今日行情解析
黄金方面
周期都是从大到小分析,从最不容易改变的地方入手。小周期遵循大周期的走势,趋势才能得以延续。我们是抓趋势,遵循趋势走势。
日间趋势,黄金近期的走势,是属于偏震荡的走势,这种小区间的震荡行情,如果专注于日内的走势的话,操作上起来是非常难受的。表现在以下几方面。
一是,日内走势往往会出现一定的连续性,比如早间一波下跌,连续几根K线收阴,就会觉得市场走弱了,追空进去,结果市场反向拉升。
二是,明明前一日收盘收在高位,走势偏强势,第二日准备回踩去做多,结果早间跌幅却很大,做多难受,或者止损。
三是,明明突破了前一日高点或者低点,结果只是假突破,追多或者追空,做到了地板上。
很多朋友都在震荡行情里,迷失了自我,损失惨重。他们摸不清市场到底要怎么走,走向哪里,因为日内的行情本身就没有方向,在没有方向的行情里想要摸清未来方向,自然是无法做到的。
那么,如何应对震荡行情呢?
首先要跳出日内行情的束缚,所谓不识庐山真面目,只缘身在此山中。同样适用于我们的日常交易。只有跳脱出日内走势,才能不让你的思路被日内走势所迷惑。跳出日内走势,升维到次级上来,才能降维打击日间的走势。
当你跳出日内短线,从次级趋势出发,你会发现,其实市场整体是运行在一个稳定的区间框架内,你需要做的就是在区间边界处,等待机会入场。就像一只被焖在罐子里的苍蝇,你永远无法预知它下一秒的方向,但是你能够确定的是,它碰壁以后,自然会飞向另一方。
震荡行情同样考验着你的耐心,你的击球处就是在区间的边界,而你需要的就是耐心等待,市场的价格落到你的边界处,然后挥棒一击。
黄金周二整体表现弱势,尤其是美盘的走势,价格压制在早间开跌点附近,难以上行,随后走了一波跌势,价格破位早间回落低点,凌晨收盘在了近几日的低位。早间继续盘整在低位。这种低位盘整,是一种弱势走势的表现。还应该有低点。
我们早间可以依托1728-1730压制做一波空单,防守5美金即可,目标看1720附近即可。这是博弈弱势下跌。延续昨日的行情。
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