基金大佬预计比特币面临“腰斩”风险,摩根大通就比特币弱势发出警示
自上周五(4月22日)以来,比特币出现了明显的跌势,周四(4月22日)亚市早盘,目前交投于54036美元/枚附近,距离记录高点已经回来月10000万美元,但基金大佬和投行认为比特币将面临进一步大跌风险。
基金大佬Scott Minerd料比特币将出现“重大修正”走势
据报道,Guggenheim Investments首席投资官Scott Minerd表示,比特币的“泡沫非常大”,并预测将出现一波“重大修正”走势。
Scott Minerd称,“我认为比特币价格将回调至20000至30,000美元,跌幅为50%,但比特币的有趣之处在于,我们之前已经看到过这种跌幅”。
Scott Minerd也认为,下跌是“长期牛市正常演变中”的一部分,预计比特币价格最终达到40万至60万美元。
期货多头平仓,摩根大通就比特币弱势发出警示
Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou前几次目睹比特币价格回落时,买家都及时进场阻止了它的进一步下跌。这一次,这位摩根大通策略师还真的感到有些担忧了。
他和其他摩根大通策略师在周二(4月21日)的一份报告中说,如果这种市场规模排名首位的加密货币不能很快重返60000美元以上水平,动能信号将会崩塌。他们表示,近几周的比特币期货多头加仓以及过去几日的多头平仓可能与商品交易顾问(CTA)和加密货币基金至少有一定的牵连。
“过去几天比特币期货市场出现了与2月中旬、1月中旬和去年11月底类似的大规模平仓情形,”策略师们说。“鉴于其当前依然高企的水平,动能信号将会由此出现连续数月的衰减。”
他们表示,之前那三次,足够强劲的总体资金流很快就使比特币价格重新回到了关键点位之上,从而导致了动能交易员多头仓位的进一步增加。
但是“当前形势下那样的情景是否还会重现眼下还不好说,”策略师们说。他们同时表示,这种情景重现的几率看上去似乎较低,因为动能的衰竭程度已经很大,逆转的难度已经加大了。
在Coinbase Global Inc.纳斯达克上市前后,比特币一度升至64870美元左右的水平,但如今已经跌破了60000美元大关,不过其年内涨幅依然高达大约85%。
北京时间07:35,比特币现报54225美元/枚。
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