上周初期美元兑日元继续盘整于109.25的阻力下方,但周四收盘于该位下方附近为周五的轻松突破和连续上扬至12个月高点创造了条件。FXStreet的分析师Joseph Trevisani认为,只要美国和日本之间的利率差异继续扩大,美元兑日元就会上升。
“如果美国经济表现如预期,美国国债利率可能大幅走高。日本央行承诺实施截断且永久性的零利率政策,这将抑制而不是帮助日本经济复苏,日元在近期内将保持守势。 ”
“从2016年末到2019年年中,110.00上方的区域交易活跃,较低的水平将提供许多获利了结的机会。 ”
“两大最近的阻力位于2020年1月高点110和110.30。110.30上方的阻力更难以突破,回到109.20的底部也不会消除上行势头。只有回到108.60-109.20区间,才会使整体方向变钝。 ”
“RSI位于75,处于超买,但只要汇价位于109.20上方,这就不是卖出信号。最近的均线108.39增强108.30的支撑位。 ”
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