金价格维持横盘整理，目前与上周末同样持续位于1730美元附近徘徊。美国10年期国债收益率下跌后企稳，但仍未回到1.7高位，显示出美国通胀预期疲弱的迹象逐渐升温。欧洲疫情重新燃起封锁限制措施后，美国却表态疫情有恢复的态势，疫苗接种计划也顺利展开，使得两者抵消难再领航黄金风险指标。
截至截稿前香港时间08时32分，黄金价格未有涨幅，至1733.30美元。美国10年期国债收益率涨幅达到0.33%，至1.665。
基本面分析：美国消费数据疲软通胀预期再次受挫
美国2月份消费者支出跌幅录得10个月来最高，美国多个地区受到冷潮影响，而美国总统拜登政府的第二轮新冠财政法案所开出的支票，对中等和低收入家庭的刺激作用明显减弱。要知道，这是自去年4月强制关闭餐厅等非必需业务以减缓新冠传播的最大跌幅。但得益于白宫大规模的1.9万亿美元刺激法案，美国有望将消费者支出的下降限制成暂时性的。
美国商务部也在上周末前表示，占美国经济活动2/3的消费者支出在2月份下降1.0%，原因是商品购买量大幅下降。值得关注的是，消费者支出数据在1月份反弹3.4%。美国个人收入在1月份激增10.1%后，暴跌7.1%。经济学家此前预计，2月份的消费者支出下降0.7%，收入将下降7.3%。
由于需求疲软，通货膨胀率有所下降，不包括挥发性食品和能源成分的个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数在1月份上涨0.2%后，再起涨0.1%。截至2月份的过去12个月里，PCE核心价格指数在1月份增长1.5%后，再起涨1.4%。PCE核心价格指数是美联储对其2%通胀目标(也就是具灵活性的平均水平)的首选通胀指标。
随着黄金投资者持续逢低买入和逢高卖出，金价上周整个星期都持续在横向盘整，更是出现走低的迹象。美元和美债收益率回跌幅度不高，持续给黄金施加压力。但疫情案例增加和欧洲封锁措施，再加上美联储的宽松政策，正哄抬着避险黄金的价格。金价目前走势尚不清楚，暗示着投资者犹豫不决和即将发生波动。
基本面分析：欧洲疫情重燃加剧封锁美国疫苗顺利前行
美国前白宫新冠病毒顾问德博拉·伯克斯(Deborah Birx)称，第一波新冠大流行的许多死亡案例可能是不可避免的，但随着严格措施的展开，能使得后来死亡人数大大降低。美国总统拜登的首席医疗顾问安东尼·福奇(Anthony Fauci)周末警告说，美国可能面临新一轮的新增风险。但他对美国夏季的疫情发展保持乐观。
福奇说道：“由于目前美国的疫情感染率，您将开始看到其中有部分限制撤销。我认为，如果我们能正确做到防范的条件，并且按照我们的速度生产出疫苗，那疫情管控减缓将会发生。”
根据美国疾病控制和预防中心在当地时间上周日数据显示，现在有超过5000万美国民众已经完全接种新冠疫苗，其中20%的成年人完全接受疫苗接种，超过36%接受至少一剂疫苗。美国46州和华盛顿特区已经承诺实现完成拜登的目标，也就是在5月1日之前让所有美国民众都有资格接种疫苗。
欧洲疫情仍迟迟不见缓解，德国总理默克尔与16名地方政府首长结束视频会议后，宣布原先在3月28日到期的封锁措施，将延长至4月18日。她也同时表明，德国正面临新一波大流行。她说道：“基本上，现在是由新变种毒株所造成的大流行，与原先的品种有着截然不同的特性，死亡率更高，且传染力更强。”
技术面分析：
黄金多头在本周开始时保持领航位置，金价维持在每日支撑，正试图寻求突破21日移动均线，但有可能延续当前的修正。
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