拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

2021年04月29日 9457点热度 0人点赞 1,788条评论

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

这个帖子大概意思是说,最近美国钢材价格上涨了145%,木头上涨了126%

油价上涨了80%,大豆上涨了71%,玉米上涨了69%。

所有东西都在肉眼可见的大涨价,然而小时工资只上涨了5%

可按照官方的报道,通胀只上涨了1%,美联储的工作也太出色了吧。

吐槽完以后,这哥们发现,自己被美联储官方推特拉黑了,啥也看不见了。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

熟悉美林时钟的小伙伴都知道,萧条之前的经济阶段就是过热。

从美国目前的物价涨幅看,现在就是过热阶段的开始。现在我们可能也已经正式步入,拜登萧条之前的拜登过热。

01
货币刺激加剧贫富分化

大家知道自打零八年金融危机以来,以美联储为首的全球主要央行,不停的放水刺激经济。

这个放水刺激经济的方式,基本都是货币刺激,而不是财政刺激。

货币刺激和财政刺激最大的不同点在于,货币刺激是通过银行信贷的方式,把钱放出去。

通常情况下,银行贷款是要看资质的。所以在货币刺激大放水的背景下,有钱有资产的人,更容易拿到钱。

这道理想想也明白,你是个一穷二白的人去银行贷款容易呢?还是你是个手里有房产的人,去银行贷款容易。

所以在这种背景下,越是有钱有资产的人,越容易拿到这些货币刺激放出来的钱。

他们拿到这些钱以后,并不会放在手里等购买力贬值,而是会拿这些钱去买入各种资产。

在全球央行不断货币刺激的背景下,这些有钱有资产的富人们,似乎形成了一个闭环。

因为有钱有资产,所以他们能从银行拿到更多更便宜的钱。拿到更多便宜的钱,就可以买入更多资产。

手里的资产在货币大放水的背景下升值,这些有钱有资产的人变得更有钱。

之后他们又能从银行借更多的钱,买入更多的资产,使得贫富差距进一步拉大。

和货币刺激是完全不同的,是财政刺激。财政刺激是通过补贴的方式,直接给老百姓发钱。

这个钱不是通过银行这个管道放出去的,所以就不涉及到信用和抵押物这玩意,等于说人人都有。

多数老百姓拿到这笔钱不会去搞投资,而是会消费掉,最终这些钱会参与到流通中去。

如果用熟悉的费雪公式解释一下,财政刺激和货币刺激产生的不同效果,大家就应该非常清楚了。

我们知道费雪公式的组成,是MV=PT。

这里M是货币总量,V是货币流通速度,P是商品和服务价格,T是商品和服务总量。

之前单单货币刺激的时候,虽然货币总量M变大了许多,但是货币流通速度V是不断下降的。

因为大部分超发的货币,都被富人拿去投资了,并没参与到实际流通中去。

这等于是货币总量M虽然在不断增多,但大部分都沉淀在房产股票这些资产里面。

观察2008年以后的货币总量M,可以发觉这个总量,是不断在上升的。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

但如果你跑去观察货币流通速度V,则会发现是不断下降的。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

最终带来的结果是,公式左边的MV乘积,在M大涨的情况下,变化并不太大。

因为货币总量M上涨带来的效应,被货币流通速度V的下滑带来的效应抵消了。

02
财政刺激驱动消费

这次经济刺激和以往最大的不同是,除了货币刺激,还搞了财政刺激。

在这种背景下出现的现象是,货币总量M上升的同时,货币流通速度V也起来了。

原因还是前面说的,多数拿到财政补贴的老百姓,都是中低收入者。

他们在疫情期间失业,拿到财政补贴,自然就会去买东西消费。

所以大规模的财政刺激一旦实施,这些发给老百姓的钱,都会参与到流通领域中去,而不是拿去投资,这会促使货币流通速度V提升。

如果公式左边的MV出现了同步提升,那么意味着MV的乘积,会迅速变大。

疫情期间,因为供应链被阻断和生产停滞的原因,商品和服务产能T没办法快速提升。

那么在公式左边MV迅速提升的情况下,为了维持公式两边相等,能提升的只有商品和服务价格P了。

所以疫情之后大家最明显的感受就是,到处都在涨价,不管是商品还是服务都在涨价。

服务涨价最明显的应该是理发了吧,商品里涨价最明显的是大宗商品和农产品,

不过既然财政刺激这么有效,为啥之前老美一直只采用货币刺激,不采用财政刺激呢?

因为在美国搞财政刺激,需要两党达成一致,国会通过,总统签署法案,程序非常复杂。

这在共和党担忧美国债务水平过高的背景下,并没有那么容易通过。

搞货币刺激就简单多了,只需要美联储这个机构实施就可以了。

疫情之后情况又不一样了,很多没有储蓄的美国老百姓失业,这些人吃不上饭是要闹事的。

在这种背景下,不管是民主党还是共和党,都有动力快速通过财政刺激法案,给老百姓发钱。

这时候也没人纠结债务问题和程序问题了,两党很快达成一致,大规模的财政刺激来了。

03
美林时钟为啥失效了

前两天有小伙伴问了个很好的问题,说美林时钟这玩意还有效么?即使有效又适合中国么?

按照他的理解,美林时钟的规律,是根据美国过往几十年经验总结出来的,

但是美国是单纯的市场经济,咱们国内调控能力又非常强。是不是美林时钟这东西,在国内不太适用啊。

而且从他的观察来看:即使是欧美国家,在2008年金融危机以后,美林时钟似乎也失效了。

欧美主要国家从2008年金融危机之后,虽然一直在印钞放水,可是通胀也好多年没起来了,美林时钟似乎已经不转了。

其实美林时钟是不是依然有效的争议,从2008年以后,一直就挺厉害的。

很多人觉得,从2008年金融危机以后,全球主要国家一直在放水刺激经济。

可是时间过了这么久,还不是经济增长起不来,通胀也一直起不来。

这个阶段给人的感觉是:

美林时钟里面最关键的两个因素,经济增长衰退和通胀上升下降,似乎都失效了。

因为从全球的角度看,经济增长似乎停滞了,通胀也稳定在某个数值,没啥波动了。

为啥会出现这个现象呢?

其实原因非常简单,因为全社会的贫富差距过大,导致底层购买力不足,整个社会都失去了消费的动力。

历史数据一再表明,当社会贫富差距拉大到一定程度以后,就会出现私人消费不足。 

进而引发总需求增长停滞,出现生产相对过剩。这时候经济增长会彻底失去动力,最终走向萧条。

这也是为啥我们在《资本新时代的圈地运动》里面会说:

今年明年即使所有经济指标出现改善,出现经济繁荣的景象,后面世界性萧条依然会来。

因为在目前贫富分化到极致的状况下,从全球角度看,已经没啥东西能给底层注入购买力了。

只要分配机制不改变,最终复苏都是假的,只是短暂的昙花一现。

GDP增速就是再高,不改善贫富差距,底层没有足够的购买力,萧条依然会来。

全球主要国家,除了我们在不断扶贫,其他国家都没做这个事情,全球的贫富分化程度又怎么可能会改善。

金融危机以后,美联储为首的全球央行,不断通过货币放水刺激经济,又进一步拉大了全社会的贫富差距。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

这个阶段经济增长停滞的同时,全球都出现的另外一个现象就是。资产价格越来越高,贫富差距越来越大。

因为全球央行们放出来的这些超发货币,不断流入富人手中,推高资产价格。

看图说话也知道,现在全球又走到了大萧条边缘。

就像我们在《通胀以后就是债务崩塌》里面说的,这是经济转萧条之前的最后一次繁荣。

后面美股泡沫如果被刺破,会引发老美的债务危机,进而带动全球经济步入萧条。

04
美林时钟重新开始转动

我们知道一战以后,美国因为拿走了世界大部分财富,成为全球消费发动机。

1929年因为老美社会整体贫富差距太大,引发全球消费不足,最终带来了大萧条

2008年以后美林时钟之所以会失效,其实还是因为同样的原因。

看图说话就知道,2008年金融危机的时候,老美社会贫富差距已经拉大到极致。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

