周二(4月27日),英镑/美元小幅上涨0.07%至1.39附近,但波动性依然较高。在50天均线上方,仍然看到很多震荡行为。
FXEmpire的分析师认为,从技术面看,50日均线会吸引很多关注,但更重要的是下方的双底。如果跌破这一水平,那么市场可能会转向1.35,并进一步关注200日均线。上行方面,如果最终突破1.40,将把英镑推向1.42水平,这将是一个非常乐观的信号。到那时,英镑或多或少变成了一种“买入并持有”的货币。
摩根大通则探讨了英镑/美元前景,并希望在当前水平附近做空现货。该行认为英镑已经超过了与疫苗相关的经济乐观情绪的峰值点。该行表示,随着与美国和欧元(1.2078, -0.0011, -0.09%)区的疫苗接种差距正在缩小,可以理解的是,投资者正在重新评估持有英镑多头的好处,特别是当(所谓的)英镑的安全性从非常积极的4月季节性变成消极的5月季节性时。在过去的15年里,英镑有13年在5月是下降的。
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