maiden flight.
The uncrewed launch vehicle, called New Glenn, will mark Blue Origin’s first attempt to send a rocket to orbit, a feat necessary if the company hopes to chip away at SpaceX’s long-held dominance in the industry.
New Glenn is set to lift off from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station as early as next week.
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The rocket, which stands about as tall as a 30-story building, consists of several parts: The first-stage rocket booster gives the initial thrust at liftoff. Atop the booster is an upper rocket stage that includes a cargo bay protected by a nose cone that will house experimental technology for this mission.
And, in an attempt to replicate the success that SpaceX has found reusing rocket boosters over the past decade, Blue Origin will also aim to guide New Glenn’s first-stage rocket booster back to a safe landing on a seafaring platform — named Jacklyn for Bezos’ mother — minutes after takeoff.
Like SpaceX, Blue Origin will seek to recover, refurbish and reuse first-stage rocket boosters to drive down costs.
For this inaugural mission, a smooth flight is not guaranteed.
But the eventual success of New Glenn, named after storied NASA astronaut John Glenn, is instrumental to some of Blue Origin’s most ambitious goals.
The rocket could one day power national security launches, haul Amazon internet satellites to space and even help in the construction of a space station that Blue Origin is developing with commercial partners.
New Glenn’s first flight
Blue Origin formally announced the development of New Glenn — which aims to outpower SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rockets and haul spacecraft up to 45 metric tons (99,200 pounds) to orbit — in 2016.
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The vehicle is long overdue, as the company previously targeted 2020 for its first launch.
Delays, however, are common in the aerospace industry. And the debut flight of a new vehicle is almost always significantly behind schedule.
Rocket companies also typically take a conservative approach to the first liftoff, launching dummy payloads such as hunks of metal or, as was the case with SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy debut in 2018, an old cherry red sports car.
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Blue Origin has also branded itself as a company that aims to take a slow, diligent approach to rocket development that doesn’t “cut any corners,” according to Bezos, who founded Blue Origin and funds the company.
The company’s mascot is a tortoise, paying homage to “The Tortoise and the Hare” fable that made the “slow and steady wins the race” mantra a childhood staple.
“We believe slow is smooth and smooth is fast,” Bezos said in 2016. Those comments could be seen as an attempt to position Blue Origin as the anti-SpaceX, which is known to embrace speed and trial-and-error over slow, meticulous development processes.
But SpaceX has certainly won the race to orbit. The company’s first orbital rocket, the Falcon 1, made a successful launch in September 2008. The company has deployed hundreds of missions to orbit since then.
And while SpaceX routinely destroys rockets during test flights as it begins developing a new rocket, the company has a solid track record for operational missions. SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket, for example, has experienced two in-flight failures and one launchpad explosion but no catastrophic events during human missions.
What New Glenn will do
In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.
New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.
SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.
“I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.
The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.
Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.
Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.
What’s on board this flight
Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.
But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”
The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.
“Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
“It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”
If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.
Most plane crashes are ‘survivable’
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First, the good news. “The vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,” says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft — and the seats inside them — must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, “it’s possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.”
For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable — an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. “Had it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it’s quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,” he says.
The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a “miracle” that anyone made it out alive.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not — as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash — shot out of the sky.
And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a “survivable” accident at at least 90%.
Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.
Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation — practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers’ premises — is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most “survivable” seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.
His analysis of which exits passengers actually used “shattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,” he says. “Prior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.”
The survivors of recent crashes were sitting at the back of the plane. What does that tell us about airplane safety?
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Look at the photos of the two fatal air crashes of the last two weeks, and amid the horror and the anguish, one thought might come to mind for frequent flyers.
The old frequent-flyer adage is that sitting at the back of the plane is a safer place to be than at the front — and the wreckage of both Azerbaijan Airlines flight 8243 and Jeju Air flight 2216 seem to bear that out.
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The 29 survivors of the Azeri crash were all sitting at the back of the plane, which split into two, leaving the rear half largely intact. The sole survivors of the South Korean crash, meanwhile, were the two flight attendants in their jumpseats in the very tail of the plane.
So is that old adage — and the dark humor jokes about first and business class seats being good until there’s a problem with the plane — right after all?
In 2015, TIME Magazine reporters wrote that they had combed through the records of all US plane crashes with both fatalities and survivors from 1985 to 2000, and found in a meta-analysis that seats in the back third of the aircraft had a 32% fatality rate overall, compared with 38% in the front third and 39% in the middle third.
Even better, they found, were middle seats in that back third of the cabin, with a 28% fatality rate. The “worst” seats were aisles in the middle third of the aircraft, with a 44% fatality rate.
But does that still hold true in 2024?
According to aviation safety experts, it’s an old wives’ tale.
“There isn’t any data that shows a correlation of seating to survivability,” says Hassan Shahidi, president of the Flight Safety Foundation. “Every accident is different.”
“If we’re talking about a fatal crash, then there is almost no difference where one sits,” says Cheng-Lung Wu, associate professor at the School of Aviation of the University of New South Wales, Sydney.
Ed Galea, professor of fire safety engineering at London’s University of Greenwich, who has conducted landmark studies on plane crash evacuations, warns, “There is no magic safest seat.”