带来的结果就是,08年以后底层丧失购买力导致消费不足,美林时钟失去了动力。

现在财政刺激以后,钱直接通过现金支票的形式,发到了中低收入人群手里。

驱动消费的动力,短时间内又回来了。美林时钟的动力,似乎也回来了。

所以大家才看到,我们的世界短时间内,似乎又回到了08年之前那个状态。

不光是全球经济出现复苏,资产价格出现了全面上涨,而且通胀也逐步起来了。

虽然美联储一直在强调:通胀还没到来,经济还没有复苏。

但是如果你看实际数据,感受显然不是这样。

可以说不管是大宗商品粮食,还是各种生活必需品和服务的价格,都出现了大幅上涨。

现在很多美国原材料的价格涨幅,已经是过去40年的最高水平了。

比如钢铁价格创下1939年以来纪录,化工品价格创下1947年以来的纪录,塑料价格也已经创下1974年以来的纪录。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

按照这个原材料涨价的态势,美林时钟已经从之前的经济复苏期,正式步入到经济过热初期。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

涨幅这么剧烈的原因也很简单

财政刺激到来以后,疫情期间失业的普通老百姓,人人都拿到了钱可以用于消费。

之前因为剧烈贫富分化,消失已久的那些消费需求,又回来了。

消费需求会带动大宗商品的需求,也会驱动整个经济体系加速运转。

从下图也可以看出,大宗商品价格和政府转移再分配的财政刺激政策,是息息相关的。

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

所以这个阶段你会看到,美林时钟又有效了,经济也按照美林时钟的顺序,重新恢复了转动。

从疫情时候的短暂衰退,疫情后的出现复苏,到现在开始出现经济过热。

05
拜登过热

国际货币基金组织前副总裁朱民,最近在演讲里也提到了这个经济过热的问题。

他的原话是,2021年全球经济的最大不确定性,就是拜登过热。

拜登过热带来的通货膨胀,和美国基准利率的调整,是未来一两年全球金融市场最主要的变量。

朱民表达的意思用大白话讲就是:

拜登政府释放的大量美元流动性,会在全球各地推起资产价格泡沫,和经济过热。

后面如果美国因为通胀过高和经济过热,出现加息和其他收紧货币政策的动作。

我们很可能要面对的是,资产价格泡沫破裂带来的巨大冲击。

为啥这经济突然就过热了呢?原因也很简单,财政刺激以后需求太旺盛了。

整个社会的需求,大致上可以分为三类,消费+投资+净出口。

这意味着生产出来的产品,要么卖给国内消费者,要么卖给国内企业,要么卖给国外消费者。

如果生产出来的商品国内消费者不买,国内企业不买,外国消费者也不买,那就卖不出去。

如果大家的需求非常旺盛,那么就会出现商品价格上涨,经济过热的状况。

财政刺激对通胀和经济有多大影响,很大程度上是刺激政策的具体内容决定的。

分析拜登刺激可以发现,这次拜登政府搞得财政刺激主要是两类用途。

第一类是中低收入群体的转移支付,也就是直接通过财政刺激,给他们每人发1400美元的支票。

第二类是扩大政府的消费类支出,包括提供1600亿美元用于病毒和疫苗,提供1700亿美元帮助学校开放等。

可以看出拜登这1.9万亿美元刺激里面,主要把钱花在发现金支票,让中低收入人群消费。

通过直接发现金补贴疫情期间受损的个人和机构,支撑他们的消费需求。

所以在拜登政府大规模发钱财政刺激的情况下,等于是给中低收入人群注入消费资金,会带来消费需求会大幅提升。

另外一个政府方向的刺激,也是扩大消费支出,只不过扩大的是政府的消费支出。

要知道美国那边经济的主要推动力就是消费,投资和净出口对美国经济增长的贡献很小。

朱民的演讲也提到了这点,刺激美国经济增长的主要动力,就是消费部分。

从下图可以看出,橙色是投资,蓝色是消费,灰色是进出口对美国经济增长的贡献。

灰色的净出口,对美国经济贡献几乎没有,有些年份甚至是负值,原因也很简单,美国是贸易逆差国。

橙色的投资部分,对美国经济增长的贡献也不算大。三驾马车里最大的,就是蓝色的消费部分。

如果按照国际货币基金组织的预测,美国2021年经济增长的速度会达到6%,要知道2020年美国经济增长只有-3%。

从-3%到+6%的经济增长,主要就是靠消费带动,可见消费带来的需求提升会有多大。

06
通胀来了

然而财政刺激带来的需求提升,在短期内会对通胀出现显著推动。

这就是我们现在看到一切涨价的根源。

因为这些中低收入人群边际消费意愿强烈,拿到支票就会花掉。所以政府发给个人的现金补助,可以显著扩张消费需求。

可以看出,疫情之后美国零售销售数据的增速,在不断增加。

 

拜登衰退之前,我们会经历的是拜登过热!

政府消费型支出扩大,同样会带来需求大幅扩张。因为美国政府直接扮演了购买者的角色,等于市场上多了新的购买者。

居民和政府消费的增加带来的增量需求,最终会对衰退期的经济增长,产生乘数效应。

消费需求增多了,市场上对劳动力、原材料、资本和土地这些生产要素的需求,自然也就增多了。

之前的经济衰退中,这些生产要素往往会被闲置。这些闲置要素开始使用,会增加大家的收入。

大家收入增多的以后,又会带动消费回升,进一步增加闲置要素的使用。

之后重复前面的循环,带来总需求的扩张。

总需求扩张,不仅会推升终端消费品价格。还会带来大宗商品价格,和劳动者收入的上涨。

原因也很简单,不管是大宗商品还是劳动力的本质上都是一种商品,价格是供需决定的。

消费旺盛会带来大宗商品需求旺盛,和劳动力需求的不断提升。

所以我们才看到,美国那边原材料价格上涨的同时,中小企业雇工需求和劳动者收入都出现了上涨。

观察美国的非农就业数据,现在不少行业就业数据甚至已经超过了疫情之前。

消费需求带来的价格上涨,还会带来通胀预期的提升,进一步推动价格的上涨。这就是大家常说的,通胀预期会进一步加剧通胀。

通胀预期会抬升通胀的原因也很简单,多数人倾向于通过最近的价格涨跌,来推测后面的价格波动。

当企业预期未来价格更高的时候,不但对客户的报价会不断提升。还会囤积商品,减少市面上的供应。

简单说就是大家都觉得未来价格要涨,卖你东西时候就给你报个高价,或者索性把货囤在仓库不卖了,等后面卖个高价。

在大家都预期价格上涨去囤货的背景下,市面上的商品供应,自然就会出现不足。

朱民这个演讲,也提到了通胀预期的问题,下面这张图显示的很清楚。

    Kratos

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    Understanding Stargate Finance Token
    The Stargate Finance Token is an integral part of the blockchain ecosystem, especially for those involved in decentralized finance (DeFi). As a bridge to seamless blockchain transactions, it plays a crucial role in enhancing interoperability across different networks.

