美联储主席鲍威尔在会议结束后公开发言指出,目前经济复苏阶段仍属缓慢,受到疫情影响的的经济与就业指标虽有回升,但力度尚未完全恢复,共同参与会议的的美联储官员,多数仍赞同2023年底之前短期利率维持在零水平。少数官员认同2022年或2023年底以前开始升息。购债步伐每月维持800亿美元。美联储上条今年度的GDP预计2021年增长5.8%-6.6%,12月预期为3.7%-5.0%;下调失业率预计2021年为4.2%-4.7%,12月预期为4.7%-5.4%。
下图提供美联储官员对于利率决策呃点阵图:
2021年:18位官员预测在0.00%-0.25%
2022年:14位官员预测在0.00%-0.25%,3位官员预测在0.25%-0.50%,1位官员预测在0.50%-0.75%;
2023年:11位官员预测在0.00%-0.25%,1位官员预测在0.25%-0.50%,1位官员预测在0.50%-0.75%,3位官员预测在0.75%-1.00%,2位官员预测在1.00%-1.25%。
下周阿拉斯加会议展开 中国与美国最高级别外交官会晤
美国在前总统特朗普任内落实对中国的限制政策,中方或许透过这次谈话提出放弃前任政府对中国公司和个人实施的制裁和限制,内容包含:限制美方向中方企业的销售、对共产党员、学生及记者的签证限制等,并释出善意与美方建立经常性年度会议,为安全、经济与贸易等领域的交流。美国则表示将透过此次会议表达中国对香港限制自由的关切、不断扩张的南海军事力度及全球公共卫生问题。
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