Scientists have identified an estimated 10% of all species on Earth. Here’s what they found in 2024
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A toothy toadstool. A vegetarian piranha with a distinctive mark. And a pygmy pipehorse floating in the Indian Ocean shallows.
These wild wonders were among the hundreds of previously unknown species of animals, plants and fungi that scientists named and described for the first time in 2024, expanding our surprisingly limited knowledge of Earth’s diversity.
“Scientists estimate that we’ve identified only one-tenth of all species on Earth,” said Dr.
Shannon Bennett, chief of science at the California Academy of Sciences, in a statement.
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“While it is critical to place protections on known threatened species, we must also allocate resources towards identifying unknown species that may be just as important to the functioning of an ecosystem,” Bennett said.
Researchers connected to the institution described 138 new species in 2024, including 32 fish. One standout was a pygmy pipehorse named Cylix nkosi. The seahorse relative was originally found in 2021 in the cool temperate waters surrounding the North Island of New Zealand, but the species described this year was discovered in the subtropical waters off South Africa, expanding the known range of this group to the Indian Ocean
“South African reefs present notoriously difficult diving conditions with rough weather and intense, choppy waves — we knew we only had one dive to find it,” underwater photographer and marine biologist Richard Smith said in a statement.
“This species is also quite cryptic, about the size of a golf tee, but luckily we spotted a female camouflaged against some sponges about a mile offshore on the sandy ocean floor.”
The researchers involved in describing the new species chose nkosi as its name. A reference to the local Zulu word for “chief,” the name reflects the species’ crown-like head shape and acknowledges South Africa’s KwaZulu-Natal province where it was found.
Chile’s President Boric leads journey to South Pole in historic trip
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Chile’s President Gabriel Boric travelled to Antarctica’s South Pole on Friday, a place where no other Latin American president has set foot, according to the Chilean government.
Boric led the historic two-day trip, named Operation Pole Star III, to extend the environmental monitoring of pollutants on Antarctica, Chile’s government said in a statement.
He travelled with scientists, armed forces commanders and government ministers from the Chilean capital of Santiago to Punta Arenas, a city in southern Chile, public broadcaster Television Nacional de Chile (TVN) reported. From there, they made several stops before finally reaching the US-run Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station, according to TVN.
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Chile is one of seven countries that has a territorial claim in Antarctica, alongside Argentina, Australia, France, New Zealand, Norway and the United Kingdom.
It is also a signatory of the Antarctic Treaty, which dictates that the continent may only be used for peaceful and scientific purposes.
While Chile has historically carried out scientific activity in Antarctica’s northern sector, the country’s government is now hoping to expand research into the west of the continent, its statement said.
Boric called his trip to the South Pole an “honor” and a source of pride, TVN reported.
“This is a milestone for us. It is the first time a Chilean and Latin American President has visited the South Pole,” he said, according to TVN.
On a long-dormant pad in Florida, a rocket that could challenge SpaceX’s dominance is poised to launch
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On a Florida launchpad that has been dormant for almost two decades, a new, roughly 320-foot (98-meter) rocket — developed by Jeff Bezos’ company Blue Origin — is poised for its maiden flight.
The uncrewed launch vehicle, called New Glenn, will mark Blue Origin’s first attempt to send a rocket to orbit, a feat necessary if the company hopes to chip away at SpaceX’s long-held dominance in the industry.
New Glenn is set to lift off from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station as early as next week.
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The rocket, which stands about as tall as a 30-story building, consists of several parts: The first-stage rocket booster gives the initial thrust at liftoff. Atop the booster is an upper rocket stage that includes a cargo bay protected by a nose cone that will house experimental technology for this mission.
And, in an attempt to replicate the success that SpaceX has found reusing rocket boosters over the past decade, Blue Origin will also aim to guide New Glenn’s first-stage rocket booster back to a safe landing on a seafaring platform — named Jacklyn for Bezos’ mother — minutes after takeoff.
Like SpaceX, Blue Origin will seek to recover, refurbish and reuse first-stage rocket boosters to drive down costs.
For this inaugural mission, a smooth flight is not guaranteed.
But the eventual success of New Glenn, named after storied NASA astronaut John Glenn, is instrumental to some of Blue Origin’s most ambitious goals.
The rocket could one day power national security launches, haul Amazon internet satellites to space and even help in the construction of a space station that Blue Origin is developing with commercial partners.
What’s on board this flight
Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.
But delays with the rocket’s development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a “demonstrator” that will test technology needed for the company’s proposed Blue Ring spacecraft — which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate “communications capabilities from orbit to ground” as well as “test its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.”
The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense’s Defense Innovation Unit.
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Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.
“Reusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,” the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 — two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
“It’s not a copy cat game,” Henry said. “Blue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it’s much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it’s taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.”
If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket’s upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.
What New Glenn will do
In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance — a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin — for lucrative military launch contracts.
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The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon’s Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company’s space-based cellular broadband network.
New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin’s planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a “heavy-lift” vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.
SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.
“I think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,” said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.
The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.
Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide — nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.
Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos’ vision of the future.