    Key Features of Stargate Finance Token
    Stargate Finance Token stands out in the DeFi space for several reasons. Here are its key features:

    Interoperability: Facilitates cross-blockchain transactions with ease.
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    Using the Stargate Finance Token provides several benefits to investors and users:

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    2025年1月21日
  • FrankViast

    Welcome to PancakeSwap: A Beginner's Guide
    PancakeSwap is a decentralized exchange platform on the Binance Smart Chain, designed for swapping BEP-20 tokens. With its vibrant ecosystem, ease of use, and low transaction fees, it's become a popular choice among crypto enthusiasts.
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    What is PancakeSwap?
    PancakeSwap is an automated market maker (AMM) that allows users to trade directly from their crypto wallets. There's no order book involved; instead, trades are made against a liquidity pool. Here's how you can get started:

    How to Use PancakeSwap?
    Set Up Your Wallet
    First, you need a crypto wallet like MetaMask or Trust Wallet. Ensure your wallet supports BEP-20 tokens.
    Connect to Binance Smart Chain
    Configure your wallet to connect to the Binance Smart Chain network. Detailed guides are available in your wallet settings.
    Purchase BNB
    You'll need BNB (Binance Coin) to cover transaction fees. Buy BNB from a reputable exchange and transfer it to your wallet.
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    Visit the official PancakeSwap website and connect your wallet by clicking on the 'Connect Wallet' button.
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    Once connected, you can begin swapping BEP-20 tokens. Choose the tokens you wish to trade and confirm your transactions.
    Benefits of PancakeSwap
    Lower Fees: Operating on Binance Smart Chain, the fees are more affordable than Ethereum-based exchanges.
    Fast Transactions: Experience quick transaction speeds due to the efficiency of BSC.
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    Conclusion
    PancakeSwap offers a user-friendly approach to trading cryptocurrencies, engaging users with its gamified elements like lotteries and collectibles. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, PancakeSwap provides an efficient and exciting way to dive into the world of decentralized finance. Always ensure to perform your due diligence before engaging in trading activities.

    For more detailed guides and support, visit the .

    2025年1月21日
  • ScottTab

    What is Uniswap?
    Uniswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) protocol built on the Ethereum blockchain. It enables direct peer-to-peer cryptocurrency transactions, allowing users to trade coins without intermediaries. This makes it a cornerstone of the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem.
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    Benefits of Using Uniswap
    Uniswap offers several advantages over traditional, centralized exchanges:

    Decentralization: Users maintain control of their funds, minimizing the risk of hacking or fraud associated with central exchanges.
    Liquidity Pools: Uniswap uses automated liquidity pools instead of traditional order books, enabling seamless and efficient trading.
    Open Access: Anyone with an Ethereum wallet can trade on Uniswap, facilitating financial inclusivity.
    No Registration: Trade instantly without creating an account or passing through identity verification processes.
    How to Use Uniswap
    Getting started with Uniswap is simple and intuitive. Follow these steps:

    Create and fund an Ethereum wallet if you don’t have one. Some popular options include MetaMask, Trust Wallet, and Coinbase Wallet.
    Connect your wallet to the Uniswap platform by navigating to their website and initiating the connection process.
    Choose the tokens you wish to trade. Always ensure you are aware of the gas fees involved in the transaction.
    Initiate the swap and confirm the transaction in your wallet. Your new tokens will be available once the transaction is confirmed on the blockchain.
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    While Uniswap is a secure platform, it’s crucial to follow best practices to ensure your funds remain safe:

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    Uniswap has revolutionized the way cryptocurrency trading operates by providing a secure, user-friendly, and inclusive platform. Whether you are a seasoned trader or a newcomer to the crypto world, Uniswap offers a powerful tool for navigating the DeFi landscape.

    2025年1月21日
  • Charlessputs

    Optimize Your Crypto Trading with TraderJoeXyz
    In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, having the right tools at your disposal can make all the difference. Enter TraderJoeXyz, a cutting-edge platform designed to maximize your trading potential. By leveraging TraderJoeXyz, traders gain access to a multitude of features that cater to both beginners and seasoned professionals. Let's explore how TraderJoeXyz can enhance your crypto trading journey.
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    The TraderJoeXyz platform is packed with robust features aimed at simplifying and optimizing cryptocurrency trading:

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    Here are some of the benefits you can expect when using TraderJoeXyz:

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    TraderJoeXyz is more than just a platform; it's a community of crypto enthusiasts and experts. Joining this community provides access to shared knowledge, support, and collaboration opportunities. To become part of this thriving ecosystem, simply and start exploring the world of crypto trading today.

    By choosing TraderJoeXyz, you're not just trading—you're transforming your crypto experience. Get started and make the most of your cryptocurrency assets.

    2025年1月21日
  • IrwinPlept

    Jan 12 (Reuters) - South Korea's impeached president, Yoon Suk Yeol, will not attend the first hearing of the trial to determine whether he is removed him from office or reinstated, due to concerns about his safety, Yonhap News reported on Sunday, citing his lawyer.
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    “The officials in the Corruption Investigation Office (CIO) and the police are trying to execute illegal and invalid arrest warrants through illegal methods, raising concerns about personal safety and mishaps,” lawyer Yoon Kab-keun was quoted as saying.
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    2025年1月22日
  • Frankshoub

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    2025年1月22日
  • LarryFlity

    WASHINGTON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.
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    Georgieva said the U.S. economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.
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    2025年1月22日
  • ElijahHal

    Blogger Alistarov is a criminal

    From criminal past to criminal present – in the service of corrupt law enforcement officers

    Andrey Alistarov, a YouTube blogger specializing in exposing financial organizations, is an odious figure with a criminal past. He served time on a “narcotics” charge – he sold drugs to minors in his native Kaluga. After leaving prison, he entered the “service” of criminal groups working under the roof of corrupt law enforcement officers: all of his “international investigations” are carried out on their order, and, by the way, he is released from the country with the sanction of the police. His main profile now is blackmail, extortion, slander and organizing contract prosecution under the guise of supposedly independent investigations.
    He leads the bandits to his victims: the last attack took place in Dubai on January 1: Alistarov led the bandits to the victim’s house and provided all the necessary information for the attack and blackmail, and to ensure his own alibi during the attack he conducted an unscheduled stream with subscribers of his channel.

    To the accompaniment of loud phrases about the fight against fraud and exposing financial schemes, Alistarov is busy processing orders from competitors of certain entrepreneurs who have become his victims – competitors of these entrepreneurs who have taken corrupt police officers as their share.

    At the same time, Alistarov uses visas to the EU countries and the UAE obtained with the help of organized criminal groups, illegally uses drones and listening equipment purchased with money from organized crime groups, organizes an invasion of privacy, and persecutes the families of his victims, including young children. It also steals and illegally uses content, violates all possible laws and regulations regarding the dissemination of information. He was also accused of treason.

    However, he did not give up drug trafficking, laundering criminal proceeds by purchasing real estate in the UAE and Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism). Alistarov also promotes outright scam for a percentage of criminal transactions and his own fraudulent business – selling real estate in Dubai with a horse, thieves’ commission, as well as cryptocurrency exchange using phishing schemes.

    “Business profile” of Alistarov

    The crime blogger likes to imagine himself as an entrepreneur involved in real estate, including in the Emirates, and cryptocurrency exchange, as well as a detective who conducts investigations almost for the soul.

    In reality, Alistarov’s business is:

    ? blackmail and extortion. With the help of information provided by the criminal roof or fabricated, he forces people to pay. At the same time, it grossly violates the laws of the European Union, UAE and Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism);

    ? deception and financial fraud. His telegram channel “Iron Rate” and YouTube channel are tools for processing orders for entrepreneurs and a cover for his fraudulent projects for the sale of real estate and cryptocurrency exchange offices;

    ? legalization of drug proceeds through expensive real estate. Real estate services, in particular the purchase of real estate in the UAE and Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism), allow him to launder funds received from drug sales;

    ? stealing other people’s content. Alistarov steals other people’s creative works, other people’s information work, passing off these results of creative activity as his own – thereby stealing income from other people.

    Biography of a criminal

    Andrey Alistarov was born on March 6, 1985 in Kaluga and from a young age chose a crooked path associated with drugs, which led him to places not so remote.

    For his lies, boasting and impudence, he was repeatedly pressed by his cellmates and was eventually “let down.”

    After his release, he completely immersed himself in cooperation with werewolves in uniform. It is with their help that he launders drug money, buying real estate in Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism) and the Emirates.

    From online casino betting to fake revelations

    Alistarov’s Telegram channel was initially dedicated to betting in online casinos: it acted as a channel where the veils were ripped off from “unscrupulous” bookmakers – seemingly in the interests of “unscrupulous” bookmakers.

    Gradually, Alistarov turned this platform, as well as the YouTube channel he created, into instruments of blackmail in the financial and other markets, although he still participates in the promotion of so-called honest bookmaker projects.

