黄金又见巨量买单、一分钟爆买近5亿美元 全球市场巨变:恐慌指标VIX大涨超10%
4月20日15:00至22:30
市场概述:周二(4月20日)欧市盘中,全球市场风险情绪反转,欧美股市遭遇大范围抛售,尤其是欧洲股市主要股指多数都接近或超过1%,恐慌指标VIX有所回升,日内涨幅10%。汇市方面,美元指数(91.2478, 0.0557, 0.06%)趁机回到91关口上方附近,美债受收益率波动剧烈,在最新的下跌之后,金价反弹至1780左右,一度又有巨量买单!
消息面来看,正如FX168此前在文中提及的那样,全球新冠肺炎疫情形势严峻,世界卫生组织19日说,全球上周新增新冠确诊病例520万例,创疫情暴发以来最高纪录。值得注意的是,先前被认为感染率较低的相对年轻群体出现确诊病例和住院病例双双增加的情况。
日本《每日新闻》报道称,东京都知事小池百合子向日本执政党自由民主党干事长二阶俊博表示,她准备寻求宣布首都进入疫情紧急状态。
印度方面的形势更为严峻,印度首都德里宣布于19日晚间起实行封城,根据印度卫生部公布的数据,过去一天印度新增新冠肺炎确诊病例超过25.9万。
此外,鉴于Covid-19大流行带来的“前所未有的风险”,美国国务院敦促美国人重新考虑出国,并将对全球大部分地区的旅游建议更新为最高四级警告。
欧洲药品管理局(EMA)称,确认接种强生公司(JNJ)新冠肺炎疫苗仍然利大于弊。接种该公司疫苗与出现罕见血栓之间可能存在关联,所有血栓问题都出现在60岁以下年龄段,尤其是女性,具体的风险因素尚未得到确认,EMA将继续追踪该公司疫苗的安全性和有效性。
有分析指出,尽管疫苗接种良好,但是全球新冠肺炎疫情形势的再度恶化,似乎还是在冲击市场情绪……市场接下来还会关注美国基建计划的最新消息。
黄金:在美债收益率最新一波的下挫之际,金价短线快速拉升,逼近1780关口,再度出现巨浪买单!有数据显示,COMEX最活跃黄金期货合约北京时间4月20日22:00一分钟内买卖盘面瞬间成交2660手,交易合约总价值4.72亿美元。
Wolfpack Capital首席投资官Jeff Wright表示,黄金市场上周的轧空走势已经结束,市场缺乏推升金价的强劲动力,黄金价格走势在作出任何新的方向选择之前需找寻新的催化剂。
技术分析师Wang Tao指出,在无法真正突破1785关口后,现货黄金价格可能会回落到1744至1758美元/盎司区域内。
日内焦点、风向标:
全球新冠肺炎疫情形势
主要货币走势分析:
欧元(1.2027, -0.0008, -0.07%):周二欧市盘中,欧元/美元温和上涨,技术面,欧元/美元在1.2080附近的新纪录上方,将是1.2100阻力位,然后是2月高位1.2240附近。
英镑(1.3922, -0.0015, -0.11%):周二欧市盘中,英镑/美元小幅下跌,技术面,英镑/美元小时图上RSI(14)超买似乎是唯一未能帮助多头在1.4000关口上方找到买盘的因素。目前,英镑兑美元似乎已经结束了连续6天的涨势。
日元:周二欧市盘中,美元/日元继续震荡,技术面,美元/日元任何随后的积极走势仍可能被视为卖出机会,并在109.00关口附近受到限制。该关口汇合了4小时图的200周期移动均线和102.59-110.97升幅的23.6%斐波那契回撤位,现在应该是一个关键的拐点。
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