黄金升至近二个月高位,钯金逼近2900美元创历史新高
周三(4月21日)COMEX 6月黄金期货收涨0.8%,报1793.10美元/盎司。10年期美债收益率徘徊在1.6%下方,降低了持有无收益黄金的机会成本,且美元也走低。
亚洲的新冠感染病例大增造成不安情绪升温,使风险偏好受到打击、投资者紧张焦虑。市场密切关注这种担忧情绪将对全球经济复苏造成何种影响。随着风险偏好下降,黄金价格可能继续走高。
用于汽车催化转化器的钯金价格周四一度飙升4.8%,达到每盎司2895.96美元,突破了2020年2月份创下的历史纪录今年以来,钯金价格上涨了17%,之前已经连续五年走高。
钯金市场多年来一直处于供应短缺的状态,欧洲和中国更严格的污染标准正在刺激汽车制造商对这种金属的需求。自全球最大生产商俄罗斯Nornikel在2月24日暂停旗下两座矿场的部分运营以来,钯金价格已上涨了24%。Melek表示,可能会出现技术性价格回调,但鉴于钯金的强劲基本面,大幅向下调整的可能性极小。
道明证券大宗商品策略主管Bart Melek表示,我们正看到这种催化剂在汽车和工业上相当广泛的使用;他补充称,预计市场将非常吃紧,很难获得这种金属。
BMO Capital Markets金属衍生产品负责人Tai Wong指出,多种因素在推动钯金价格上涨,从根本上说,今年将出现实质性供应缺口,汽车制造商需要补充库存。
其他贵金属也有所上涨,白银连续第二天上涨,现货白银盘中一度涨逾3%,创3月3日以来新高至26.643美元/盎司;铂金也走高。
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