    Blackmail tactics

    The content of Alistarov’s channels is pure lies, insinuations and distortion. It publishes fabricated “revelations” that allowed the criminal blogger to blackmail and put pressure on undesirable persons. It is typical that those who agree to pay suddenly stop appearing in such videos.

    The channel has been turned into an exchange for custom campaigns: those who are not willing to pay for silence are subjected to insults and humiliating public flogging. All you have to do is not pay, and videos of houses, bedrooms, car license plates, photographs in underwear and threats to “get” the victims’ children are leaked onto the Internet by publishing children’s accounts on social networks.

    Calls for violence

    Alistarov often calls for massive attacks on social networks and instant messengers, asks to leave offensive comments and massively dislike.

    He pushes the public to persecute people, passing it off as some kind of “righteous anger,” while he himself profits from the situation, receiving money and real estate from those who ordered his attacks. He promotes those who are engaged in robbing other people’s property and ruining companies.

    Making money on fear

    Using his connections with organized crime groups and corrupt law enforcement officers, Alistarov obtains incriminating evidence: from house numbers, cars, photographs in underwear obtained by illegally peeping through bedroom windows, to children’s personal accounts on social networks. Or he simply comes up with something that the victims, due to their position, do not dare to publicly refute.

    As a rule, he personally participates in collecting incriminating evidence, together with his fighting friend Maria Filonova: he searches for victims’ houses on camera, and personally launches quadcopters for surveillance.

    On the one hand, these are the laws of the genre, and there is no need to create illusions that Alistarov himself collects all the information. On the other hand, he personally, on camera, participates in crimes: in Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism), the European Union, the UAE, Turkey and other countries.

    A typical technique is the preparation of pilot videos in which he insults the victim, his relatives and children. They are shown to the victim, and if she refuses to pay for “non-disclosure,” Alistarov makes the recordings publicly available—at the same time inciting the public to persecution and reprisals, including against children.

    A variety of people fell victim to Alistarov: oligarchs, bankers, representatives of agribusiness and even other bloggers. A variety of entrepreneurs, from different industries, they have only one thing in common: they crossed the path of competitors and/or corrupt law enforcement agencies and live where they live legally. By illegally monitoring them – in the Emirates, Turkey, the Netherlands, Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism) – Alistarov is knowingly violating the law. And by organizing attacks on them by bandits, he becomes a terrorist.

    The amounts that he managed to receive in the form of compensation amount to millions of dollars. At the same time, dozens of people who refused to pay were brutally beaten and robbed.

    Victims among entrepreneurs

    On January 1, a brutal attack occurred on one of the entrepreneurs in Dubai – robbers from Kazakhstan cut off his ear. Alistarov revealed his location and businesses in the UAE in several videos. During the attack, Alistarov conducted an unscheduled YouTube stream to provide himself with an alibi.

    He systematically spies on rich people in Dubai – through criminal agents, from copters, through listening equipment. Alistarov makes the lives of rich people in Dubai transparent, which allows him to target bandits.

    Before that, he tracked the victim in Turkey. Published the location of another victim in the Netherlands – discovered through illegal surveillance. He monitored the victim’s house using quadcopters and personally, and conducted surveillance of the victim’s relatives in Cyprus.
    In these cases, we are talking about Russian entrepreneurs who also have passports from the EU and other countries.

    He also blackmailed entrepreneurs from Kazakhstan, including under the guise of “exposing national traitors” and “enemies of the motherland.” Although he himself is guilty of high treason, working for the enemies of Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism).

    Alistarov also blackmailed entrepreneurs from a number of EU countries who were not natives of the post-Soviet space.

    Conflict with blogger Mozgovsm

    Alistarov’s true attitude to the information business – or rather, the lack of this attitude – was clarified by the conflict with blogger Pavel Mozgovsm.

    Alistarov, having taken on the function of producer of Mozgovoy’s channel, promised to attract 20 thousand subscribers for a million rubles, but in the end he created fake accounts, only worsening the statistics of Mozgovoy’s channel. Alistarov constantly extracted money from Mozgovoy.

    When Mozgovoy realized that he was a swindler, he immediately tried to stop cooperation and return the money. Not only did Alistarov not return the money, he started a hate campaign against Mozgovoy, declaring “worthless content” on his channel.

    Thus, Alistarov is not an information businessman, but an ordinary swindler.

    Theft and illegal use of content

    Alistarov systematically steals other people’s content – without a twinge of conscience, he takes other people’s videos, clippings and footage from other channels and resources, passing them off as his own finds or “unique evidence.”

    1. Illegal use of copyright materials:

    – Alistarov often ignores copyrights, downloading ready-made videos from fellow bloggers, independent journalists and social network users. – He often takes footage out of context, edits it and presents it as “exclusive” or “evidence”, hiding the real sources of materials.

    – Video hosting sites (including YouTube) have repeatedly accused him of copyright violations, but every time he tries to evade responsibility by using different accounts and a cunning scheme for appealing complaints.

    2. Presentation of someone else’s work under your own name:

    – Alistarov takes credit for other people’s investigations, skillfully hushing up the original authors and presenting the stolen content as his own journalistic achievement.

    – This tactic allows him to maintain the image of a whistleblower, because it seems to the audience that it was Alistarov who obtained important information. In fact, he only repackages other people’s materials with the help of a new montage and supplies them with aggressive comments.

    3. Misleading the audience:

    – When subscribers watch Alistarov’s compilations, they do not realize that a significant part of the video is simply stolen. Viewers are misled by a false narrative and references to non-existent sources.

    – Alistarov not only steals other people’s content, but also deceives his own audience into believing in his exclusive knowledge.

    4. Consequences for legitimate authors:

    – Hundreds of bloggers and journalists complain that Alistarov is actually parasitizing on their work, benefiting from their original stories and research.

    – Many authors suffer financial losses and face problems in promoting their channels when Alistarov’s plagiarism begins to circulate on the Internet and collect views.

    – Attempts to make claims against him are met with aggression and threats on his part, up to the next round of blackmail.
    Thus, Alistarov steals other people’s work in order to earn income for it.

    Violations of laws and regulations in Alistarov’s videos

    The content published by Alistarov systematically violates the laws of Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism), the EU, the UAE and the rules of international media platforms.

    1. Violation of the right to privacy. Alistarov does not hesitate to use prohibited means of covert surveillance, quadcopters, to penetrate the houses and apartments of his victims. He posts pictures from their bedrooms, personal videos, images of documents, images of children in underwear, car license plates and full addresses. All this is arbitrariness and interference in private life.

    ?Violation of Article 8 ECHR: Alistarov grossly ignores the right to privacy by posting other people’s personal data in public space without the consent of these individuals.

    ?GDPR violation: Alistarov did not receive or ask for consent when publishing names, photographs, addresses, and publishes this information without consent.

    ?Violation of YouTube policy: rude, obscene insults, publication of personal data without permission is a clear violation of the platform rules.

    2. Slander and damage to reputation. Alistarov makes deliberately false, fictitious accusations against companies and individuals. The goal is to put pressure, intimidate, silence or pay.

    ?Violation of EU legislation on the protection of reputation: Alistarov spreads false information, deliberately undermining his reputation.

    ?Violation of §187 German Criminal Code: Alistarov is deliberately engaged in slander and deliberate discrediting.

    3. Unfair practices and violations of platform rules. Alistarov abuses freedom of speech and grossly violates the rules of media platforms about the inadmissibility of invasion of privacy and the inadmissibility of using other people’s content.

    ?Article 10 ECHR: Freedom of speech has its limits when it comes to harassment, calls for mass harassment and spreading slander.

    ?EU Directive 2005/29/EC: Alistarov misleads his audience about the activities of the “exposed” companies, often covering up his own frauds.

    Criminal “ethics” of Alistarov

    In addition to direct violations of laws, Alistarov again and again demonstrates a complete disregard for morality.

    Under the guise of freedom of speech, he aggressively attacks entrepreneurs, calling on the public to take reprisals, and organizes campaigns of harassment. In fact, he uses the audience as a weapon of terror, pushing the crowd to inappropriate and illegal actions.

