二月美国非农就业数据大幅扬升来到37.9万优于预期。去年受累于新冠肺炎影响,就业人数大减950万 回到经济大萧条时期的最低水平,因此今年下半年GDP估计能够回到疫情发生之前的水准 但就业人数的恢复期预期要拉长到2023年,才得以缓慢恢复。
美国劳工部公布数据显示,美国2月季调后非农就业人口新增37.9万人,预期增18.2万人,失业率6.2%,预期6.3%。此一数据亦显示拜登政府对于疫情的控制有所好转,在全美疫苗补助的政策下,美国服务业渐有复苏。
美国二月非农数据大好 黄金预测毫不意外走低
二月美国非农就业数据达37.9万,加上美元指数续走强周五来到91.94,呈现继续走强的趋势,公债殖利率盘中一度突破近期高点来到1.6%,收在1.56%。
三大数据的支撑使得黄金收低突破1700美元关卡。世界黄金协会 (WGC) 最新发布数据显示:2 月全球黄金 ETF 净流出 84.7 吨,减持部分多为大型基金。
根据历史表现,每年的一到二月为黄金表现最亮眼的两个月,今年甫开春的表现与过去大相径庭。
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