欧元(1.2043, 0.0008, 0.07%)从1.2反弹转正 美银、道明强调欧洲央行战略前景
（北美）讯 周三（4月21日），欧元/美元在1.1997见底后进一步上涨，迅速回升至1.2000上方，实现较大反弹至1.2027。
股价走高和美国国债收益率走低，推动美元指数(91.0616, -0.0560, -0.06%)下跌。道琼斯指数上涨了0.7%，标普目前上涨了0.64%。10年期国债收益率目前为1.57%。
在数日美国没有发布相关经济数据之后，美国将于周四发布初请失业金数据。关键事件将是欧洲央行（ECB）会议。预计政策不会有任何变化。人们的注意力将集中在拉加德的新闻发布会以及未来宣布的迹象上。
“我们期待欧元/美元的近期区间保持不变，因为欧洲央行不太可能提供强有力的方向线索，市场的注意力将很快转向下周的联邦公开市场委员会。我们预期的普遍乐观的信息表明现货市场存在一些温和的上行风险，但只有非常强硬的结果才可能导致明显突破，因为100日移动均线（1.2058）有助于提供一个上限，”道明证券（TD Securities）分析师表示。
美国银行（Bank of America）全球研究则强调了欧洲央行战略评估对欧元今年剩余时间走势的重要性。“欧洲央行的沟通仍然存在问题。欧洲央行鹰派人士最近的言论指出了早期政策正常化的风险。所有这些都可能反映出，在本应于今年夏天结束的战略评估期间进行的闭门讨论……拉加德可能会试图在战略评估中平衡对立观点，导致对政策反应功能的更多困惑，”美银指出。“目前，我们必须等待战略评估，以便弄清楚一些情况。正如我们以前所说的那样，审查本身可以是任意一种方式。如果它成功了，就应该阐明在明年初PEPP结束后，开放式量化宽松计划将如何继续下去。但另一方面，PEPP的结束将标志着量化宽松的结束。我们最终处于这些极端情况的哪个中间位置，将决定欧元的影响，”美银补充道。
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