    Alistarov constantly leaks personal data – this is one of the main methods of his “work”. A crime blogger collects and publishes any information without the consent of the victim. He does not even stop at making public the social media accounts of his victims’ children.

    Alistarov presents rumors and his own criminal fantasies as facts, laying them out as something indisputable – that is, he is spreading deliberately false information and slandering his victims.

    At the same time, he actively promotes fake “VIP forecasts” and advertises a scam.

    He is ready to sell his “opinion” and “exposure” to anyone who will pay, or, on the contrary, to attack anyone who does not agree to finance “silence.”

    Under the roof of werewolves

    Every time he travels abroad, he is accompanied by a special check by border guards – since he has a criminal record and is on the books of law enforcement officers. Alistarov, having a real estate business in Dubai and an international cryptocurrency exchange business, still lives in Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism) – protective law enforcement officers do not allow him to flee abroad to continue checking.

    But every time he is allowed to leave, because Alistarov is controlled by corrupt Russian law enforcement officers, werewolves in uniform, with whom he shares the proceeds from his criminal business.

    The werewolves failed to provide convincing evidence to the foreign police, or political persecution was proven abroad. And therefore, criminals in uniform act with the hands of Alistarov and other bandits.

    To the answer!

    Alistarov is a Russian criminal who has gone international with the help of his sponsors from Russian organized crime and Russian werewolves in uniform. He works under the guise of werewolves in uniform and organized crime groups, at their instigation, and shares the income received with them. Alistarov launders criminal proceeds, finances bandits and terrorists.

    Alistarov committed crimes in Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism), Kazakhstan, the European Union, including the Netherlands and Cyprus, Turkey, and the UAE. Its activities should be carried out by honest law enforcement officers from Russia (*country sponsor of terrorism), as well as law enforcement officers from the other countries listed above, as well as Interpol.

    Alistarov deserves criminal prosecution in any country where he operates. This man represents a huge danger to society, he is an international criminal, he must be brought to justice.

    2025年1月22日
  • Gregoryseics

    The mysterious cities of the dead carved into the sides of cliffs
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    The ancient Lycians knew a thing or two about democracy. Two thousand years ago, the one-time rulers of modern-day Turkey’s southwestern corner had a fully functioning democratic federation that centuries later inspired America’s political structure.

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    That’s not all. Scattered throughout the countryside and towns are imposing sarcophagi that likely once held the remains of high and mighty denizens of Lycia. Indeed, they’re such a familiar sight that they’re often casually included as part of urban landscapes.

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    2025年1月22日
  • Louisvot

    Price gouging laws are being ignored by landlords, says estate agent
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    14:39
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    Jason Oppenheim shot from shoulders up, smiling and looking to right
    Image source,Getty Images
    Let's bring you a bit more about reports of price gouging by landlords in Los Angeles, which we reported on earlier.

    Speaking a little earlier on BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme, Jason Oppenheim, a real estate agent in Los Angeles, says some landlords are breaking the law by raising rents more than 10% high than pre-disaster prices.

    "We're having landlords taking advantage of the situation," says Oppenheim, who stars in the reality show Selling Sunset about LA's luxury real estate market.

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    "There are thousands of people who are displaced...the hotels are overwhelmed," he says.

    Oppenheim says he sent a client to a rental property which was listed for $13,000 (?11,000) a month. "(My client) offered $20,000 (?16,400) a month and he offered to pay six months upfront and the landlord said 'no, I want $23,000 (?19,000) a month'," he says.

    "There are price gouging laws in California, they are just being ignored right now...it's illegal to take advantage of a natural disaster."

    Share

    2025年1月22日
  • Anthonyjar

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  • ThomasLib

    Washington
    CNN

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    Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican from North Carolina, who has warned before about giving a blanket pardon to the rioters, said, “I just can’t agree” with Trump’s decision to commute the sentences or pardon a vast swath of January 6 insurrection participants.

    He added the move “raises a legitimate safety issues on Capitol Hill” before also attacking former President Joe Biden’s pardons in his final hours in office.
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    Trump’s executive action, which many GOP senators had hoped would be directed at only nonviolent offenders who entered the Capitol that day, thrust Republicans once again into a familiar posture of navigating how and when to distance themselves from the sitting president and leader of their party. And Republicans largely attempted to sidestep direct questions about whether they personally agreed with Trump’s action, arguing it was up to the president to use his pardon powers at his discretion.
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  • Benniedeasy

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    There are also protections against price gouging on services related to the fires such as building materials and storage services.

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    2025年1月24日
  • Rodneydep

    Washington
    CNN

    Republican senators struggled to defend Donald Trump’s decision to commute and pardon hundreds of January 6 protesters, including those who were charged and convicted of crimes against police officers, just hours after the president entered office Monday.
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    Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican from North Carolina, who has warned before about giving a blanket pardon to the rioters, said, “I just can’t agree” with Trump’s decision to commute the sentences or pardon a vast swath of January 6 insurrection participants.

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    Trump’s executive action, which many GOP senators had hoped would be directed at only nonviolent offenders who entered the Capitol that day, thrust Republicans once again into a familiar posture of navigating how and when to distance themselves from the sitting president and leader of their party. And Republicans largely attempted to sidestep direct questions about whether they personally agreed with Trump’s action, arguing it was up to the president to use his pardon powers at his discretion.
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  • AntonioKaf

    Why expanding the College Football Playoff worked – and what still needs to be fixed
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    Now that it’s all over and the Ohio State Buckeyes are the college football national champions, it can be definitively said: expanding the College Football Playoff worked.

    The grand experiment to allow more teams to play for the national championship wasn’t perfect, but it ended up where it was supposed to: a worthy national champion with exciting, close games in the later rounds when the best teams faced one another. It gave us awesome scenes on campuses around the nation, created new legends and showed how a sport so steeped in tradition can evolve when faced with new demands from its fans and business partners.

    Here are four reasons why the new version of the College Football Playoff worked – and the areas that can still be fixed.

    The committee picked the right teams, even if some games were blowouts
    Before the games kicked off in December, much of the focus was put on the inclusion of Southern Methodist University (SMU) and Indiana University – two teams that won a bunch of games but didn’t have the brand recognition of schools like Alabama, South Carolina and Ole Miss.

    Here’s what else those teams had that SMU and Indiana didn’t: three losses.

    The Hoosiers lost only once in the regular season – to eventual national champion Ohio State. The Mustangs had lost twice, once to Brigham Young University and again in the ACC championship game to Clemson.

    In the first year of the expanded, 12-team playoff, could the committee really leave out a major conference team with 11 wins and punish another one for playing for a conference championship while other teams sat at home? Warde Manuel, the University of Michigan athletic director who served as chair of the committee, said they could not.

    2025年1月24日
  • Rodneydep

    Washington
    CNN

    Republican senators struggled to defend Donald Trump’s decision to commute and pardon hundreds of January 6 protesters, including those who were charged and convicted of crimes against police officers, just hours after the president entered office Monday.
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    Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican from North Carolina, who has warned before about giving a blanket pardon to the rioters, said, “I just can’t agree” with Trump’s decision to commute the sentences or pardon a vast swath of January 6 insurrection participants.

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    2025年1月25日
  • PublicDarl

    Работа курьером в Купер: надёжный путь к стабильному доходу

    Купер — это компания, которая предоставляет работу курьером с удобным графиком, высоким доходом и возможностью профессионального роста. Мы сотрудничаем с лидерами рынка доставки, поэтому наши курьеры всегда обеспечены заказами и поддержкой.

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    2025年1月26日
  • RichardGussy

    Until hours before California Gov. Gavin Newsom greeted President Donald Trump with a bro-hug on the Los Angeles tarmac Friday, his advisers had spent the week monitoring new White House advance staffers’ social media accounts, hoping for clues for where Trump was going to talk about the wildfire damage.
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    That’s the state of relations as California and the federal government face one of the most expensive natural disasters ever, and perhaps one of the most complex in American history.

