周三(4月7日)亚洲时段,美油几乎持稳,短线油价在区间内宽幅震荡,空头可能略占上风,建议保守者暂时观望,激进者在区间内逢高做空,逢低做多。
日内关注EIA原油库存数据,预计库存减少200万桶,数据将利多油价。
日线级别:
MACD绿柱缩短,暗示看跌动能有所下降。
短线来看,油价在57.25-62.27区间内宽幅震荡,空头依然稍占上风,多头暂处守势,但也不遑多让。上方面临3月8日高位以来的趋势线压力。后市若能突破趋势线的压力,则意味着多头将重启涨势,若持续承压且难以逾越,后市可能引发更大的跌幅。
中长线看,上涨趋势在回调行情结束后仍将有望维持,空头在57.26一线遇到强大的阻力短期恐难突破。从更大级别的周线来看,近几周尽管油价不断下跌,但接连出现长下影线暗示下方支撑强劲,企稳迹象初显。
上行方面,初步阻力关注60大关,这是重要的心理关口,进一步阻力关注61关口以及62.26。
下行方面,初步支撑关注58.77一线,进一步关注58关口及阶段低位57.26,跌破57.26或将引发新一轮下跌。
(美油日线图)
阻力:
60.00;61.00;62.26;
支撑:
58.77;58.00;57.26;
短线操作建议:
保守者观望,激进者区间内高空低多。
文章评论
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