贈金王MONEYWANG(北美)讯黄金周三(3月24日)上涨,受美国国债收益率下跌带动。美联储主席鲍威尔多次呼吁将利率维持在接近零水准,而美国财政部长耶伦对议员表示,未来将需要增税来支付基础设施项目和其他公共投资。
美国财政部长耶伦对议员们表示,未来需要增税来为基础设施项目和其他公共投资提供资金,这进一步推动了投资者逃向安全领域。
无论是企业还是个人,提高税收的可能性,往往会提高对黄金作为避险资产的需求。”
尽管美元走强,但黄金仍在上涨。美元走强使得其他货币持有者持有黄金的成本更高。
补充称,尽管金价可能再度升至1900美元,但美元走强仍是金价的阻力。鉴于欧洲采取的疫情封锁措施,且美国经济表现可能优于其他经济体,美元近期不太可能走弱。
更高的收益率也挑战了黄金作为通胀对冲工具的地位,因为这意味着持有这种无收益商品的机会成本更高。
在今年稍晚经济成长和通胀可能停滞之前,金价不太可能突破1700-1750美元区间,因为在那之前投资者可能青睐追随通胀上扬的资产和商品。
基本面利多因素
1.美国国债收益率周三小幅下跌,此前美联储主席鲍威尔本周第二次在国会露面。鲍威尔对议员表示,他预计会出现一些通胀,但幅度“不会特别大,也不会持续太久。”基准的10年期美国国债收益率在午后交易中跌至1.607%。美债收益率下跌会令黄金受益。
2.美国财政部长耶伦和美联储主席鲍威尔本周在国会作证。耶伦对议员们表示,未来需要增税来为基础设施项目和其他公共投资提供资金,这进一步推动了投资者逃向安全领域。美国宽松的货币和财政政策有助于提振对黄金的需求。
基本面利空因素
1.美元指数周三尾盘上涨0.26%,报92.59,盘中最高触及92.62,最低触及92.33。美元上涨令以美元计价的黄金承压。
后市展望
1.“金价从低点反弹的主要原因是我们看到美国国债收益率出现了一点疲软。如果收益率继续走软,金价可能继续小幅走高,并回到1760美元的水平,如果美元继续走坚,这将拖累金价进一步上涨。
无论是企业还是个人,提高税收的可能性,往往会提高对黄金作为避险资产的需求。”
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