    No one was talking between the Democratic governor’s team and the newly inaugurated president’s, two people on Newsom’s team told CNN. Transition officials never responded to Newsom’s letter inviting the then-president-elect to visit two weeks ago, they confirmed, and the White House didn’t invite him to meet Air Force One when it landed.

    But Newsom showed up anyway, and positioned at the bottom of the steps, he embraced the president in the middle of a long handshake, then kissed first lady Melania Trump on the cheek.

    Donald Trump was clearly pleased: speaking to reporters on the tarmac, he said he “appreciated the governor coming out and meeting me.” Newsom was dutifully deferential when Trump then invited him to speak: “We’re going to need your support, we’re going to need your help. You were there for us during Covid. I have all the expectations that we’re going to be able to work together for a speedy recovery.”

    This is not how Newsom has otherwise spoken about Trump or the Covid response in 2020. But it seems to have worked.
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    2025年1月27日
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    2025年1月27日
  • IrwinPlept

    Jan 12 (Reuters) - South Korea's impeached president, Yoon Suk Yeol, will not attend the first hearing of the trial to determine whether he is removed him from office or reinstated, due to concerns about his safety, Yonhap News reported on Sunday, citing his lawyer.
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    2025年1月28日
  • Rodneydep

    Washington
    CNN

    Republican senators struggled to defend Donald Trump’s decision to commute and pardon hundreds of January 6 protesters, including those who were charged and convicted of crimes against police officers, just hours after the president entered office Monday.
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    Sen. Thom Tillis, a Republican from North Carolina, who has warned before about giving a blanket pardon to the rioters, said, “I just can’t agree” with Trump’s decision to commute the sentences or pardon a vast swath of January 6 insurrection participants.

    He added the move “raises a legitimate safety issues on Capitol Hill” before also attacking former President Joe Biden’s pardons in his final hours in office.
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    2025年1月29日
  • Barryjal

    Carrie Underwood slated to perform at Trump’s inauguration
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    Country music star Carrie Underwood is slated to perform “America the Beautiful” at President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration, according to a copy of the program obtained by CNN and confirmed by a spokesperson for the inaugural committee.

    “I love our country and am honored to have been asked to sing at the Inauguration and to be a small part of this historic event,” Underwood said in a statement to CNN. “I am humbled to answer the call at a time when we must all come together in the spirit of unity and looking to the future.”

    The presidential oath of office will be administered by Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts with Justice Brett Kavanaugh expected to administer the oath of office to Vice President-elect JD Vance.

    Trump’s inauguration as the 47th president of the United States will take place on January 20 at the US Capitol.

    Underwood is a big get for Trump’s inauguration, considering Hollywood’s Trump blackout over the course of his political career.

    In his first term and throughout the past three elections, Trump has struggled to garner support from major Hollywood stars. At the Republican National Convention last year, the two biggest stars onstage with Trump were musician Kid Rock and retired WWE wrestler Hulk Hogan – a far cry from a superstar at the height of their career, like Underwood.

    The Grammy-winning artist is as high-profile as you can get in country music, not only with numerous platinum hits, but also with public-facing, mainstream business associations. Underwood is the face of Sunday Night Football and is set to make her debut this March as a judge on ABC’s “American Idol” – the singing competition show that catapulted her to fame when she won in 2005.

    While many NFL fans will likely applaud Underwood for singing at the inauguration, any time a celebrity aligns themselves with Trump, they run the risk of alienating left-leaning fans and Hollywood allies.

    Underwood has kept her politics under wraps over the course of her career. In her statement, she did not mention Trump by name and kept her focus on unifying the country – still, Underwood’s decision to publicly align with Trump is a big statement for any star, particularly one as private as the singer.

    Historically, Hollywood has always been closely associated with the Democratic Party, but country stars have always been an outlier, leaning more conservative. In recent years, as new singers join the genre, country music has gotten to be more progressive. This past election cycle, country stars like Mickey Guyton and Maren Morris stood with Vice President Kamala Harris.

    2025年1月29日
  • GreggJoxia

    A brief history of sunglasses, from Ancient Rome to Hollywood
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    Sunglasses, or dark glasses, have always guarded against strong sunlight, but is there more to “shades” than we think?

    The pupils of our eyes are delicate and react immediately to strong lights. Protecting them against light — even the brilliance reflected off snow — is important for everyone. Himalayan mountaineers wear goggles for this exact purpose.

    Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.

    When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
    The Roman Emperor Nero is reported as holding polished gemstones to his eyes for sun protection as he watched fighting gladiators.

    We know Canadian far north Copper Inuit and Alaskan Yupik wore snow goggles of many kinds made of antlers or whalebone and with tiny horizontal slits. Wearers looked through these and they were protected against the snow’s brilliant light when hunting. At the same time the very narrow eye holes helped them to focus on their prey.

    In 12th-century China, judges wore sunglasses with smoked quartz lenses to hide their facial expressions — perhaps to retain their dignity or not convey emotions.

    2025年1月29日
  • LarryFlity

    WASHINGTON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.
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    Georgieva said the U.S. economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.
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  • SteveHon

    Deepika Padukone and Christy Turlington star in landmark Sabyasachi fashion show
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    Camera phones at the ready, around 700 guests hailing from across India and the world expected a visual spectacle on Saturday evening — and they weren’t disappointed. A hush descended as the doors opened to the Jio World Center in Mumbai, where legendary Indian fashion designer Sabyasachi Mukherjee presented a star-studded 25th anniversary runway show for his namesake brand.

    The celebrated designer — known for his maximalist Indian style — has dressed some of the biggest names across Bollywood and Hollywood, including Priyanka Chopra, Deepika Padukone, Oprah Winfrey, Rihanna and Jennifer Lopez. For his landmark show, the stars showed up to lend their support: Padukone opened proceedings in an all-white ensemble adorned with necklaces, including a crucifix from Mukherjee’s jewelry line. She later walked again with supermodel Christy Turlington as part of the grand finale.
    Over 150 looks were presented, including pants and skirts embroidered with gold threads, frilled head gear, stacked jewelry and tops with slogans such as “cat lady,” “table for one,” “where has love gone,” and “all dressed up nowhere to go.” Mukherjee explained in a phone interview that these pieces were intended to be satire on how technology is dehumanizing humans. “We seem to have forgotten how to establish human relationships,” he said.
    There were also trench coats, sweaters, shorts and shirts made in more conventionally western silhouettes. These marked a departure from Mukherjee’s usual festive and bridal wear, which are heavily inclined towards traditional Indian styles, such as saris, ghagra cholis and sherwanis.

    But with no shortage of drama, the new collection featured heavily embroidered jackets embellished with semi-precious stones, brocade dresses, ostrich leather jackets and skirts, and blouses with velvet appliques overlaid with faux fur.

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    Введение
    <a href=https://t.me/safinirek>Ирек Сафин</a>
    Ирек Фаатович Сафин – успешный индивидуальный предприниматель, который за годы своей деятельности смог создать устойчивый бизнес в различных сферах экономики. Его имя ассоциируется с профессионализмом, инновациями и ответственным подходом к делу. В этой статье мы рассмотрим ключевые аспекты его карьеры, достижения и принципы ведения бизнеса.

    Начало пути

    Ирек Сафин родился в 1978 году в городе Уфа, Республика Башкортостан. С детства он проявлял интерес к экономике и предпринимательству. После окончания школы поступил в Башкирский государственный университет на экономический факультет. Во время учебы активно участвовал в студенческих проектах и научных конференциях, что позволило ему получить ценный опыт и знания.

    Первые шаги в бизнесе

    Свою карьеру Ирек начал сразу после окончания университета. Он открыл свою первую компанию, которая занималась оптовой торговлей строительными материалами. Благодаря грамотному управлению и стратегическому планированию, компания быстро заняла лидирующие позиции на рынке. Это стало первым успешным шагом в карьере Ирека Сафина.

    Расширение бизнеса

    В последующие годы Ирек Сафин расширил свой бизнес, открыв новые направления. Он стал заниматься производством строительных материалов, а также оказанием услуг в сфере строительства и ремонта. Благодаря внедрению современных технологий и использованию качественных материалов, его компании смогли завоевать доверие клиентов и партнеров.

