澳元/美元、澳洲疫苗接种计划、铁矿石、铜– 摘要
澳洲Covid疫苗接种计划本周正式启动;
铁矿石和铜价上涨支撑澳元风险偏好情绪;
随着澳元走高,澳元/美元关注0.7900心理关口。
澳洲Covid-19疫苗接种计划在本周正式启动。澳洲总理Scott Morrison莫里森和一群老年护理院的居民一起,接受了一剂辉瑞公司的疫苗。莫里森总理称这是国家"历史性的一天" 。初期阶段将在未来几周内向医护人员和其他重点患者提供数千剂疫苗。
如果疫苗接种计划的初始阶段顺利实施,澳元的风险情绪可能会得到提振。随着大宗商品价格上涨支撑了澳元/美元的前景,上周澳元兑美元上涨近1.50% 。铁矿石是澳大利亚的主要出口产品之一,上周晚些时候,随着中国市场在春节假期后重新开市,基准期货价格飙升,目前铁矿石交易价格接近10年高点。
上周铜价也出现上涨,许多投资者开始接受可能出现的大宗商品超级周期。如果这种情况出现,比如2008年金融危机前出现的超级周期,澳元将是大宗商品价格上涨的主要受益者。澳大利亚在2020年和2021年出口了近1200亿澳元的铁矿石,由于中国经济增长推动了对铁矿石的需求,这一数字可能会被打破。
澳元/美元、铁矿石、铜– 日线走势图
澳元技术展望
澳元/美元上周冲高至0.7850上方,动能似乎准备继续拉动价格上涨。相对强弱指数(RSI指标)随价格走势走高,但仍低于70的超买水平。MACD也呈现看涨态势,向上的分歧越来越大。如果风险偏好情绪维持到本周,0.7900心理价位将可能扮演重要角色。
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