4月21日外汇交易提醒:美元止跌反弹,商品货币下跌,关注加银利率决议
周二(4月20日)美元指数(91.1938, 0.0017, 0.00%)止跌反弹,大宗商品货币随油价一道下滑;美元指数上涨0.12%至91.19,为4月9日以来最大盘中涨幅,稍早一度跌0.2%;不过,随着美国国债收益率小幅下跌,美元可能感受到压力。
美元4月下跌,因美债收益率从上月创下的14个月高点1.776%回落。分析师表示,随着越来越多的证据表明,美联储收紧货币政策的速度将比市场预期的要慢,汇率和国债收益率双双下跌。10年期美债收益率跌至1.57%,此前在1.60%附近的狭窄区间内交投。
欧元(1.2032, -0.0003, -0.02%)兑美元
基本持平,稍早一度攀升0.35%;一项调查显示,德国绿党支持率比总理默克尔领导的保守派联盟领先七个点。Oanda Corp.高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示,政治不确定性对欧元从来都不是件好事,现在,默克尔卸任后保守派也可能下台的风险持续上升。
令欧元受到鼓舞的消息是,欧盟宣布已行使再购买1亿剂辉瑞新冠疫苗的选择权。Issa说,疫苗消息表明,欧洲将开始追赶美国从大流行中复苏的步伐,及其增长加速的主题。
美元兑加元(1.2604, -0.0004, -0.03%)
一度上涨0.70%至1.2623加元,创近五周最大盘中涨幅,突破55日移动均线,看向4月13日高位1.2629;加拿大央行将于周三举行政策会议。彭博经济学家预期周三会议上将宣布国债购买规模削减至每周30亿加元。
澳元(0.7719, -0.0006, -0.08%)兑美元
在稍早攀升0.7%至0.7816美元后,一度下跌0.5%至0.7719美元;这种走势可能部分是受获利了结和卖权需求驱动。Saxo Bank外汇策略主管John Hardy表示,如果向0.7700回落,多头就会再度陷入战术性乱局。
纽元兑美元
下跌0.2%至0.7173美元,抹去稍早0.6%的涨幅。挪威克朗兑美元从2018年以来的最高水平回落。
其它货币对方面,
美元兑日元(107.95, -0.1200, -0.11%)
微升至108.09,此前自3月5日以来首次跌破108;
涨0.15%至0.9161。
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