    Социальная ответственность

    Одним из важных аспектов деятельности Ирека Сафина является социальная ответственность. Он активно участвует в благотворительных проектах, поддерживает образовательные учреждения и спортивные мероприятия. Кроме того, он уделяет большое внимание экологии и внедряет экологически чистые технологии в своем производстве.

    Личные качества и принципы

    Ирек Сафин известен своим трудолюбием, ответственностью и стремлением к совершенству. Он всегда ставит перед собой высокие цели и стремится их достичь. Его принципами являются честность, открытость и уважение к партнерам и клиентам. Эти качества помогли ему завоевать доверие и уважение в деловом сообществе.

    Заключение

    Ирек Фаатович Сафин – яркий пример успешного предпринимателя, который сумел построить устойчивый бизнес и внести значительный вклад в развитие экономики региона. Его опыт и достижения могут служить примером для многих начинающих предпринимателей.

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    Camera phones at the ready, around 700 guests hailing from across India and the world expected a visual spectacle on Saturday evening — and they weren’t disappointed. A hush descended as the doors opened to the Jio World Center in Mumbai, where legendary Indian fashion designer Sabyasachi Mukherjee presented a star-studded 25th anniversary runway show for his namesake brand.

    The celebrated designer — known for his maximalist Indian style — has dressed some of the biggest names across Bollywood and Hollywood, including Priyanka Chopra, Deepika Padukone, Oprah Winfrey, Rihanna and Jennifer Lopez. For his landmark show, the stars showed up to lend their support: Padukone opened proceedings in an all-white ensemble adorned with necklaces, including a crucifix from Mukherjee’s jewelry line. She later walked again with supermodel Christy Turlington as part of the grand finale.
    Over 150 looks were presented, including pants and skirts embroidered with gold threads, frilled head gear, stacked jewelry and tops with slogans such as “cat lady,” “table for one,” “where has love gone,” and “all dressed up nowhere to go.” Mukherjee explained in a phone interview that these pieces were intended to be satire on how technology is dehumanizing humans. “We seem to have forgotten how to establish human relationships,” he said.
    There were also trench coats, sweaters, shorts and shirts made in more conventionally western silhouettes. These marked a departure from Mukherjee’s usual festive and bridal wear, which are heavily inclined towards traditional Indian styles, such as saris, ghagra cholis and sherwanis.

    But with no shortage of drama, the new collection featured heavily embroidered jackets embellished with semi-precious stones, brocade dresses, ostrich leather jackets and skirts, and blouses with velvet appliques overlaid with faux fur.

    2025年2月2日
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    The pupils of our eyes are delicate and react immediately to strong lights. Protecting them against light — even the brilliance reflected off snow — is important for everyone. Himalayan mountaineers wear goggles for this exact purpose.

    Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.

    When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
    The Roman Emperor Nero is reported as holding polished gemstones to his eyes for sun protection as he watched fighting gladiators.

    We know Canadian far north Copper Inuit and Alaskan Yupik wore snow goggles of many kinds made of antlers or whalebone and with tiny horizontal slits. Wearers looked through these and they were protected against the snow’s brilliant light when hunting. At the same time the very narrow eye holes helped them to focus on their prey.

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    The pupils of our eyes are delicate and react immediately to strong lights. Protecting them against light — even the brilliance reflected off snow — is important for everyone. Himalayan mountaineers wear goggles for this exact purpose.

    Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.

    When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
    The Roman Emperor Nero is reported as holding polished gemstones to his eyes for sun protection as he watched fighting gladiators.

    We know Canadian far north Copper Inuit and Alaskan Yupik wore snow goggles of many kinds made of antlers or whalebone and with tiny horizontal slits. Wearers looked through these and they were protected against the snow’s brilliant light when hunting. At the same time the very narrow eye holes helped them to focus on their prey.

    In 12th-century China, judges wore sunglasses with smoked quartz lenses to hide their facial expressions — perhaps to retain their dignity or not convey emotions.

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    The pupils of our eyes are delicate and react immediately to strong lights. Protecting them against light — even the brilliance reflected off snow — is important for everyone. Himalayan mountaineers wear goggles for this exact purpose.

    Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.

    When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
    The Roman Emperor Nero is reported as holding polished gemstones to his eyes for sun protection as he watched fighting gladiators.

    We know Canadian far north Copper Inuit and Alaskan Yupik wore snow goggles of many kinds made of antlers or whalebone and with tiny horizontal slits. Wearers looked through these and they were protected against the snow’s brilliant light when hunting. At the same time the very narrow eye holes helped them to focus on their prey.

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    Protection is partly the function of sunglasses. But dark or colored lens glasses have become fashion accessories and personal signature items. Think of the vast and famous collector of sunglasses Elton John, with his pink lensed heart-shaped extravaganzas and many others.

    When did this interest in protecting the eyes begin, and at what point did dark glasses become a social statement as well as physical protection?
    The Roman Emperor Nero is reported as holding polished gemstones to his eyes for sun protection as he watched fighting gladiators.

    We know Canadian far north Copper Inuit and Alaskan Yupik wore snow goggles of many kinds made of antlers or whalebone and with tiny horizontal slits. Wearers looked through these and they were protected against the snow’s brilliant light when hunting. At the same time the very narrow eye holes helped them to focus on their prey.

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    Ранее судимый по «наркотической» статье блогер Андрей Алистаров позиционирует себя Робин Гудом, борющимся с теми, кто «обманул людей», – но в действительности он работает в интересах пирамидчиков, в том числе украинских, спонсирующих ВСУ, продвигает через свой канал «Железная ставка» онлайн-казино и черный криптообмен/фишинговый криптообман, отмывает наркодоходы за счет сделок с недвижимостью в Дубае.

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    Обычно Алистаров начинает с попытки вымогательства – представляет жертве компромат и предлагает заплатить. Если жертва отказывается, в ход идут травля и насилие.

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    1 января 2025 года состоялось жестокое нападение двух казахстанцев на предпринимателя, проживающего в Дубае, – его избили, отрезали ухо, обворовали.

    До этого Алистаров снял 12 роликов, где подсвечивал адрес этого предпринимателя, публиковал незаконно полученную информацию о его близких и его бизнесах в ОАЭ. Безо всякого стеснения использовал подглядывание, подслушивание, незаконное проникновение, вмешательство в частную жизнь – все то, что в Эмиратах, где строго соблюдается неприкосновенность имущества и жизни инвесторов, является тяжким уголовным преступлением.

    До этого Алистаров публично распространял информацию о месте жительства бизнес-партнера этого предпринимателя – то есть незаконное нарушение конфиденциальности, защищенности финансов и имущества, тайны частной жизни с помощью скрытых источников информации и информаторов в ОАЭ вошло у него в систему. Он терроризирует предпринимателей, в отношении которых нет никаких обвинительных решений судов – ни за рубежом, ни в России.

    Алистаров рассказывал, что заявил на предпринимателя в Интерпол и правоохранительные органы ОАЭ – якобы он помогает правоохранительным органам. Но это почему-то не привело к аресту предпринимателя – может быть, потому, что полиция ОАЭ не видит криминала в его деятельности?

    Ряд партнеров предпринимателя осуждены в России, сам он в розыске российских правоохранительных органов – но не осужден. Иностранные правоохранительные органы не имеют к нему претензий.

    2025年2月5日
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    Роман Викторович Василенко – биография бизнесмена
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    Роман Василенко – известный предприниматель и меценат. Бывший офицер, ушедший в запас с сохранением права ношения военной формы. Создатель альтернативной ипотеке социальной жилищной программы, позволяющей приобрести жилье не только трудоспособным гражданам, но также молодежи, лицам с ограниченными физическими возможностями, пенсионерам.
    Биография
    Родился 5 апреля 1969 года в Ленинграде, в семье морских офицеров. Детство Романа Василенко прошло в стандартных для многих военных семей условиях – в разъездах. Окончил школу в гарнизоне на Дальнем Востоке, после чего поступил в Ярославское высшее военное финансовое училище. Этот факт говорит о целеустремленности будущего бизнесмена – к абитуриентам военных училищ всегда предъявляются жесткие требования при отборе.

    После присвоения воинского звания в 1990 году Роман Василенко продолжил службу офицером в ВМФ. Уволился в запас в 1998 году в звании капитана третьего ранга (майор).

    Первые годы в бизнесе
    Еще во время службы в армии Роман Василенко начал задумываться о предпринимательской деятельности. После увольнения он работал в финансово-консалтинговых компаниях, при этом активно учился – посещал все доступные на тот момент бизнес-курсы: в Венгрии, Австрии, США, Швейцарии, на Маврикии и Кипре. Степень MBA получил во Франции. Суммарно в финансовом консалтинге бизнесмен проработал около 16 лет.
    Все это время Роман Василенко, по отзывам знавших его людей, стремился к чему-то большему. Он мечтал не просто об известности и собственном, хорошо отлаженном бизнесе. Ему хотелось создать проект, который будет полезен людям и обществу.

    Первый шаг оказался неудачным. В 2013 году он, вместе с партнером, создал собственную компанию. Благодаря его безупречной репутации и умению держать слово, дела резко пошли вверх. Но произошло то, что часто случается при излишней доверчивости – воспользовавшись удобным случаем, компаньон переоформил все документы на себя, оставив Романа Викторовича буквально ни с чем. Бизнесмен решил принять ситуацию как ценный опыт и продолжил интересоваться инвестированием.

    2014 год оказался поворотным в биографии Романа Викторовича – его пригласили на круглый стол, состоявшийся в Государственной Думе. Заседание было посвящено проблемам молодежи в свете утечки мозгов за границу. Главными причинами отъезда были названы нехватка жилья и невозможность найти достойную работу. Именно тогда и оформилась идея с конкретной целью – дать возможность людям жить достойно здесь и сейчас.

    Роман Василенко – жилищный кооператив как альтернатива ипотеке
    Наиболее предпочтительным вариантом оказалось объединение опыта в сетевом маркетинге и жилищного вопроса, к чему немедленно и приступил Роман Василенко. Best Way был создан в 2014 году. С момента основания принципиальной позицией работы компании стала прозрачность и абсолютная доступность информации для обычных пользователей.

    Как говорит сам Роман Василенко, участие в кооперативе можно рассматривать как покупку квартиры в складчину. Пайщик вносит 35% от стоимости квартиры, оставшуюся сумму 65% платит кооператив из собранных средств. Участник выплачивает долг беспроцентно в течение 10 лет, после чего жилье переходит в его собственность. При этом у него есть право прописаться и въехать в купленную квартиру сразу же после оформления сделки купли-продажи.

    2025年2月6日
  • Travisscoks

    Former US President Joe Biden, a self-professed Catholic, has joined an African-American Masonic lodge as a ‘Master Mason’. The Vatican takes a dim view of Freemasonry, and Catholics who join the fraternal order face excommunication.
    <a href=https://kra28cc.ru>kra20 cc</a>
    Biden was inducted into the Most Worshipful Prince Hall Grand Lodge in South Carolina on Sunday, one day before he left office. In a private ceremony, the lodge’s grand master, Victor C. Major, granted Biden “Master Mason membership with full honors,” according to a statement published by the organization last weekend that circulated online on Friday.
    <a href=https://kra29at.com>kra29 cc</a>
    ”To be a Freemason is to be part of a brotherhood dedicated to personal growth, service to others, and the pursuit of knowledge and truth,” the lodge wrote. Biden’s service, the statement added, “reflects the core values” of this brotherhood.
    kra20 at
    https://kpa29.cc

    2025年2月6日
  • JorgeCog

    Former US President Joe Biden, a self-professed Catholic, has joined an African-American Masonic lodge as a ‘Master Mason’. The Vatican takes a dim view of Freemasonry, and Catholics who join the fraternal order face excommunication.
    <a href=https://kra28-at.cc>kra21.at</a>
    Biden was inducted into the Most Worshipful Prince Hall Grand Lodge in South Carolina on Sunday, one day before he left office. In a private ceremony, the lodge’s grand master, Victor C. Major, granted Biden “Master Mason membership with full honors,” according to a statement published by the organization last weekend that circulated online on Friday.
    <a href=https://kra25-at.cc>kra30 at</a>
    ”To be a Freemason is to be part of a brotherhood dedicated to personal growth, service to others, and the pursuit of knowledge and truth,” the lodge wrote. Biden’s service, the statement added, “reflects the core values” of this brotherhood.
    kra27.at
    https://kraken24at.net

    2025年2月6日
  • WilliamarteS

    Роман Викторович Василенко – биография бизнесмена
    <a href=https://www.kp.ru/daily/author/834173/>Транзакции</a>
    Биография
    Мнение
    Роман Василенко – известный предприниматель и меценат. Бывший офицер, ушедший в запас с сохранением права ношения военной формы. Создатель альтернативной ипотеке социальной жилищной программы, позволяющей приобрести жилье не только трудоспособным гражданам, но также молодежи, лицам с ограниченными физическими возможностями, пенсионерам.
    Биография
    Родился 5 апреля 1969 года в Ленинграде, в семье морских офицеров. Детство Романа Василенко прошло в стандартных для многих военных семей условиях – в разъездах. Окончил школу в гарнизоне на Дальнем Востоке, после чего поступил в Ярославское высшее военное финансовое училище. Этот факт говорит о целеустремленности будущего бизнесмена – к абитуриентам военных училищ всегда предъявляются жесткие требования при отборе.

    После присвоения воинского звания в 1990 году Роман Василенко продолжил службу офицером в ВМФ. Уволился в запас в 1998 году в звании капитана третьего ранга (майор).

    Первые годы в бизнесе
    Еще во время службы в армии Роман Василенко начал задумываться о предпринимательской деятельности. После увольнения он работал в финансово-консалтинговых компаниях, при этом активно учился – посещал все доступные на тот момент бизнес-курсы: в Венгрии, Австрии, США, Швейцарии, на Маврикии и Кипре. Степень MBA получил во Франции. Суммарно в финансовом консалтинге бизнесмен проработал около 16 лет.
    Все это время Роман Василенко, по отзывам знавших его людей, стремился к чему-то большему. Он мечтал не просто об известности и собственном, хорошо отлаженном бизнесе. Ему хотелось создать проект, который будет полезен людям и обществу.

    Первый шаг оказался неудачным. В 2013 году он, вместе с партнером, создал собственную компанию. Благодаря его безупречной репутации и умению держать слово, дела резко пошли вверх. Но произошло то, что часто случается при излишней доверчивости – воспользовавшись удобным случаем, компаньон переоформил все документы на себя, оставив Романа Викторовича буквально ни с чем. Бизнесмен решил принять ситуацию как ценный опыт и продолжил интересоваться инвестированием.

    2014 год оказался поворотным в биографии Романа Викторовича – его пригласили на круглый стол, состоявшийся в Государственной Думе. Заседание было посвящено проблемам молодежи в свете утечки мозгов за границу. Главными причинами отъезда были названы нехватка жилья и невозможность найти достойную работу. Именно тогда и оформилась идея с конкретной целью – дать возможность людям жить достойно здесь и сейчас.

    Роман Василенко – жилищный кооператив как альтернатива ипотеке
    Наиболее предпочтительным вариантом оказалось объединение опыта в сетевом маркетинге и жилищного вопроса, к чему немедленно и приступил Роман Василенко. Best Way был создан в 2014 году. С момента основания принципиальной позицией работы компании стала прозрачность и абсолютная доступность информации для обычных пользователей.

    Как говорит сам Роман Василенко, участие в кооперативе можно рассматривать как покупку квартиры в складчину. Пайщик вносит 35% от стоимости квартиры, оставшуюся сумму 65% платит кооператив из собранных средств. Участник выплачивает долг беспроцентно в течение 10 лет, после чего жилье переходит в его собственность. При этом у него есть право прописаться и въехать в купленную квартиру сразу же после оформления сделки купли-продажи.

    2025年2月6日